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January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


MossMan

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3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Think most of the west valley sees snow with that. Probably going to be 2-3 degrees too warm for Portland/Vancouver.

Definitely more of a damming opportunity with this system, but even for those favored spots it looks very borderline at best.  

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Disappointed with the trends on the models regarding snow here. Gonna do some lower elevation hikes this week to make up for it though and get my snow fix in. Thinking green mountain and tiger mountain this week. Atleast I got the super bowl matchup I wanted...bucs and chiefs! 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Definitely more of a damming opportunity with this system, but even for those favored spots it looks very borderline at best.  

Probably a situation where accumulations only occur briefly under the heaviest precip rates late Tuesday evening. Don't quite see any valley floor locations having enough for the big 32.

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I am sure the EURO will come around. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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This system has gone from a Whatcom County special to a Whatcom county turd burger.  34 degrees and .15" rain on the day.  Not even seeing a mix at my location at 325 ft.

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Well, may need to change my location shortly. A surprise listing in Gold Bar made us throw together an offer at the last minute. Prices are astronomical...even with my comfortable salary this will be a pain. Hopefully the offer will be submitted by the deadline tomorrow...we're actually waving inspection and going $40k over the asking price. 

Why couldn't I be in position to buy 4 years ago smh.

At least I should get more snow in Gold Bar if we win out on the bid...

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32F DP 30F and clear. Very comfortable.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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The EPS has moved toward the GFS solution in the 10 to 15 day period.  The control arrives at a cold NW trough and the mean has a more -PNA look now.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

EPS doesn't have a ridge bridge.  Looks similar to the operation.  But between day 10 and 25 it goes from this:

image.thumb.png.f8e6ad09e29a628329af274e915d6ae1.png

To this:

image.thumb.png.dff8a5fd6ee7d7b128b56783e1bd4164.png

Not perfect, but going in a better direction.

I knew the ECMWF suite was out to lunch with the region 6 / 7 MJO going on.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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The ECMWF operational is still spitting out a low of 27 for SEA tomorrow night.  This chillier weather has been enough to really begin lowering the month to date average.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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2 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

You may never ever do that, but this is the market reality currently. Especially in the under $400k range. 

While RL is not wrong, I get where you are coming from, I've been wanting to sell my house and move for about a year now but Covid has screwed everything up.  I cannot even imagine trying to buy a house and compete in the current market.  Its brutal.  Good luck both on your offer and that you don't get bitten in the a** by not having the inspection.  We had to waive the inspection on our current house we live in and got lucky.

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1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

Think most of the west valley sees snow with that. Probably going to be 2-3 degrees too warm for Portland/Vancouver.

Models putting up some pretty sharp west-east snow total gradient. Thinking we might be able to get stickage on non road surfaces in the west metro area and maybe some real accumulation in the usual favored spots on the west end like Banks.

sn10_acc.us_nw.png

 

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5 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

While RL is not wrong, I get where you are coming from, I've been wanting to sell my house and move for about a year now but Covid has screwed everything up.  I cannot even imagine trying to buy a house and compete in the current market.  Its brutal.  Good luck both on your offer and that you don't get bitten in the a** by not having the inspection.  We had to waive the inspection on our current house we live in and got lucky.

Much appreciated. Yeah the market is basically dead. No one is really putting their houses up for sale and it's rocketing up the prices even more than previously. We went so long between finding a good house that we're having to re-apply for pre-approval. Things on that front haven't changed too drastically at least, so hopefully nothing changes with what we're qualified for. The homeowner seems to have really taken care of the house and did a ton of upgrades, so while I'm not super comfortable with waving inspection I feel like this is the house to do it.

I can't with apartment life anymore. I work 60+ hours on graveyards and have a 7 month old. We'll find out tomorrow evening and my wife is already stressed to the max haha. 

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30 minutes ago, dolt said:

Getting a rain/snow mix. 34 degrees.

32F and mostly clear on the east side. Weird.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Let's go 06z. Think pink flamingos and AR's!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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1 minute ago, dolt said:

It looks like a couple of blobs of precip are headed this way still. A couple of flakes aren't out of the question.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=RTX-N0Q-1-24

Maybe some of that can band together and get hung up along the Cascades and Calapuyas.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Looks like a nice trough around day 12, and then another one towards the end of the run. Not a terrible run. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_61.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I guess there wasn't any more snow after my last post. So just another trace. 

Later this week still looks snowier!

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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It's been 37-38F and raining almost constantly since yesterday. Honestly not quite as bad as some of the 33F rain storms I've had, but the fact we've had close to 0.6" fall makes it somewhat disappointing.

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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Dry here this morning... only picked up .02 from the entire system.   Not sure if was related to offshore flow.    It's been completely calm since yesterday. 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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