January 2021 weather observations for the PNW

[TacomaWaWx]

13 minutes ago, MossMan said:

With today’s negative trends I might have to jump off board again. That and Tom Brady in yet another super bowl...This season is going to crap quickly. 

Brady was in the super bowl in 2017 and 2019 and it snowed those years pretty big time! 

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, iFred said:

How is spring and summer looking? I think I am still good to start overseeding on March 1st.

I heard its going to be cold.

But we still have to get through more winter weather in February and March.

[FroYoBro]

5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Dear the Weather Forums,

 

                The winter of 2020-2021 was supposed to be our year. A moderate la Nina and a first year la Nina no less!! However, just like my ex-girlfriends, it was only a letdown. A regional wide snowstorm would have united this forum, yet all we are left with is anarchy. Maybe one day, @iFred will let it snow again, but until that day, the trend is not our friend.

                With a heavy heart, this pains me to say this. However, it must be said. Winter is cancelled. Yes, I did just say it. It must be said. It is the end of January and we still do not have any snow. With no snow in sight, this is the end.  Now we head into endless ridging and 60-degree weather for February. Tim get’s his wish.

Sincerely,

A snowless Frosty the Snowman

Too early bruh. 

[Deweydog]

I think people living in their cars have a distinct advantage when it comes to enjoying this type of pattern.  Kind of a silver lining to record high levels of unemployment.

[TacomaWaWx]

Just now, FroYoBro said:

Too early bruh. 

Yea maybe around this time next month would be the cancel date for me. 

[mtep]

We had snow on April 1st (I think) of last year here at higher elevations. I drove to 800' at the end of Academy rd on Squalicum Mountain and the trees were coated. I wish I still had the video.

[Jesse]

Some really great, level headed discussion here this morning. Should really bring the new members out of the woodwork!

[umadbro]

2 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Some really great, level headed discussion here this morning. Should really bring the new members out of the woodwork!

The morality police has arrived.

[Jesse]

Just now, umadbro said:

The morality police has arrived.

Yup, didn't take you long. What did I do this time?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

What did I miss.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

What did I miss.

Not sure... but I know you did not miss out on snow! 

[MossMan]

26 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Just one day.  And I posted lots of snow maps for the Oregon folks too.   You take the good, you take the bad, you take em both and there you have the facts of life!

I like Washington snow better...Mainly northern Snohomish Co snow.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, MossMan said:

I like Washington snow better...Mainly northern Snohomish Co snow.

I posted maps for WA too... the models giveth and the models taketh away.  

[Deweydog]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

What did I miss.

[Front Ranger]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Released in August 1998. Not a snowy month. 

[Timmy]

The 18z hi res nam looks a lot worse for snow in the pdx area

[Rubus Leucodermis]

7 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I like Washington snow better...Mainly northern Snohomish Co snow.

I used to find Whatcom County specials moderately irritating but for some reason their appeal has really grown on me in the past few years.

[MossMan]

This winter has taken a dump because Tim does not have any reservations book to Hawaii or Palm Springs...Covid or no Covid, Tim get something booked out of state...STAT! 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, MossMan said:

This winter has taken a dump because Tim does not have any reservations book to Hawaii or Palm Springs...Covid or no Covid, Tim get something booked out of state...STAT! 

I agree!  

We might be going to Hawaii twice next winter.  

[OysterPrintout]

7 minutes ago, Timmy said:

The 18z hi res nam looks a lot worse for snow in the pdx area

a little worse. Part of the worseness was the 12z painting snow today 

 

24 hour looks a little worse but pretty close 

 

 

[Deweydog]

8 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Released in August 1998. Not a snowy month. 

That was the year global warming came to a screeching halt, though.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

20 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not sure... but I know you did not miss out on snow! 

Not last night. We ll see about tomorrow, but I’m actually on a quick trip to Oklahoma today, so I won’t see it either way. 

[Phil]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

The difference between the GFS and the ECMWF is pretty noticeable at day 10... will the GFS win again?

12Z GFS on top and 12Z ECMWF on the bottom at 240 hours...

 

Euro just raped the GFS sideways with the midweek storm (or lack thereof) here. I know where I’d hedge.

[Jesse]

Is it possible getting raped sideways could disturb the PV?

[Phil]

1 minute ago, Jesse said:

Is it possible getting raped sideways could disturb the PV?

Give it a try. Every potential outcome in this universe has a non-zero probability of occurring.

[Jesse]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Give it a try. Every potential outcome in this universe has a non-zero probability of occurring.

The exact logic behind me hoping our climate starts to cool again at some point in the next century.

[weatherfan2012]

32 minutes ago, Phil said:

Give it a try. Every potential outcome in this universe has a non-zero probability of occurring.

Larry Cosgrove has been very bullish on February for a long time now it will prove interisting to see if his ideas are right.

[Jesse]

4 minutes ago, weatherfan2012 said:

Larry Cosgrove has been very bullish on February for a long time now it will prove interisting to see if his ideas are right.

I always loved his version of White Christmas.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Everyone knows I like February. Great month. 

[The Blob]

A fun idea if it snows

[SouthHillFrosty]

[SouthHillFrosty]

[OysterPrintout]

Drunkle is stone cold sober for Portland tomorrow but relapses hard for Seattle later in the week.

[Perturbed Member]

6 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

Drunkle is stone cold sober for Portland tomorrow but relapses hard for Seattle later in the week.

18z ain't what it used to be for some time now. 

[jakerepp]

Interesting...

[Requiem]

Little more confident that I might see a few flurries at my elevation tomorrow.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

gfs is starting to pick up on the idea of this low cruising up the coast a little better. 

[TacomaWaWx]

16 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

gfs is starting to pick up on the idea of this low cruising up the coast a little better. 

I’m definitely going to have to get out to the western kitsap peninsula sometime this week. 

[TacomaWaWx]

44/35 spread today. Might get below 35 here before midnight tonight too. 

[TheNewCulverJosh]

Hmmm, winter storm warning stretching from Burns out to Baker City.  Won't take much northerly movement of the low to get us here in Central OR into the goods.