DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Day 5 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Day 6 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Poulsbo Snowman 382 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Nothing here to get too excited over. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1413 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Still sticking to my "winter is cancelled" post. FYI, I want to see snow tho 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Kayla 3643 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Currently 4 degrees here. Might actually drop below zero for the first time since October in this reverse season that we’re having. 3 Quote Cold Season 2020/21: Total snowfall: 86.0" Highest daily snowfall: 12.0" Highest snow depth: 18.0" Coldest high: -7.0º Coldest low: -17.1º Number of subzero days: 7 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Day 7 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 C'mon ridge merger! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 1321 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Last winter the GFS was the first model to pick up on the coming January cold snap. Eventually the other models came around. It did predict crazy, record-breaking (or nearly so) cold, and that never came to pass, however. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Day 8 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7240 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 My area looks to do poorly this week for snow chances. Still hopeful for something over the course of the next two weeks but, honestly, I'm bumming a little. Getting tired of being optimistic and then it doesn't pan out. 1 Quote Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
AbbyJr 492 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 2 hours ago, snow_wizard said: The funny thing is the ECMWF is also predicting the wave to maintain good amplitude and duration. That makes the flat / boring EPS mean all the more puzzling. I think the Euro will cave to the GFS or something similar. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11796 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 4 hours ago, bainbridgekid said: ****MAJOR ENSEMBLE IMPROVEMENT**** First -NAO DJF in a decade. Change is afoot! 4 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Day 9'er Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Kolk1604 880 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 29 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Still sticking to my "winter is cancelled" post. FYI, I want to see snow tho Yeah man we not cool no more. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3760 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 9 hours ago, TT-SEA said: The difference between the GFS and the ECMWF is pretty noticeable at day 10... will the GFS win again? 12Z GFS on top and 12Z ECMWF on the bottom at 240 hours... The new 00Z GFS looks more like the 12Z ECMWF at that same time. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Day 10 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11796 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Sleetfest concludes with a downpour of fat, fluffy dendrites. We were stopped in the middle of the road so couldn’t film for more than 10secs. IMG_8441.MOV 1 1 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
TacomaWaWx 4428 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Gfs keeping the idea of it getting cold in the long range still. Quote Cold season stats Coldest low-25 Coldest high-32 Freezes-16 Monthly rainfall-0.82” Cold season rainfall-32.91” Snowfall-15.5” Link to post Share on other sites
High Desert Mat? 469 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 8 minutes ago, Phil said: Sleetfest concludes with a downpour of fat, fluffy dendrites. We were stopped in the middle of the road so couldn’t film for more than 10secs. IMG_8441.MOV 20.37 MB · 4 downloads Are you with your mom? 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11796 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 More frozen clowns. 3 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
Kolk1604 880 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 3 minutes ago, Phil said: More frozen clowns. Stickin to its guns... I like that! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3760 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Stickin to its guns... I like that! Its mostly after 300 hours... but it gets pretty crazy by the end. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Its mostly after 300 hours... but it gets pretty crazy by the end. Yeah, I was about to comment... this seems like a snowier solution in the LR starting at hour 300 all the way til the end of the run. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Kolk1604 880 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Its mostly after 300 hours... but it gets pretty crazy by the end. Yeah I saw that's when the snow totals go up. But consistency is all the matters right? Really thought it would take it away this run Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11796 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Man if only this were closer. Perfect wave breaking sequence produces a ridge bridge from the Aleutians through the Arctic, with the main anticyclone centered over the Beaufort. -WPO/-EPO/-PNA/-AO/-NAO. 7 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Now that's what you call a nutty run pretty much beyond hour 300. It ends with that low just not moving at all right off Van. Isl. HAHA. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TacomaWaWx 4428 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Down to 35, midnight low tonight! Quote Cold season stats Coldest low-25 Coldest high-32 Freezes-16 Monthly rainfall-0.82” Cold season rainfall-32.91” Snowfall-15.5” Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14948 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Looks good. Let’s move it forward! 2 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11796 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Looks good. Let’s move it forward! Andrew is on board! Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
GHweatherChris 3526 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 22 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said: Are you with your mom? She let him out of the basement. Yes Phil, this obese, out of shape a$$hole said it. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
GHweatherChris 3526 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 And back to our regularly scheduled progranning of nothing awesome in the believable range, unless you count sloppy snow as awesome tomorrow night. I reserve the right to change my opinion if by chance tomorrow night over performs here, which it might, gut feeling is showing up for some reason. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11796 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 5 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: She let him out of the basement. Yes Phil, this obese, out of shape a$$hole said it. Looks like I need some new material. 1 1 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3760 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 5 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: She let him out of the basement. Yes Phil, this obese, out of shape a$$hole said it. Aren't you golfing these days? You used to regularly post pics of golfing even during the winter. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11796 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Just now, TT-SEA said: Aren't you golfing these days? You used to regularly post pics of golfing even during the winter. Nobody golfs when water is falling from the sky. You of all people should know. Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
AbbyJr 492 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 13 minutes ago, Phil said: Man if only this were closer. Perfect wave breaking sequence produces a ridge bridge from the Aleutians through the Arctic, with the main anticyclone centered over the Beaufort. -WPO/-EPO/-PNA/-AO/-NAO. What are the odds of something like this verifying in your opinion Phil? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7240 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Not quite as snowy as 18z but still lots of pepto. 3 Quote Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
GHweatherChris 3526 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Aren't you golfing these days? You used to regularly post pics of golfing even during the winter. Not hardly at all right now due to personal reasons that I don't wanna get in to, on here. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
GHweatherChris 3526 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, Phil said: Nobody golfs when water is falling from the sky. You of all people should know. I do when life doesn't get in the way. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14121 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 It’s phun to see fill full on model riding with us. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3760 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 7 minutes ago, Phil said: Nobody golfs when water is falling from the sky. You of all people should know. Yeah... we don't golf in cold rain. Not enjoyable in my opinion and golfing is supposed to be enjoyable for the money you spend. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
nwsnow 2770 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 WRF, looks like a fairly realistic result for tomorrow. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
GHweatherChris 3526 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Yeah... we don't golf in cold rain. Not enjoyable in my opinion and golfing is supposed to be enjoyable for the money you spend. With the amount I played last year, 18 hole average cost was only 11 bucks, seems worth it. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14121 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 ****SOME ENSEMBLE IMPROVEMENT**** Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
seattleweatherguy 483 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 39 minutes ago, Phil said: Man if only this were closer. Perfect wave breaking sequence produces a ridge bridge from the Aleutians through the Arctic, with the main anticyclone centered over the Beaufort. -WPO/-EPO/-PNA/-AO/-NAO. so your telling me there is a chance. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
RentonHillTC 582 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: ****SOME ENSEMBLE IMPROVEMENT**** even over 18z??? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7240 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 00z GEFS mean looks a little colder at 850mb for days 10-12 vs. 18z. Quote Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
bainbridgekid 3886 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: even over 18z??? Yes. 4 Quote Everett Snowfall 2018-19: 24.75"2019-20: 10.5" 1/10: 0.5"1/12: 5.5"1/13: 1"1/14: 1.5"1/15: 2" Link to post Share on other sites
Popular Post SilverFallsAndrew 14948 Posted January 26 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 26 Guess it’s snowing at the house again. Wife just sent me a pic. I didn’t even have to ask. She must finally love me. 10 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7240 Posted January 26 Report Share Posted January 26 Notable improvement for a mean. 5 Quote Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
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