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January 2021 weather observations for the PNW


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Some pics on the way up to my property.  The ones on the road are 1/4 mile down the road and the gate is the beginning of my 120 acre land.

I SEE FLAKES! WE DID IT!  I would like to thank every single poster and lurker on this board for working so hard this winter. Everyone gave it their all and it ended up with Tigard getting their

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Disastrous druncle run...oof.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 30 (Most recent: Jan 24, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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Wore out my welcome a bit yesterday, so I thought I would take a little break. That and the power outage which is still ongoing. Then I saw the 18z and knew I was needed!

 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0.5"                        2020-21: 27.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Both GFS ops today are basically worthless because they put that cutoff right in the middle of the ridge merger. No other model or ensemble shows that. The progression is completely affected by that after it. Both runs are different with the handling of that.

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Dewey told us there would be volatility. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0.5"                        2020-21: 27.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Ensembles will be telling

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 30 (Most recent: Jan 24, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

gfs_T850a_nwus_56.png

Awesome! Tim should start seeing his tulips sprouting up again soon and Randy should be able to break out those shorts he was longing for. Winter blast 2021? More like spring fever 2021!

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Even the NWS loves Leslie Nielson

 
Strange wording in hourly observations...."suh-nee". I think that's how it's pronounced. Admittedly, this was disorienting. Asked my smartphone, "Surely, this can't be true?". The phone replied "Yes, it is. And don't call me Shirley". Doh! It was in airplane mode. #wawx #dadjokes
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Op runs don’t really matter that much. It’s just one run in an ensemble of many runs. That was one thing I learned awhile back when I joined the forums a couple years back. I always took the euro and gfs operational runs as scripture of what would really happen. You’ll go crazy chasing each run 2-4 times a day freaking out over each one. 

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Cold season stats  

Coldest low-28

Coldest high-38

Freezes-7

Monthly rainfall-8.77”

Cold season rainfall-25.80”

Snowfall-Tr.

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1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Op runs don’t really matter that much. It’s just one run in an ensemble of many runs. That was one thing I learned awhile back when I joined the forums a couple years back. I always took the euro and gfs operational runs as scripture of what would really happen. You’ll go crazy chasing each run 2-4 times a day freaking out over each one. 

You would think that the people in this forum who have been looking at these models for years would have learned that by now.  You would think.

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8 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

The Arctic air is trying to enter the PNW but the constant barrage of warm fronts isn't having it, literally shoving it all east of the Rockies. lol

Brace yourselves. The Hitler video is coming.

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2 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

You would think that the people in this forum who have been looking at these models for years would have learned that by now.  You would think.

A lot of the people being dramatic today know this very well. This website is just trolls trolling trolls. 

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2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

We were cancelling winter just days before the epicness of February 2019 as well...It’s the normal progression. 

No it's over Man.  Sorry Brother.

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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11 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Op runs don’t really matter that much. It’s just one run in an ensemble of many runs. That was one thing I learned awhile back when I joined the forums a couple years back. I always took the euro and gfs operational runs as scripture of what would really happen. You’ll go crazy chasing each run 2-4 times a day freaking out over each one. 

Operational runs are valuable in that they aren’t stand alone entities. The ensembles are simply perturbed versions of the operational.

Doesn't mean the 18z isn’t completely out to lunch, but it also doesn’t mean that it’s not a plausible outcome. The road is getting a little bumpy...

 

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Operational runs are valuable in that they aren’t stand alone entities. The ensembles are simply perturbed versions of the operational.

Doesn't mean the 18z isn’t completely out to lunch, but it also doesn’t mean that it’s not a plausible outcome. The road is getting a little bumpy...

 

Might have to use 4x4 to make it to Walgreens then.

We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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Power just came back on-- what a weird windstorm. Just some howling west winds for an hour or so that were strong enough to down a bunch of trees in this area. Overall a pretty interesting event, south winds were underwhelming but that surge of westerlies made up for it.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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5 minutes ago, Requiem said:

Power just came back on-- what a weird windstorm. Just some howling west winds for an hour or so that were strong enough to down a bunch of trees in this area. Overall a pretty interesting event, south winds were underwhelming but that surge of westerlies made up for it.

It always amazes me how much wind direction determines the impact of a windstorm.

Areas that routinely see 45+ mph East or South winds can be decimated by the same windspeeds from the West or North.

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Everett Snowfall

 

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

 

1/10: 0.5"

1/12: 5.5"

1/13: 1"

1/14: 1.5"

1/15: 2"

 

 

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28 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I'm tired of trying to act tough, This winter sucks turds. Pull the rug and hit me with the hotdogs!!! 

Has MR.SNOWMIZER joined TIm and Randy in reverse psychology mode?!?   Gets confusing after awhile 😱 

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8 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

It always amazes me how much wind direction determines the impact of a windstorm.

Areas that routinely see 45+ mph East or South winds can be decimated by the same windspeeds from the West or North.

Still trying to figure out what happened out here.   

We slept through everything but the power was out this morning and is still out... even right in North Bend.   After the 2006 storm there were trees down everywhere and we could not even get out for almost a day.   But I don't see any trees down in this area or in North Bend... just some random branches.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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15 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

It always amazes me how much wind direction determines the impact of a windstorm.

Areas that routinely see 45+ mph East or South winds can be decimated by the same windspeeds from the West or North.

Yeah, for sure. Gusts peaked at this elevation around 45-55 mph and the amount of transformers I saw exploding this morning was ridiculous.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Still trying to figure out what happened out here.   

We slept through everything but the power was out this morning and is still out... even right in North Bend.   After the 2006 storm there were trees down everywhere and we could not even get out for almost a day.   But I don't see any trees down in this area or in North Bend... just some random branches.   

Up here it was the triple whammy of major transmission lines getting hit, Substations going offline, and the normal trees on lines. Wonder if you lost a major transmission line that serves your area that was hit harder by wind than your location? 

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29 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Still trying to figure out what happened out here.   

We slept through everything but the power was out this morning and is still out... even right in North Bend.   After the 2006 storm there were trees down everywhere and we could not even get out for almost a day.   But I don't see any trees down in this area or in North Bend... just some random branches.   

You're usually quite protected from South and West winds, right? I wonder if the South wind busted through there but only briefly so it didn't have time to pile up a lot of damage but was enough to knock out power.

Alpental had a 121 mph gusts last night so there was definitely extremely impressive wind in the area.

Everett Snowfall

 

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

 

1/10: 0.5"

1/12: 5.5"

1/13: 1"

1/14: 1.5"

1/15: 2"

 

 

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3 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

You're usually quite protected from South and West winds, right? I wonder if the South wind busted through there but only briefly so it didn't have time to pile up a lot of damage but was enough to knock out power.

Alpental had a 121 mph gusts last night so there was deftaome extremely impressive wind in the area.

Usually S and SW gets us... its W and NW that are blocked.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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