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January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


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1 minute ago, Timmy said:

Thanks for your concern. It is a little frustrating knowing pro contact sports are allowed and the 11,000sq/f gym I own can’t have a single person in it.  The nfl probably has better lawyers.

Wow. :( I am sorry. I take COVID pretty seriously, but I think a lot of these shutdowns have gone to far. I am sure there are ways you can safely operate your business. And let's be real, most of the people hitting it hard in the gym are not at high risk for COVID complications. I know we have a separate thread for this, but I just wanted to say I am sorry about that, it is not right. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0.5"                        2020-21: 27.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Wow. :( I am sorry. I take COVID pretty seriously, but I think a lot of these shutdowns have gone to far. I am sure there are ways you can safely operate your business. And let's be real, most of the people hitting it hard in the gym are not at high risk for COVID complications. I know we have a separate thread for this, but I just wanted to say I am sorry about that, it is not right. 

Off-topic. As I have been saying on the Fox 12 fb page since March, if Walmart is open there is no reason whatsoever that every other business can't be adhering to the same safety protocols. The shut downs are intentional and it is not a coincidence that Democrat ran cities are the only ones with draconian and tyrannical shut downs even when the science, yea that same science they continuously tout does not show them being necessary. A 1% rate of transmission for indoor dining and negligible risk for schools is proof they do not follow the science. Business owners should have stopped complying back in April and do not pay a single unconstitutional fine. A gym owner back in New Jersey remained open and has incurred $1.2 MIL in fines and he will not pay a dime.

00z GFS in 1 hour

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18 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Off-topic. As I have been saying on the Fox 12 fb page since March, if Walmart is open there is no reason whatsoever that every other business can't be adhering to the same safety protocols. The shut downs are intentional and it is not a coincidence that Democrat ran cities are the only ones with draconian and tyrannical shut downs even when the science, yea that same science they continuously tout does not show them being necessary. A 1% rate of transmission for indoor dining and negligible risk for schools is proof they do not follow the science. Business owners should have stopped complying back in April and do not pay a single unconstitutional fine. A gym owner back in New Jersey remained open and has incurred $1.2 MIL in fines and he will not pay a dime.

00z GFS in 1 hour

The fines are probably unenforceable.  I'm surprised there haven't been way more court cases about this.  States like Florida are totally up and running and there is not a notable difference in COVID cases there.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.3"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 25

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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23 minutes ago, weather girl said:

I have been reading about the polar vortex and thought things might be getting interesting.  I wanted to say hi and hope y'all are doing well!

Nice to have you back!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.3"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 25

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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4 hours ago, bainbridgekid said:

Apparently parts of the city got 20". First real snow for Madrid in 10 years. Truly absurd.

 

ErSSK1FXcAAIjU_.jpeg

ErSSH0jXEAAiJCY.jpeg

Speaking of places that don't usually get much snow getting a lot, parts of west central TX are supposed to get up to 8" tomorrow.

Low. Solar.

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26 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Off-topic. As I have been saying on the Fox 12 fb page since March, if Walmart is open there is no reason whatsoever that every other business can't be adhering to the same safety protocols. The shut downs are intentional and it is not a coincidence that Democrat ran cities are the only ones with draconian and tyrannical shut downs even when the science, yea that same science they continuously tout does not show them being necessary. A 1% rate of transmission for indoor dining and negligible risk for schools is proof they do not follow the science. Business owners should have stopped complying back in April and do not pay a single unconstitutional fine. A gym owner back in New Jersey remained open and has incurred $1.2 MIL in fines and he will not pay a dime.

00z GFS in 1 hour

Countries all over the world are struggling to find the same balance between public health and maintaining the economy, and believe it or not, most those places are not run by Democrats or Republicans. 

The UK has much more draconian restrictions currently than we do (and the country is run by a very un-Democrat like prime minister), but they really had no choice - it got to a point where the virus was spreading so quickly, if they didn't do something hospitals were going to be stretched to a breaking point. 

A primary responsibility of government is to make sure its people have adequate access to health care. If the hospital system is overrun and breaks down, that doesn't happen. And the more densely populated a region or country is (the UK is very densely populated), the easier covid spreads and the easier it is for outbreaks to overwhelm the health care system.

Point being, what restrictions are "necessary" is definitely subjective and depends on a variety of factors, but it's not a simple political thing.

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Low. Solar.

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38F with some fog.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 30 (Most recent: Jan 24, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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46 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Wow. :( I am sorry. I take COVID pretty seriously, but I think a lot of these shutdowns have gone to far. I am sure there are ways you can safely operate your business. And let's be real, most of the people hitting it hard in the gym are not at high risk for COVID complications. I know we have a separate thread for this, but I just wanted to say I am sorry about that, it is not right. 

 

39 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Off-topic. As I have been saying on the Fox 12 fb page since March, if Walmart is open there is no reason whatsoever that every other business can't be adhering to the same safety protocols. The shut downs are intentional and it is not a coincidence that Democrat ran cities are the only ones with draconian and tyrannical shut downs even when the science, yea that same science they continuously tout does not show them being necessary. A 1% rate of transmission for indoor dining and negligible risk for schools is proof they do not follow the science. Business owners should have stopped complying back in April and do not pay a single unconstitutional fine. A gym owner back in New Jersey remained open and has incurred $1.2 MIL in fines and he will not pay a dime.

00z GFS in 1 hour

 

19 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The fines are probably unenforceable.  I'm surprised there haven't been way more court cases about this.  States like Florida are totally up and running and there is not a notable difference in COVID cases there.

 

3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

 

 

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Low. Solar.

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Down to 35! 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0.5"                        2020-21: 27.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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30 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Countries all over the world are struggling to find the same balance between public health and maintaining the economy, and believe it or not, most those places are not run by Democrats or Republicans. 

The UK has much more draconian restrictions currently than we do (and the country is run by a very un-Democrat like prime minister), but they really had no choice - it got to a point where the virus was spreading so quickly, if they didn't do something hospitals were going to be stretched to a breaking point. 

A primary responsibility of government is to make sure its people have adequate access to health care. If the hospital system is overrun and breaks down, that doesn't happen. And the more densely populated a region or country is (the UK is very densely populated), the easier covid spreads and the easier it is for outbreaks to overwhelm the health care system.

Point being, what restrictions are "necessary" is definitely subjective and depends on a variety of factors, but it's not a simple political thing.

I'm only talking about our country, and it is undeniable. According to the OHA there are no known flu cases in Oregon and no hospitalizations. Wow. I find it amazing how after thousands of years the Flu has magically vanished. It just took another virus to wipe out the Flu. The current flu rate in the US is at 0.1% and last year at this time 22.1%. That is not scientifically possible in any way. It's not. Authorities are lumping all the flu cases and deaths in with the Covid numbers. CDC states they have also added heart attack, cancer, bacterial pneumonia, viral pneumonia, and other causes. We end up with having no idea what the true numbers are and that is intentional. This further verifies that we've never had any reason to shut down a D**n thing. Ridiculous SCAMdemic and we all knew it back in March. Obey. Comply. Obey. Comply. Enough! NOPE!

00z ECMWF in 2 hours 5 minutes

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40 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

I'm only talking about our country, and it is undeniable. According to the OHA there are no known flu cases in Oregon and no hospitalizations. Wow. I find it amazing how after thousands of years the Flu has magically vanished. It just took another virus to wipe out the Flu. The current flu rate in the US is at 0.1% and last year at this time 22.1%. That is not scientifically possible in any way. It's not. Authorities are lumping all the flu cases and deaths in with the Covid numbers. CDC states they have also added heart attack, cancer, bacterial pneumonia, viral pneumonia, and other causes. We end up with having no idea what the true numbers are and that is intentional. This further verifies that we've never had any reason to shut down a D**n thing. Ridiculous SCAMdemic and we all knew it back in March. Obey. Comply. Obey. Comply. Enough! NOPE!

00z ECMWF in 2 hours 5 minutes

This is the last thing I'll say on this subject. Again...look around the world. Almost everywhere is reporting the same thing - very little flu. Why? It's a lot less transmissible than covid, and the social restrictions made it very difficult to spread, to the point that it's practically wiped out in some areas. Of course, it will eventually come back.

If you want to believe that the entire world is in on this giant conspiracy and medical professionals everywhere are purposefully misidentifying various conditions, ok. Doesn't make any sense to me.

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Low. Solar.

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1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said:

I'm only talking about our country, and it is undeniable. According to the OHA there are no known flu cases in Oregon and no hospitalizations. Wow. I find it amazing how after thousands of years the Flu has magically vanished. It just took another virus to wipe out the Flu. The current flu rate in the US is at 0.1% and last year at this time 22.1%. That is not scientifically possible in any way. It's not. Authorities are lumping all the flu cases and deaths in with the Covid numbers. CDC states they have also added heart attack, cancer, bacterial pneumonia, viral pneumonia, and other causes. We end up with having no idea what the true numbers are and that is intentional. This further verifies that we've never had any reason to shut down a D**n thing. Ridiculous SCAMdemic and we all knew it back in March. Obey. Comply. Obey. Comply. Enough! NOPE!

00z ECMWF in 2 hours 5 minutes

Fred can we open a new covid thread except for just Facebook undergrad university of youtube doctor theories 

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1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said:

The mega Greenland Block disappears on the 00z. Alaska and Canada is much colder at day 12 as a result. 

 

c18f3a86-5970-440d-9668-9280441713ff.gif

Pretty crazy shift.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Godzilla block on the 06z. I'd say it's too far west, but it's so gargantuan that its immense size might be able to compensate for its awkward placement. Currently sending down recycled Bering sea air at hour 312; an AK express. When was the last time that happened?

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1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said:

This would be fun.

 

500h_anom.na (11).png

Pretty much in agreement with the 12Z EPS at the same time...

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1403200.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Cold air makes a beeline from the Bering Sea West of Alaska straight to us on the 00z. This would be a very unusual setup but anything is possible with a gargantuan block like that.

Would definitely be more maritime polar air coming from that direction but what's shown is pretty nutty. About as cold onshore flow as is possible around here.

 

401d4fc8-2bf5-49dd-a374-528689b88c87.gif

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Everett Snowfall

 

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

 

1/10: 0.5"

1/12: 5.5"

1/13: 1"

1/14: 1.5"

1/15: 2"

 

 

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I think that given the lack high latitude blocking on this one, it'll be a more frigid maritime pattern, but it's still something fun to look at. A San Francisco highlands snowfall type of pattern. PSCZ convective accumulations during the night, highs in the thirties. Much like January 2012.

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No, it's not arctic, but if you handed me a button saying, "If you press this, the 00z will verify, and if you don't, it's up to chance," I'd press it in a heartbeat. It's not arctic, but it's not warm, either, and would likely give everyone a shot at some point.

And looking at these further frames coming in, I think it sets us up nicely for a more lucrative second try, as heights more readily build into AK and a cold pool firmly entrenches itself into western Canada.

*edit: nvm the AL reigns supreme, and our precious block is halted at US customs in Anchorage. Still not a bad pattern by any means.

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27 and thick fog. Airport isn't seeing this one, must be localized.

Visibility has gotta be about 1/2 mile here.

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
 
2020-2021 - 07.50"
Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%)
Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%)
Jan '21 - 02.90"
 
2021 Thunderstorms
--/--,
 
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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