OysterPrintout 1081 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 Looks like a little more cold air to work with on the 18z if we can get that low to help out might turn out ok 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 1322 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 I just hope one of those ugly-looking gray runs doesn’t verify. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1404 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said: Looks like a little more cold air to work with on the 18z if we can get that low to help out might turn out ok Yea looking a degree or two colder. We need every degree in a situation like this. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14104 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 510dm thickness line crosses the border into Montana at hour 126. That was impressive back in October. 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14104 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 https://www.kgw.com/mobile/article/weather/accuweather/temperatures-plummet-to-minus-73-in-siberia/507-1896c3b4-13be-43f7-b6dd-4b7f0e9f847b?fbclid=IwAR3UbcKPcdTYRGweHGnIuS9JurxvnulY443dIGFuQCZS4ax1AMTX4JH8mjM 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
einsteinjr 117 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 I'd be pretty excited if I was living in whatcom county right now.. 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 1322 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, einsteinjr said: I'd be pretty excited if I was living in whatcom county right now.. It’s looking pretty good for the Mossman zone too. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 994 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 Even Whatcom county is getting no more than a slush-fest out of this run. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
AlTahoe 390 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 Oh boy Goofus is off the rails again. Day 10 on the 12Z had a cold blizzard over us. Now on the new run we have no storm and more record warmth. 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MWG 199 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 Today is one of those days the fog didn’t burned off and is still lingering also 39 degrees. 3 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14874 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 Doesn't look like 18z is going to be as good in the long range. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14874 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 Reverts to past runs where the trough axis is a bit to far offshore. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10592 Posted January 18 Author Report Share Posted January 18 Conflicting reports! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10592 Posted January 18 Author Report Share Posted January 18 26 minutes ago, Deweydog said: https://www.kgw.com/mobile/article/weather/accuweather/temperatures-plummet-to-minus-73-in-siberia/507-1896c3b4-13be-43f7-b6dd-4b7f0e9f847b?fbclid=IwAR3UbcKPcdTYRGweHGnIuS9JurxvnulY443dIGFuQCZS4ax1AMTX4JH8mjM As Chris would say...Meh...Next. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14874 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 Just now, MossMan said: Conflicting reports! Still a cold trough Sunday-Tuesday 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 994 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Still a cold trough Sunday-Tuesday You should do alright for a few days if this verified. It looks like it evolves into total craziness late in the run with quite warm temps with a southwesterly flow. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MR.SNOWMIZER 6947 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 35 minutes ago, Deweydog said: https://www.kgw.com/mobile/article/weather/accuweather/temperatures-plummet-to-minus-73-in-siberia/507-1896c3b4-13be-43f7-b6dd-4b7f0e9f847b?fbclid=IwAR3UbcKPcdTYRGweHGnIuS9JurxvnulY443dIGFuQCZS4ax1AMTX4JH8mjM Insane. I've been in 30 below and it feels cold water rushing in through any zipper on the clothing. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 1322 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 19 minutes ago, MWG said: Today is one of those days the fog didn’t burned off and is still lingering also 39 degrees. Medford is in fact one of the foggiest cities in the Pacific Northwest, simply because your area gets so many inversions in the winter. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14874 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, Acer said: You should do alright for a few days if this verified. It looks like it evolves into total craziness late in the run with quite warm temps with a southwesterly flow. Yeah, the 12z had that trough mid/late week dropping right over the PNW, this run it stays offshore and just pumps moisture onshore. Looks like after a day or two snow levels drop at least below pass levels. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10592 Posted January 18 Author Report Share Posted January 18 10 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Insane. I've been in 30 below and it feels cold water rushing in through any zipper on the clothing. My lowest experienced is -15F while in Moses Lake once. It was chilly. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14104 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 25 years ago today it snowed unexpectedly. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
1000'NorthBend 274 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 38.6°F currently after a high of 42°F at midnight. Weather station is up and running, looking forward to watching temps drop this week. Temp estimates from apps all suggest it’s 41°F to 43°F up here currently, so excited to have more accurate temps (cooler) for my property! 3 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3726 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said: 38.6°F currently after a high of 42°F at midnight. Weather station is up and running, looking forward to watching temps drop this week. Temp estimates from apps all suggest it’s 41°F to 43°F up here currently, so excited to have more accurate temps (cooler) for my property! You are so tucked back in the dark there... I imagine its always cooler there than all of the surrounding stations. Its 43 in North Bend right now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3726 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 Took my daughter to the track at the middle school to race her bike this afternoon... 6 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 994 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 On a positive note, it looks like the offshore ridge is trying to re-establish itself closer to our sweet spot at the end of the run. Baby steps. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14874 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 Only up to about 40 here today. Going to finally feel like winter. Looking at the models, I will either miss a lot of rain or a lot of snow next week. Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
GHweatherChris 3507 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, Acer said: On a positive note, it looks like the offshore ridge is trying to re-establish itself closer to our sweet spot at the end of the run. Baby steps. That baby should be full on walking by now. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jginmartini 3806 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, Deweydog said: https://www.kgw.com/mobile/article/weather/accuweather/temperatures-plummet-to-minus-73-in-siberia/507-1896c3b4-13be-43f7-b6dd-4b7f0e9f847b?fbclid=IwAR3UbcKPcdTYRGweHGnIuS9JurxvnulY443dIGFuQCZS4ax1AMTX4JH8mjM The closest I’ve been to that is working in the Costco walk in freezer. When the fans come on it’s time to get the job done quickly and get out!!! Just Brutal in there!!! Could not imagine -73.....OUCH! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
1000'NorthBend 274 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: You are so tucked back in the dark there... I imagine its always cooler there than all of the surrounding stations. Its 43 in North Bend right now. Definitely, especially in the winter. That, plus the rain intensity differences I observe over my neighborhood as you get further from the mountain, are why I thought a weather station would be worth it at my location. You’d be surprised that we likely get more sun than many homes in our neighborhood in the summer, simply because of dense tree coverage over many homes (actually.. you’re probably not surprised). Least snow we’ve seen in a winter since we’ve moved here half a decade ago. Here’s hoping! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 406 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Only up to about 40 here today. Going to finally feel like winter. Looking at the models, I will either miss a lot of rain or a lot of snow next week. Need one of those sliders between Sunday and Tuesday to bomb out, ie; Turkey Day 2019. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3726 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said: Definitely, especially in the winter. That, plus the rain intensity differences I observe over my neighborhood as you get further from the mountain, are why I thought a weather station would be worth it at my location. You’d be surprised that we likely get more sun than many homes in our neighborhood in the summer, simply because of dense tree coverage over many homes (actually.. you’re probably not surprised). Least snow we’ve seen in a winter since we’ve moved here half a decade ago. Here’s hoping! Yeah... the lack of snow up here has been notable so far this year. We will probably make up ground between now and March though. We cut down trees that get too big... have to keep it open for sunshine when it happens! That neighborhood back there where you live is slowly thinning out it seems as people take down trees that are a danger to their homes or they come down in windstorms. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14874 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 Hey look! 2 3 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1404 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Hey look! Hour 384 delivering the goodies!!!! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3726 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: Hour 384 delivering the goodies!!!! Actually hour 408! 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 406 Posted January 18 Report Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Actually hour 408! May happen next week. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 19 Report Share Posted January 19 6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Hey look! Onto February!! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Meatyorologist 2007 Posted January 19 Report Share Posted January 19 Seattle gets its snowstorm of the century on that CFS run as well. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 994 Posted January 19 Report Share Posted January 19 Seattle gets 45" of snow by the 9th of February! 3 1 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1404 Posted January 19 Report Share Posted January 19 5 minutes ago, Acer said: Seattle gets 45" of snow by the 9th of February! Seattle becomes the north pole. Portland becomes Alaska and all is right in the world 2 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 406 Posted January 19 Report Share Posted January 19 6 minutes ago, Acer said: Seattle gets 45" of snow by the 9th of February! That run has to assume the entire USA is at the same elevation. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 994 Posted January 19 Report Share Posted January 19 A beautiful day today. 5 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1404 Posted January 19 Report Share Posted January 19 11 minutes ago, Acer said: Seattle gets 45" of snow by the 9th of February! Isn't it lower resolution past two weeks so It can't see evaluation very well? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tyler Mode 1643 Posted January 19 Report Share Posted January 19 Coldest weather I've experienced was last March. Between -52 and -55 up in Alaska. Was painful, but the northern lights were worth it IMG_4361-1920.mp4 IMG_4383-1920.mp4 8 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 406 Posted January 19 Report Share Posted January 19 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Isn't it lower resolution past two weeks so It can't see evaluation very well? Yep Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Brian_in_Leavenworth 2951 Posted January 19 Report Share Posted January 19 16 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Isn't it lower resolution past two weeks so It can't see evaluation very well? Guessing the CFS is at a low resolution at hour 1. GFS BTW is at a higher resolution through hour 240. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 994 Posted January 19 Report Share Posted January 19 18 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Isn't it lower resolution past two weeks so It can't see evaluation very well? I didn’t realize that you were responding to my post. It looks like SHF and Brian answered your question. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Brian_in_Leavenworth 2951 Posted January 19 Report Share Posted January 19 20 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said: Coldest weather I've experienced was last March. Between -52 and -55 up in Alaska. Was painful, but the northern lights were worth it IMG_4361-1920.mp4 IMG_4383-1920.mp4 On my bucket list. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Kolk1604 880 Posted January 19 Report Share Posted January 19 34 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Isn't it lower resolution past two weeks so It can't see evaluation very well? I think this has the same issue but more realistic. February looks solid 2 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1404 Posted January 19 Report Share Posted January 19 I meant to say elevation not evaluation. I am surprised nobody corrected me! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
OROR 0 Posted January 19 Report Share Posted January 19 9 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Time to hit up friends in Oakridge. I live in Oakridge. You think we’ll get snow? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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