bainbridgekid 3869 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 Canadian still insisting on some snow Sunday. 2 Quote Everett Snowfall 2018-19: 24.75"2019-20: 10.5" 1/10: 0.5"1/12: 5.5"1/13: 1"1/14: 1.5"1/15: 2" Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, Cloud said: Interesting that you can still access if you have it bookmarked. But it's no longer there on the drop down menu. I am atmospheric wrath after all. QPF https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2020122518&fh=loop&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_nw&p=qpf_acc&m=gfs_flx Snow https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_flx&p=snodpc_acc&rh=2020122518&fh=loop&r=us_nw&dpdt=&mc= Surface Temps https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_flx&p=sfct&rh=2021012000&fh=loop&r=us_nw&dpdt=&mc= 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10592 Posted January 20 Author Report Share Posted January 20 How does the GEM look? How about the JMA? ICON? It’s currently 39 degrees. 1 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: It might be being phased out for the v16 I don't know much about the v16. Is it a hi-res model? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 Usually we're so used to ridges trending east, east, east, which in this case would drop the arctic hammer on us... Well no further east than ~135 W with sharp tilt. Preferably ~155 to 145 W. C'MON!!!! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11769 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 1 hour ago, AbbyJr said: Gosh look at the 500mb pattern for March 5th and 6th 1951. Abbotsford BC recorded 63.5cm (25 inches) in 48 hours. Phil, what caused such an intense arctic pattern so late in the year? Its hard enough to get that around here in December and January nowadays let alone March. Probably a SSW or dynamic final warming to produce a late winter -NAO like that under -ENSO. 1 1 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
Brian_in_Leavenworth 2951 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 3 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Canadian still insisting on some snow Sunday. Colder too. 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 994 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Colder too. Too bad it’s the Canadian. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Kolk1604 880 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, Cloud said: I don't know much about the v16. Is it a hi-res model? Me neither. I think it's the replacement to the GFS altogether Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, Phil said: Probably a SSW or dynamic final warming to produce a late winter -NAO like that under -ENSO. Phil! We are now about 3 weeks in after SSW. What's happening? Asking for a friend. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10592 Posted January 20 Author Report Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, Acer said: Too bad it’s the Canadian. Led the way in February 2018! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11769 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 3 minutes ago, Cloud said: Phil! We are now about 3 weeks in after SSW. What's happening? Asking for a friend. SSW/wind reversal peaked 3 days ago. Lol. It’s one goofus run. Not the end of the world. 4 1 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
seattleweatherguy 480 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Phil said: SSW/wind reversal peaked 3 days ago. Lol. It’s one goofus run. Don’t let it live rent free in ur heads. so winter is over? Thought end of jan into the entire month of feb had a chance Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Kolk1604 880 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, seattleweatherguy said: so winter is over? Thought end of jan into the entire month of feb had a chance Lol he never said that 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 3 minutes ago, Phil said: SSW/wind reversal peaked 3 days ago. Lol. It’s one goofus run. Not the end of the world. You know the question was gonna be asked by someone... I just wanna get ahead of it. Lol. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Brian_in_Leavenworth 2951 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 12 minutes ago, Phil said: SSW/wind reversal peaked 3 days ago. Lol. It’s one goofus run. Not the end of the world. You still think real arctic air will make an appearance in the Northwest? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 994 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: You still think real arctic air will make an appearance in the Northwest? I think waffles will soon be on the menu. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
einsteinjr 117 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 It is very entertaining to see people's emotions (mine included sometimes) go wild on this forum. 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
GHweatherChris 3507 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 49 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: 48h snowfall total ending Tuesday 4pm. Rob want some company? I have vacation time That is from the 12Z run. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ShawniganLake 5466 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Wow. Looks great. Lock it in! 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1404 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 Wow Vancouver went from 5 inches to 1. Big time switch up for our neighbors 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11769 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 28 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: You still think real arctic air will make an appearance in the Northwest? I think so. Chances are significantly higher than climatology, at the very least. 1 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 32 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: You still think real arctic air will make an appearance in the Northwest? Yes. More than once before March. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Meatyorologist 2007 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Phil said: I think so. Chances are significantly higher than climatology, at the very least. At what hour? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
van city 383 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 13 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Wow Vancouver went from 5 inches to 1. Big time switch up for our neighbors 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 Day 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14874 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 GEM is a lot better than the GFS. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1404 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 9 minutes ago, van city said: I was talking gfs not gem. Gem has been consistent Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 Day 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 Day 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Poulsbo Snowman 382 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 Too bad we don't have each run side by side. Would be cool to see euro day 4 next to gfs day 4. Differences would become obvious. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Requiem 2648 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 Whoa from the reactions on here I thought the GFS would be WAYYY worse than it actually is haha. Still not a bad run even if it gets messy in the LR. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Poulsbo Snowman said: Too bad we don't have each run side by side. Would be cool to see euro day 4 next to gfs day 4. Differences would become obvious. Are you volunteering? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Poulsbo Snowman 382 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 You don't want me posting maps. I just open 2 windows. Used to have a website which laid each model on top of one another, but I lost my bookmark. D**n if I cant find it. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Meteorologist wxmet 2013 Posted January 20 Meteorologist Report Share Posted January 20 ECMWF 00z looks weaker with the low and is also much warmer than the GFS. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TacomaWaWx 4389 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 42/37 today. Chilly day by the winter of 20-21 standards. Quote Cold season stats Coldest low-25 Coldest high-32 Freezes-15 Monthly rainfall-0.00” Cold season rainfall-32.09” Snowfall-15.5” Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 Day 5 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Kolk1604 880 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 6 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said: Too bad we don't have each run side by side. Would be cool to see euro day 4 next to gfs day 4. Differences would become obvious. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Meteorologist wxmet 2013 Posted January 20 Meteorologist Report Share Posted January 20 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 Looking at the past 4 days of the 00z the ridge is trending stronger at Day 5 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: The hero we need. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Looking at the past 4 days of the 00z the ridge is trending stronger at Day 5 Maybe, but it looks less amplified than last night's 0z run. Also a step back with the ridge merger. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 Day 6 is different Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Meteorologist wxmet 2013 Posted January 20 Meteorologist Report Share Posted January 20 We still have several days for things to change but the trend is not our friend. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 6 is different Yeah... not even close to what the GFS was showing with the ridge. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10592 Posted January 20 Author Report Share Posted January 20 At least we have the GEM! It’s over folks...Pack it in. Soon it will be jetski weather again! 🕶 1 1 1 1 1 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14874 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 Oof. I got to positive again. Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Brian_in_Leavenworth 2951 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 Colder than the 12Z day 6 or so Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 20 Report Share Posted January 20 Day 7 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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