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January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


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9 minutes ago, Dan the Weatherman said:

I wish you could share some of that rain with much of California!

A couple December snow draft picks would be a fair trade for half of ours.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 47 (Most recent: Apr 9, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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View outside...

Some pics on the way up to my property.  The ones on the road are 1/4 mile down the road and the gate is the beginning of my 120 acre land.

No idea this was going to happen today! Mcminnville  

Posted Images

50 minutes ago, Dan the Weatherman said:

Looking good?? That looks like the RRR blocking the entire west coast from getting needed precip, although I know the PNW has been getting quite a bit of rain lately.

Been plenty of rain up in Washington so far this fall/winter. Would rather it go south at this point. 

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-0

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.39”

Warm Season Rainfall-0.39”

Warmest high temp-63

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6 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Tim is trying too hard to hide his true feelings yet again.

On what?

If it were up to me... we would get all our average rain each month as quickly as possible.   And then have an extended period of generally dry weather.   Of course that is pretty rare... but it might be happening this month.

 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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10 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Tim is trying too hard to hide his true feelings yet again.

Welp, here we go. Good bait on that hook.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 47 (Most recent: Apr 9, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Welp, here we go. Good bait on that hook.

Yeah... no.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Socially distant forum party in Twisp!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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12 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

It's not bait if it's true.  I am by far not the only one thinking what I said on here 

Dude... who cares?  You are making it personal for no reason.  I like heavy rain.  Its more efficient at getting to average and more enjoyable to me than days of drizzle. And some people love days of drizzle and they find that comforting.  

Why does it matter?   We all talk about things we like. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Snowing nicely up in twisp right now. Been waiting for some bands to make it over here after watching my cameras at home in Renton just show constant dumpage all day. 

How long are you up there?   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Socially distant forum party in Twisp!

Room for everyone up here. Maybe I could start charging for people who need to get their snow fix for a few days. Start a glamping business or something.

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1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said:

We need less drama and more EPS maps. 

Should be no drama other than the models! 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Finished with 0.69” as of midnight...exactly 4” of rain on the month. Still dumping out there. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-0

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.39”

Warm Season Rainfall-0.39”

Warmest high temp-63

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z EPS at day 15...

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1187200.png

We’ve got a long way to go and a short time to get there.

We’re gonna do what they say can’t be done!

#ripburtreynolds

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Wasn’t planning on being up for night shift but yet here we are.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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I'll probably get back to posting once cold snaps start showing themselves within 200 hours, rather than out in the complete fantasy range. Ensemble guidance and SSW-guided MJO reset is showing promise for the second half of this month, but right now with my winter quarter starting and nothing interesting within the realistic range, I'd rather take the sleep.

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It's been years since I've seen the WA cascade snowpack this healthy. Everything over 120%. Olympics close to 150%. 

Lower Snake pack needs a bit of work at 97% and the east side of the mountains only ~110%.

Would be good to have a cool spring, followed up by an average-to-cool summer...might be able to keep some of the pack over 5000' feet into September if lucky.

Edit: Might as well point out here that Mt. Baker probably added another 20" or so tonight...Stevens Pass likely will end up having added 17-20" by the time the sun comes up. Very healthy mountain passes up here. 

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2 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

It's been years since I've seen the WA cascade snowpack this healthy. Everything over 120%. Olympics close to 150%. 

Lower Snake pack needs a bit of work at 97% and the east side of the mountains only ~110%.

Would be good to have a cool spring, followed up by an average-to-cool summer...might be able to keep some of the pack over 5000' feet into September if lucky. 

Yeah, that's one large positive of this constant westerly flow. Highs in the 40's and lows in the 30's have resulted in wet climo for the majority of the winter, and consequently a bountiful snowpack. Solid chance that this Spring will be nutty up in the Cascades.

As much as people have complained about the largely mundane weather, it has certainly not been a bad winter. Even 1988-89 was largely a split flow-ish winter, with extended dry periods and below average precip/mountain snowfall. This winter at least hasn't been harmful to our ecology.

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The first 5 days of January were my warmest in 11 years. The average low of 44.4 is barely below the average high this time of the year.
And wettest as well, with 2.59" of rain. The next closest was 1.42" just last year. That month ended up with over 11" of rain.
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4 hours ago, smerfylicious said:

It's been years since I've seen the WA cascade snowpack this healthy. Everything over 120%. Olympics close to 150%. 

Lower Snake pack needs a bit of work at 97% and the east side of the mountains only ~110%.

Would be good to have a cool spring, followed up by an average-to-cool summer...might be able to keep some of the pack over 5000' feet into September if lucky.

Edit: Might as well point out here that Mt. Baker probably added another 20" or so tonight...Stevens Pass likely will end up having added 17-20" by the time the sun comes up. Very healthy mountain passes up here. 

It had to be as good or better at this point in 2016... following that insanely rainy and mountain snowy month of December 2015.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 hours ago, smerfylicious said:

It's been years since I've seen the WA cascade snowpack this healthy. Everything over 120%. Olympics close to 150%. 

Lower Snake pack needs a bit of work at 97% and the east side of the mountains only ~110%.

Would be good to have a cool spring, followed up by an average-to-cool summer...might be able to keep some of the pack over 5000' feet into September if lucky.

Edit: Might as well point out here that Mt. Baker probably added another 20" or so tonight...Stevens Pass likely will end up having added 17-20" by the time the sun comes up. Very healthy mountain passes up here. 

Hopefully some more down this way.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 47 (Most recent: Apr 9, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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8 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Its been really wet...

 

sea.png

Interesting as this year is a carbon copy of 2006-2007 down here so far. Winter was only 30 days long that winter with all of our precip falling in Feb. Looking at the long range we are going to have to wait until Feb now for any signs of winter. 2006-2007 ended up being an extreme drought for us. With how dry last year was this is not looking good for California. Hope you guys are Prepared for another summer of smoke from all of our fires. 

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4 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

Interesting as this year is a carbon copy of 2006-2007 down here so far. Winter was only 30 days long that winter with all of our precip falling in Feb. Looking at the long range we are going to have to wait until Feb now for any signs of winter. 2006-2007 ended up being an extreme drought for us. With how dry last year was this is not looking good for California. Hope you guys are Prepared for another summer of smoke from all of our fires. 

Yeah... the irony up here is that we could have copious precip all winter and spring but if CA and/or AK are really dry then we will still get smoke.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 hours ago, smerfylicious said:

It's been years since I've seen the WA cascade snowpack this healthy. Everything over 120%. Olympics close to 150%. 

Lower Snake pack needs a bit of work at 97% and the east side of the mountains only ~110%.

Would be good to have a cool spring, followed up by an average-to-cool summer...might be able to keep some of the pack over 5000' feet into September if lucky.

Edit: Might as well point out here that Mt. Baker probably added another 20" or so tonight...Stevens Pass likely will end up having added 17-20" by the time the sun comes up. Very healthy mountain passes up here. 

wa_swepctnormal_update-1.thumb.jpg.9246b192902964a7a50c242737d7c6ec.jpg

Yep, Baker adds another 22" in the last 24 hours to put its base at 155" at 4,000 ft. To put this in perspective the average snow depth at this time of year is just under 100" and it gets to 155" normally by the middle of March. Depending on how the snow holds up, Baker could end up close to its record depth for mid January by the middle of the month.

These are the average, min, and max values for snow during Baker's entire period of record which dates back to 1927.

mtbakerclimo.thumb.png.6670a08287aea363736ecb4f212e50f6.png

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.43 (2012)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 6.9"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" 

2020-21: 10.5" (2/10: Tr, 2/12: 0.5" , 2/13: 8.5", 2/14: 1.5")

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... the irony up here is that we could have copious precip all winter and spring but if CA and/or AK are really dry then we will still get smoke.    

I am hoping we luck out and get a wet spring like in the drought years 2013-2015 where most of our precip came in later April-May to help mitigate the fire season. Last summer we had 80 straight days of AQI over 200. It sucked. 

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3 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

I am hoping we luck out and get a wet spring like in the drought years 2013-2015 where most of our precip came in later April-May to help mitigate the fire season. Last summer we had 80 straight days of AQI over 200. It sucked. 

I hope you guys can bounce back too. Although of course hazy upper levels from distant smoke is a lot better than the choking, thick surface smoke from local fires anyway. That’s what we had for a few weeks here back in September.

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6 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

I am hoping we luck out and get a wet spring like in the drought years 2013-2015 where most of our precip came in later April-May to help mitigate the fire season. Last summer we had 80 straight days of AQI over 200. It sucked. 

It would be awesome for everyone if the jet stream could focus on CA in February and March.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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No love for the 06z?! ;)

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Not the worst!

gfs-ens_z500a_namer_65.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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7 hours ago, Deweydog said:

We’ve got a long way to go and a short time to get there.

We’re gonna do what they say can’t be done!

#ripburtreynolds

Rip Jerry reed!! 

We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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15 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Currently 42 degrees and drizzle. 
.11” so far on the day, 3.12” for the month. 

A3AB7AE1-DA93-4513-98CE-81DBB99FC0BC.jpeg

Some improvements on the daily fuzz!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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My friend who lives in Central Oregon says he hasn’t had a drop of rain since New Years. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

My friend who lives in Central Oregon says he hasn’t had a drop of rain since New Years. 

It is a desert.

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4 minutes ago, Timmy said:

It is a desert.

You got that right!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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3 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Semi-arid

Depends which climate type model you are using.  Calling it a desert is pretty accurate and descriptive.

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