TT-SEA 1981 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 16 minutes ago, Ray said: Thanks Tim. From just poking around it looks like daytime temps will be above freezing. Do you know of specific cities (worst areas on that route) we should monitor for weather conditions? I'm debating on advising her to go I-5 or 101. There are pluses and minuses for both. Thanks again! There aren't really any cities in that area where the snow is likely to be the most significant. I am guessing maybe the town of Mt. Shasta CA (elev 3,586) is one area to watch. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
Ray 52 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: There aren't really any cities in that area where the snow is likely to be the most significant. I am guessing maybe the town of Mt. Shasta CA is one area to watch. Thank you. That gives me a great starting point. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 1981 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 4 minutes ago, MossMan said: Does not look good for my area however. Well crap. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
Jginmartini 3378 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 15 minutes ago, MossMan said: Wind!! Have had several gusts rock the house over the last hour. Light drizzle and 46. .01” so far on the day. Trees here beginning to do a warm up dance. 47* 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jginmartini 3378 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 Current wind speeds 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 9474 Posted January 2 Author Report Share Posted January 2 Yum! 4 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ShawniganLake 5304 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 Windy and rainy. 0.55” so far this morning 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8021 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 Ended 2020 with a very mild and mostly dry 53/45 day. Started 2021 with a somewhat wet and mild 50/44 day; close to a quarter inch of rainfall. A wet and mild 46 degrees with light rain currently. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8021 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 Nice to see a wind advisory for the valleys and a snow advisory for the Cascades tonight, at very least. As has been said by others, the current pattern beats endless death ridging by a long shot. Although it would be great to see things turn colder and snowier at some point this month. I will say I am a little disappointed the jet won't be as suppressed the first 7-10 days of January as previously advertised on some of last week's runs. What looked to be a 2008 type pattern has morphed into more of a 2006 type pattern. 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 9474 Posted January 2 Author Report Share Posted January 2 The trees are dancing a bit. IMG_1581.MOV 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 13446 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 Another horrible GFS run. Still no sign of a pattern change. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 0.5" 2020-21: 27.38" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8021 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Another horrible GFS run. Still no sign of a pattern change. I'm sorry its been such a rough start to the year for you Andrew. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 13446 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 5 minutes ago, Jesse said: I'm sorry its been such a rough start to the year for you Andrew. Really bothers you when folks point out the obvious doesn't it? 1 2 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 0.5" 2020-21: 27.38" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
dolt 1303 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 2021 has started with sweaty ball sacs. 1 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
BLI snowman 5948 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 12z GFS is insanely wet. Precip totals through hour 324 2 1 3 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 13446 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 Just now, dolt said: 2021 has started with sweaty ball sacs. Could not agree more! On a weather related note, the 12z run is pretty wet! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 0.5" 2020-21: 27.38" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
dolt 1303 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Could not agree more! On a weather related note, the 12z run is pretty wet! At least we have a Duck major bowl win to look forward to in a few hours. Not looking forward to a windy day though. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8021 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Really bothers you when folks point out the obvious doesn't it? Hey, we both are! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8021 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 15 minutes ago, dolt said: 2021 has started with sweaty ball sacs. Maybe try smoking a phat bowl in a snow cave. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
dolt 1303 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, Jesse said: Maybe try smoking a phat bowl in a snow cave. I'd love to. Just need a few more feet of snow. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8021 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 Just now, dolt said: I'd love to. Just need a few more feet of snow. That could come with some wind. Be careful what you wish for!! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8021 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 39 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: 12z GFS is insanely wet. Precip totals through hour 324 Pretty epic mountain snow pattern too. Especially for Washington. This is through hour 240 on the same run. Would be nice to see the jet aimed just a little farther south with this same general pattern. More toward Eureka, CA than Forks, WA. Although judging by recent trends it may end up aimed farther north than currently shown. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 167 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 Probably has been posted but the signal is there for some fun the next 3 months. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 13395 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 PDX hit 55 yesterday??? 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
Omegaraptor 2144 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 January running +11 so far. 1 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
seattleweatherguy 440 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 according to ventusky bothell could get 40mph plus gusts and yet not under the wind advisory hmmm 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8021 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 21 minutes ago, Deweydog said: PDX hit 55 yesterday??? Noticed that last night. I think it was a mistake since I didn’t see anything on the five minute obs. Jokes about strongly worded letters etc... Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 1981 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 Snow between 10 p.m. and 4 a.m... 2 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
Timmy 1943 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 Gefs continues to look decent for retrogression in the LR 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 1015 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 10 hours ago, Cloud said: 2020 ended up being quite warm. And quite wet. yuck Some here say 3x that much warming is a good deal because they get the toys they want and someone else will get stuck dealing with most of it, anyhow. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 1015 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 …and Team 50°F Rain wins again! 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
seattleweatherguy 440 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Snow between 10 p.m. and 4 a.m... Wow just a dusting 0.5 for Bothell but I will take it Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ShawniganLake 5304 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 1 hour ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: Probably has been posted but the signal is there for some fun the next 3 months. Looks like a cut and paste for cold ENSO 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 721 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 46 here, .35" so far today. Looking forward to 6 or 7" of rain in the next several days. The good news is that with all the standing water on the property I will have a nice skating rink when the arctic air (Godot) settles in after the deluge. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Timmy_Supercell 2065 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 I would have preferred more snow on the ground for walking. All the steps going up the hill are icy. lol But good thing ice is pretty rare at my place. Quote Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR ------------------------------------------------------------------- Snowfall (with % of seasonal average) 2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%) 2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%) 2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%) 2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%) 2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%) 2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%) 2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%) 2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%) 2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%) 2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%) 2020-2021 - 07.50" Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%) Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%) Jan '21 - 02.90" 2021 Thunderstorms --/--, Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019) Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012) Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012) T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011) 1980-2015 Avg = 12 Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) "Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016) Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports) (06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011) Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 13446 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 0.67” overnight. Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 0.5" 2020-21: 27.38" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Popular Post luvssnow_seattle 1621 Posted January 2 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 2 Hey everyone! I have been loving the life here in Spokane WA. So glad to leave western WA (the swamp) behind. Had numerous snow since living here. Recent storm brought about 5 to 6 inches here in Spokane Valley. I will share more as winter progresses. Been very absent this year, since our move. 13 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 1981 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, Acer said: 46 here, .35" so far today. Looking forward to 6 or 7" of rain in the next several days. The good news is that with all the standing water on the property I will have a nice skating rink when the arctic air (Godot) settles in after the deluge. Most of that would have to come today then... because the 12Z ECMWF shows that from tomorrow afternoon through the work week your area only gets 1-2 inches of rain. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 5611 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Snow between 10 p.m. and 4 a.m... I just don't see how this comes to fruition. Surface temps are 36/37, 925s are 1/0c, and 850s are -2/-3c. Even more borderline than the solstice storm. Precip rates are pretty light by 1 or 2AM so wouldn't count on much help there. You might get lucky and see something but fully expecting zilch down here even though that shows 2 inches. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11121 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 The whole SSW process has trended into a more slow, prolonged displacement and shredding of the vortex vs a quick cut of the jugular. Now the major warming is just the opening act that throws the vortex off balance/tilts w/ height as it slowly bleeds out from follow up wave activity. So perhaps the pattern response will be of the slow variety as well instead of a quick flip. 3 2 2 1 1 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 1981 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: I just don't see how this comes to fruition. Surface temps are 36/37, 925s are 1/0c, and 850s are -2/-3c. Even more borderline than the solstice storm. Precip rates are pretty light by 1 or 2AM so wouldn't count on much help there. You might get lucky and see something but fully expecting zilch down here even though that shows 2 inches. In reality... it could be a period of heavy, wet, non-sticking snow there. Still might be fun to watch and the flakes will probably be huge. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
Timmy_Supercell 2065 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 4 minutes ago, Phil said: The whole SSW process has trended into a more slow, prolonged displacement and shredding of the vortex vs a quick cut of the jugular. Now the major warming is just the opening act that throws the vortex off balance/tilts w/ height as it slowly bleeds out from follow up wave activity. So perhaps the pattern response will be of the slow variety as well instead of a quick flip. So I guess climate change does more than just raise Portland's low temperatures in the summer. 1 Quote Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR ------------------------------------------------------------------- Snowfall (with % of seasonal average) 2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%) 2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%) 2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%) 2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%) 2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%) 2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%) 2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%) 2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%) 2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%) 2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%) 2020-2021 - 07.50" Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%) Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%) Jan '21 - 02.90" 2021 Thunderstorms --/--, Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019) Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012) Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012) T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011) 1980-2015 Avg = 12 Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) "Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016) Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports) (06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011) Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11121 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 2020 precip, from the map god, Brian Brettschneider. 2 1 1 1 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
Jginmartini 3378 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 13 minutes ago, Acer said: 46 here, .35" so far today. Looking forward to 6 or 7" of rain in the next several days. The good news is that with all the standing water on the property I will have a nice skating rink when the arctic air (Godot) settles in after the deluge. I like the way you think!!! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Omegaraptor 2144 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 NWS Portland pulling back a little on “gusts to 50”? 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 13446 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 30 minutes ago, Phil said: The whole SSW process has trended into a more slow, prolonged displacement and shredding of the vortex vs a quick cut of the jugular. Now the major warming is just the opening act that throws the vortex off balance/tilts w/ height as it slowly bleeds out from follow up wave activity. So perhaps the pattern response will be of the slow variety as well instead of a quick flip. I’m sure by March things will be rolling. 2 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 0.5" 2020-21: 27.38" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 721 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 33 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Most of that would have to come today then... because the 12Z ECMWF shows that from tomorrow afternoon through the work week your area only gets 1-2 inches of rain. Just going off the GFS map posted earlier showing copious amounts over the next two weeks. Sometimes I exaggerate. Thanks, I much prefer the Euro version. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 8021 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 16 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: NWS Portland pulling back a little on “gusts to 50”? For a minute there I thought you were actually making a non-whiny post showing enthusiasm for the current weather, then I saw the little part on the bottom. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 721 Posted January 2 Report Share Posted January 2 29 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: I like the way you think!!! Thanks, I don't do it often enough though. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 9474 Posted January 2 Author Report Share Posted January 2 47 minutes ago, Acer said: 46 here, .35" so far today. Looking forward to 6 or 7" of rain in the next several days. The good news is that with all the standing water on the property I will have a nice skating rink when the arctic air (Godot) settles in after the deluge. Like December 1990! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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