snow_wizard 11705 Posted January 31 Report Share Posted January 31 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: What happened to the easy cold solution coming up in 5 days and the warm runs over-thinking it? I'm surprised it went the way it did. You just never know on his stuff. Thankfully it's abundantly clear we will get another stab at it. An interesting note is the parallel was the first model to pick on potential problems this week. A feather in its cap I suppose. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3724 Posted January 31 Report Share Posted January 31 14 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I'm surprised it went the way it did. You just never know on his stuff. Thankfully it's abundantly clear we will get another stab at it. An interesting note is the parallel was the first model to pick on potential problems this week. A feather in its cap I suppose. Yeah... you never know. Best not to spike the football before the goal line. 5 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5627 Posted January 31 Report Share Posted January 31 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Yeah... you never know. Best not to spike the football before the goal line. You mean fumble on the goal line? Spiking the ball with a running clock is actually beneficial since Pete will have burned his timeouts in the 3rd quarter...unless it's 4th and goal of course. 3 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10591 Posted February 1 Author Report Share Posted February 1 Up to .70” on the day!! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Omegaraptor 2384 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 At this point, just tell me when Arctic air is 2-3 days out. Until then, I'm not buying it. Gotta see it to believe it. 8 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14870 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 1 minute ago, Omegaraptor said: At this point, just tell me when Arctic air is 2-3 days out. Until then, I'm not buying it. Gotta see it to believe it. Don't blame you one bit! 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Skagit Weather 656 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 Well, this was going to be one of my driest Januarys on record with just under 3" of rain, but then today certainly rectified that. Up to 0.57" on the day and still coming down. It will be interesting to see how much I end up getting. Already have almost 4 times as much as the WRF was predicting for today. Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.43 (2012) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 6.9" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" 2020-21: 10.5" (2/10: Tr, 2/12: 0.5" , 2/13: 8.5", 2/14: 1.5") Link to post Share on other sites
Snowdrift 413 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 1 hour ago, BLI snowman said: Yeah, 0/-18 day at Spokane on the 27th. PDX was 22/8. They don't make cold pools like that anymore! The whole month was bone chilling. Every year January arrives, and I hope for something like that. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Popular Post dolt 1365 Posted February 1 Popular Post Report Share Posted February 1 This has been one of the most disappointing winters in recent memory. Obviously, there is still a chance that something interesting occurs but I won't hold my breath. I do want to say thank you to all that have posted maps and model analysis for the past few months. It is greatly appreciated. 16 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10591 Posted February 1 Author Report Share Posted February 1 4 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: Well, this was going to be one of my driest Januarys on record with just under 3" of rain, but then today certainly rectified that. Up to 0.57" on the day and still coming down. It will be interesting to see how much I end up getting. Already have almost 4 times as much as the WRF was predicting for today. Up to .73” here now, 6.95” for the month. Wet. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
mtep 269 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 Very wet day in Bellingham today. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TacomaWaWx 4388 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 0.15” today...9.66” on the month. Quote Cold season stats Coldest low-25 Coldest high-32 Freezes-15 Monthly rainfall-0.00” Cold season rainfall-32.09” Snowfall-15.5” Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14870 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 Snow just started in NYC 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11768 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 1 hour ago, BLI snowman said: How's the sleet, Phil? Getting snizzle at the moment. Rates have been ~ 1”/year since 5pm. 6 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11768 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 New NWS forecast is for 24-30” in E-PA/NJ. Jealousy is consuming my psyche. Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
TacomaWaWx 4388 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 11 minutes ago, Phil said: New NWS forecast is for 24-30” in E-PA/NJ. Jealousy is consuming my psyche. It could be worse you could be us here in the western PNW lowlands! 1 Quote Cold season stats Coldest low-25 Coldest high-32 Freezes-15 Monthly rainfall-0.00” Cold season rainfall-32.09” Snowfall-15.5” Link to post Share on other sites
dolt 1365 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 Back to back turdfests. The record is 44.5. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 994 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 53 minutes ago, MossMan said: Up to .73” here now, 6.95” for the month. Wet. .55" today, 7.35" for the month and year. Still hopeful for some snow and cold but with 10 days out confidence. High today of 47, the 19th sub 50 max in a row. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14870 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 10 minutes ago, dolt said: Back to back turdfests. The record is 44.5. What’s #1? 18-19? Lol Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11705 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 10 minutes ago, Acer said: .55" today, 7.35" for the month and year. Still hopeful for some snow and cold but with 10 days out confidence. It would be really defying the odds if we strike out in Feb / early March. Something is likely to happen, but no guarantees obviously. One interesting thing to remember is that very often La Nina winters that don't work out here are terrible nationwide. That has not been the case this winter. Just going from from where we are at MJO, ENSO, QBO, low solar, etc wise in combination with the first half of the winter being such aa torch it is highly likely we will score before its over. As I've mentioned before the fact we are going have all the major indices tanked sets the stage for something pretty epic. We'll just have to wait and see. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11705 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 19 minutes ago, dolt said: Back to back turdfests. The record is 44.5. We ended up a little bit lower this winter than last for Dec - Jan. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
1000'NorthBend 274 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 Only 0.01” of rain up here today, we’re on quite a dry streak, 0.3” total over last few weeks. Went mountain biking at Tiger Mountain today, found snow at ~2,600’. The top (~3,000’) was snowy enough in spots to enjoy some slip sliding on the bike for a bit. 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11705 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 Just taking a quick look at my personal records last February was the coldest month last winter. It's like even our worst Febs right now end up close to normal even when the rest of the winter is awful. I'm still reasonably confident this one will end up below normal. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11705 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 5 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said: Only 0.01” of rain up here today, we’re on quite a dry streak, 0.3” total over last few weeks. Went mountain biking at Tiger Mountain today, found snow at ~2,600’. The top (~3,000’) was snowy enough in spots to enjoy some slip sliding on the bike for a bit. It's been a lot drier here today than other places as well. I was pretty surprised. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
Omegaraptor 2384 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 Just now, snow_wizard said: Just taking a quick look at my personal records last February was the coldest month last winter. It's like even our worst Febs right now end up close to normal even when the rest of the winter is awful. I'm still reasonably confident this one will end up below normal. Please don’t jinx it 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Christensen87 290 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 I’m still thinking the fun starts the week after the Super Bowl. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Omegaraptor 2384 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 Hillsboro got to 55 today. Given full overcast and 850s only 2°C or so, a little warmer than you’d expect. With HIO now getting warmer daytime temps than PDX two days in a row, looks like inversion season is coming to an end. Also, it got quite cold in both places 71 years ago. HIO was -10 and PDX -2. 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11705 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 I'm really surprised that PDX was warmer both this winter and last winter Dec - Jan than 2014 - 15. Up here that one was definitely warmer. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11705 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 4 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Please don’t jinx it It would be nearly impossible for it not to happen given the circumstances, but you never know I guess. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11705 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Hillsboro got to 55 today. Given full overcast and 850s only 2°C or so, a little warmer than you’d expect. Up here it only got to 46 while I was expecting it to challenge 50. I think the dead winds here have helped. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 35 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14870 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I'm really surprised that PDX was warmer both this winter and last winter Dec - Jan than 2014 - 15. Up here that one was definitely warmer. There was a little cold snap down here around New Year's that winter. Nothing exciting, but IIRC colder than anything they saw this year. Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14870 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 Of course the November 2014 cold snap was better than anything PDX has seen this winter. Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3724 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 13 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: It would be nearly impossible for it not to happen given the circumstances, but you never know I guess. Oh man... this a jinx if I ever heard one. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3724 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 26 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said: Only 0.01” of rain up here today, we’re on quite a dry streak, 0.3” total over last few weeks. Went mountain biking at Tiger Mountain today, found snow at ~2,600’. The top (~3,000’) was snowy enough in spots to enjoy some slip sliding on the bike for a bit. Yeah... its been unusually dry up here with persistent offshore over the last 2 weeks. It's about time we got a break. Storminess in CA and OR usually results in nice weather in the EPSL. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
weatherfan2012 257 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 59 minutes ago, Phil said: New NWS forecast is for 24-30” in E-PA/NJ. Jealousy is consuming my psyche. Not really jealous to be honest we knew this was a Miller B now if this was a Miller A then entirly different story pure jealousy then Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14870 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 Just now, TT-SEA said: Yeah... its been unusually dry up here with persistent offshore over the last 2 weeks. It's about time we got a break. Storminess in CA and OR usually results in nice weather in the EPSL. Last half of the month was still drier than average here, just not bone dry. Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 994 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Oh man... this a jinx if I ever heard one. Yeah, and I'm not sure your calling it out is enough to unjinx it. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8918 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 29 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Hillsboro got to 55 today. Given full overcast and 850s only 2°C or so, a little warmer than you’d expect. With HIO now getting warmer daytime temps than PDX two days in a row, looks like inversion season is coming to an end. Also, it got quite cold in both places 71 years ago. HIO was -10 and PDX -2. How do you figure HIO getting warmer than PDX during a well mixed, rainy day with south winds at one location and east winds at the other has anything to do with inversion season ending? I mean we gradually pull out of it the next few weeks, but the temp profile today didn’t really have anything to do with that. Could have easily seen the exact same set up a month and a half ago. In fact both locations hit 60 degrees with a strong south wind on the winter solstice. 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3724 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 1 minute ago, Acer said: Yeah, and I'm not sure your calling it out is enough to unjinx it. That is a good point. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10591 Posted February 1 Author Report Share Posted February 1 Up to .91” on the day! 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Snowdrift 413 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 The CPC is still thinking colder than average. 3 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10591 Posted February 1 Author Report Share Posted February 1 Heaven. Looks like they are at the 2’ mark. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Meatyorologist 2007 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 Just now, Snowdrift said: The CPC is still thinking colder than average. Because it will be. Mostly NW flow seems to be the dominant look for the next week or so, and there isn't much to oppose that pattern afterwards. Whether we get arctic air or not is another question... 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Snowdrift 413 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 Man, the Northeast has scored this winter. Even the South has done pretty well. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8918 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: Because it will be. Mostly NW flow seems to be the dominant look for the next week or so, and there isn't much to oppose that pattern afterwards. Whether we get arctic air or not is another question... I for one am looking forward to what will be an active and hopefully chilly-ish Niña spring. 1 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Snowdrift 413 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: Because it will be. Mostly NW flow seems to be the dominant look for the next week or so, and there isn't much to oppose that pattern afterwards. Whether we get arctic air or not is another question... We won't torch like December and January. I say good enough. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14870 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 Yeah we only hit 47 up here, which was a good 4-5 degrees cooler than SLE. Not an inversion day. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Snowdrift 413 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 1 minute ago, Jesse said: I for one am looking forward to what will be an active and hopefully chilly-ish Niña spring. I'm sure we'll build some healthy snowpack in March and April. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8918 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Yeah we only hit 47 up here, which was a good 4-5 degrees cooler than SLE. Not an inversion day. Thanks for having my back AnDrew. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14870 Posted February 1 Report Share Posted February 1 2 minutes ago, Jesse said: Thanks for having my back AnDrew. AlwAyz 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
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