SalemDuck Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 New Euro weeklies have the same pattern from day 13 to basically the end of the run. Ridging around 165-175W and in a chilly NNW flow pattern. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 https://www.kgw.com/mobile/article/news/nation-world/2020-exceeds-hottest-year-on-record/507-26e0d103-011f-4c1a-a17c-30136d69ef12?utm_campaign=snd-autopilot&fbclid=IwAR1v0gqkpX6J4PR63kavgM2JLEisiUnfxrxIZ0sqCM38S4ImKIowzRR6GTo 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 59 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Power, cell service, and internet all restored here... and its a beautiful day. Sunny and 50 degrees. Still no power at home, work has power back however. Cell service even at work is still really bad, tower must still be down. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: https://www.kgw.com/mobile/article/news/nation-world/2020-exceeds-hottest-year-on-record/507-26e0d103-011f-4c1a-a17c-30136d69ef12?utm_campaign=snd-autopilot&fbclid=IwAR1v0gqkpX6J4PR63kavgM2JLEisiUnfxrxIZ0sqCM38S4ImKIowzRR6GTo 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, MossMan said: Still no power at home, work has power back however. Cell service even at work is still really bad, tower must still be down. PSE confirmed the issue in North Bend was related to transmission lines to our west. That is why there was almost signs of damage here. The wind was not that bad in this area. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Bit of a chilly outflow this afternoon. Weather app says it's 44, but this is the first day with a noticeable "bite" to the wind since probably the pre-Christmas snowstorm. Made for a cold lunch-break walk. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 1 hour ago, Phil said: Here’s January 2008 pattern progression. Couldn’t be more different over the Arctic. Stable TPV/+NAM trend as the month progressed, keeping cold bottled up. Basically useless as an analog if we’re extrapolating from here. Agreed. Way too much emphasis sometimes on individual analogs. 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Weeklies. All days shown are the 5 day averages ending on that day. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 20 minutes ago, Deweydog said: https://www.kgw.com/mobile/article/news/nation-world/2020-exceeds-hottest-year-on-record/507-26e0d103-011f-4c1a-a17c-30136d69ef12?utm_campaign=snd-autopilot&fbclid=IwAR1v0gqkpX6J4PR63kavgM2JLEisiUnfxrxIZ0sqCM38S4ImKIowzRR6GTo Clearly going to be the primary factor if some people don't see snow in their backyards this month. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Hard to be disappointed in those weeklies. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 52 degree outflow winds at Troutdale. Not bad for January 14th... 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 One thing to keep in mind with the long range ensembles is models often have a tendency to be too progressive following a big pattern change. I would bet on the blocking ridge not migrating west as quickly as some of the ultra clown range ensembles have shown. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 25 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Weeklies. All days shown are the 5 day averages ending on that day. To my not so trained eye that appears to be quite favorable for the duration. Lots of conflicting reports on the forum today. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 5 hours ago, Phil said: I thought with Siberian SSWs the East was supposed to see cold first? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 11 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 52 degree outflow winds at Troutdale. Not bad for January 14th... Just turned on the A/C in my office at work. The in-floor radiant heat thinks the negative PNA has already hit! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: I thought with Siberian SSWs the East was supposed to see cold first? They are seeing some cold in a couple days I believe. Just not a long prolonged event Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Going to take a nap, no fighting till I get back. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 18z running. Let's hope for two feet of coagulated blood. Or snow. Either one works. 1 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said: I honestly made popcorn after seeing this. 1 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 4 hours ago, BLI snowman said: Doesn't look likely that we see an airmass colder than the day I posted above. Most of these model runs I'm seeing really don't build a ton of cold air overall, either. Any comparisons to 1989 or 1969 look fairly ridiculous by comparison. Fairly substantial amount of cold pretty close by. 4 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 25 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: They are seeing some cold in a couple days I believe. Just not a long prolonged event According to our friend Jason in that tweet, the West is seeing the cold effects from the SSW first. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 16 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: According to our friend Jason in that tweet, the West is seeing the cold effects from the SSW first. I think the cold heading to the PNW and to Western Canada is from the SSW, where the cold the east is getting is just "regular" cold, if that makes sense. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Nice and chilly a week from now. Snow levels 500-750’ probably on the gfs. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Just now, TacomaWaWx said: Nice and chilly a week from now. Snow levels 500-750’ probably on the gfs. Going down with each run baby! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Just now, Kolk1604 said: Going down with each run baby! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 37 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Fairly substantial amount of cold pretty close by. 270 hours??? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 18z ALERT 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Would be snow to sea level with that second low day 8/9. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Pretty sky... 4 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Nice to see the 18z spitting out some great solutions! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 270 hours??? Ensemble mean...we've covered this. You won't see me posting 270 hour operational maps. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 The 18z fell off the wagon. 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Meh, only 498dm... 1 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Just now, Deweydog said: The 18z fell off the wagon. Troll. It looks great so far Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Would be snow to sea level with that second low day 8/9. Didn't happen in January 2008, therefore there is no reason it will happen now. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Second shortwave digs out a perfect path. Just enough offshore to pack a punch and close enough to not warm us up enough. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 Wow, okay... That's a good solution. That secondary block is quite miraculous in the way that it curves into Alaska. A bit to far west, but that sure compensates for it. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 1 minute ago, Front Ranger said: Didn't happen in January 2008, therefore there is no reason it will happen now. It’s only one run but it’s nice to see. Let’s see the ensembles too. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 The 18z is definitely looking nice. STOP THE COUNT! 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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