Jump to content
The Weather Forums

2021 Weather Thread


Phil
 Share

Recommended Posts

The last few days have been amazing. For the first time in ages, dewpoints finally dropped below 70°F on Thursday, with highs in the mid/upper 70s, lows in the 60s, and a deep blue sky absent haze for the first time in weeks, ever since.

Getting some light rain today with temperatures in the middle 70s. Looks like we warm back up into the 80s next week, but it doesn’t look nearly as nasty as before.

  • Excited 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yet another flash flood watch. Seems like we get one per week these days.

Warm conveyor developing this afternoon. Stiff SE breeze, low clouds, and low 70s dewpoints. Later tonight into tomorrow midday looks pretty active. Wouldn’t shock me to see an imbedded severe storm/gust somewhere.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 hours ago, weatherfan2012 said:

Larry Cosgrove thinks a major east coast event happens between now and mid October.says even if it not sam he thinks something else forums and becomes a big threat impact storm interisting.

I think the last week of October or the first week of November will deliver some storminess. Climo seems to favor that period, especially in the 21st century.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s are the theme for the foreseeable future. Absolutely magnificent weather.

This is easily the most beautiful time of year around here. Cool, crisp (and often foggy) mornings, orangey afternoon sun with lengthening shadows, declining humidity, and the smell of falling leaves permeating the air.

Also lasts much longer than the “goldilocks period” in spring, which is inconsistent if not nonexistent in some years.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'll be in the Corpus Christi area next week. Forecast might get interesting around the 14th or so as that massive western trough spins up a deep storm in the plains. The trailing edge of that front might suck up moisture from a Pacific hurricane and lead to some heavy rain days. gfs-deterministic-centraltexas-total_precip_inch-4385600.pnggfs-deterministic-conus-pwat-4245200.pnggfs-deterministic-conus-z500_anom-4256000.png

gfs-deterministic-conus-z500_anom-4104800.png

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

First real cold front of the fall/winter season blows through this afternoon. Will be nice to leave these 80°F days behind, hopefully for the remainder of the year.

Could be a thin/gusty squall line associated with the front today, and maybe some 40mph gusts associated with the CAA/pressure rises in its immediate wake.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Finally feels like autumn. Highs in the 60s, low in the 40s, with low humidity and cool northwesterly breezes at 25-35mph for the last two days. The air is crisp and clean.

The sounds of the wind blowing leaves around is so satisfying. Summer ended on Saturday, October 18th. Good riddance.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Beautiful autumn day. Shrouded in dense AM fog, followed by a clear/crisp afternoon in the 70s.

Dropped to 39.9°F Tuesday AM, coolest low of the season so far. Nice to finally leave the sticky, stagnant weather behind.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Interesting weather day on tap. Potent WAA with highs likely approaching 80°F, followed by a sharp cold front/severe weather threat, temp drop, and rapid cyclogenesis off the delmarva.

Gradient will likely be tight enough for 35-45mph gusts by tomorrow evening. No pressure surge or significant CAA at the time, but downsloping & generally deepening BL should be enough for some decent mixing.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, Phil said:

Interesting weather day on tap. Potent WAA with highs likely approaching 80°F, followed by a sharp cold front/severe weather threat, temp drop, and rapid cyclogenesis off the delmarva.

Gradient will likely be tight enough for 35-45mph gusts by tomorrow evening. No pressure surge or significant CAA at the time, but downsloping & generally deepening BL should be enough for some decent mixing.

Transition season is always fun. I see we're as anemic as California here, if not worse.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Transition season is always fun. I see we're as anemic as California here, if not worse.

Agree! 🍻

Just had a big thunderstorm here. Probably not severe but strong nonetheless. Winds upwards of 50mph with plenty of lightning (including a super close CG strike).

Line is kind of pinwheeling so we could get smacked again in a few hours when the front blows through.

  • Like 1
  • Excited 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Storm total 2.16”. Got most of our October average in 5hrs.

Wind advisory for 50mph gusts this afternoon. First wind event of the cold season + saturated soils should drop some weak trees and dead wood.

  • Windy 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ripping real good now. Lots of deadwooding (typical of the 1st cool season wind event).

Temp now dropping into the 50s under some clouds/CAA, after a midday high of 64. 

 

  • Windy 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 hours ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

First nor-easter of the season. 

It was a decent one too. Severe weather and several inches of rain the first day, then 45-55mph winds on the backside.

Only unfortunate aspect is it essentially ended foliage season before it even peaked. Stripped most of the trees bare, except the oaks which are still full and green.

  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Today is a firehose right off the Atlantic and Chesapeake. Looking at several inches of rain and an unusually strong easterly fetch.

In fact already gusting above 30mph here, with 60-70kts projected at 850mb by midday.

Not all of that will mix down given the presence of a stable layer, but trees aren’t well acclimated to east winds around here, so could be dicey.

  • scream 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Deck went from clean to covered in tree debris in the blink of an eye. A little over 1” of rain as of 350pm.

6FC442C6-23EB-43B0-A912-8B65879C39BA.jpeg

  • Like 1
  • scream 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Last two nights have bottomed out at exactly 32.5°F. Frost on many exposed surfaces.

Tonight should drop below freezing and officially end the growing season.

  • Snow 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hard freeze finally. 29.1°F with some ground fog in the creek valley. Good riddance skeeters.

Now well into the 50s in the noon hour with full sunshine.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looks like my complaining paid off. Second consecutive hard freeze this AM. Bottomed out at 28.6°F and killed off the remainder of above-ground insects. First completely silent night since June.

Quickly shot up into the 50s by midday today. Warming trend through the next week, with another cycle of troughing/storminess increasingly likely thereafter.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Decent squall last night. Summer-like downpours and 30mph winds.

Another front pushes through tomorrow around sunrise. Stronger CAA/pressure surge so will probably have a 30-35mph spike between 15-18z. Dampen diurnal cycle with lows returning close to average tomorrow night.

Repeat affair Sunday/Monday, gusts possibly up near 40mph based on current guidance. Highs in the 40s Monday?

  • Like 1
  • Storm 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 2 weeks later...

Looks cool and crisp for the next week or so.

Modest cold front tonight. Stronger front with some gusty winds possible Friday.

 

  • Excited 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Wanted to post this amazing  image of a Scud Cloud taken in S. Carolina.  
Amazing thing.  
 

 

44FE2642-1B80-49C9-B9E9-B58780F1C16C.jpeg

  • Like 2

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Low this AM was 24.4°F, coolest of the season so far.

Decent front looks to blow through tomorrow night. Friday looks pretty gusty with a deep mixing layer under CAA/pressure rises and downsloping flow. Gusts likely around 45mph, so just under advisory criteria.

Clipper system Sunday/Monday could also deliver the first snowflakes of the season. But that’s a bit farther out.

  • Snow 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Cold front hit like a ton of bricks. Big gust smacked the house at roughly 550AM. Both me & the gf were jarred awake simultaneously.

  • scream 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Peaked at 48mph here. A bit stronger than I was expecting.

Either way, an old-fashioned, breezy late autumn day.

 

DC21E34C-F752-4279-AA29-49BF8E485FD4.jpeg

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Unless things go south, I'm making a move to the North Carolina Piedmont in January. Excited to hopefully help bring this sub back to life.

  • Like 1

>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Downslope wind event looks likely Thursday afternoon/night along/Lee side of terrain where 60mph gusts are possible. Unlikely to be excessively windy here, but it wouldn’t shock me if a few 35-40mph gusts are observed west of the fall line in the evening hours.

A few years ago we had a nocturnal downslope event that spiked temps from 38 to 60 degrees in 30mins, with 40+mph gusts. Not the same setup, but interesting nonetheless.

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Immediate temp spike back into the upper 60s here as of 9pm, as the winds arrive out of the mountains.

Some gusts near 60mph out west. Mostly up in the terrain.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'll be visiting NC in a week to look at homes. My first glimpse!

  • Like 2

>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 12/3/2021 at 1:08 PM, FAR_Weather said:

I'll be visiting NC in a week to look at homes. My first glimpse!

Nice! Where in?

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Chris unpinned this topic

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share


×
×
  • Create New...