richard mann Posted November 19, 2014 Report Share Posted November 19, 2014 Maybe it'll catch on. If not sooner, then later. Lol @ Buffalo NY..I'm raging with jealousy. Reading this [forecast] disc[ussi]o[n] makes me want to chug a flaming cocktail:http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BUF&issuedby=BUF&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/......HIGH CONFIDENCE LAKE EFFECT EVENT WITH TIGHT NORTHERN GRADIENT AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...FROM A LARGE SCALE PATTERN...THIS HAS ALL THE MAKINGS OF A HISTORIC OR AT LEAST WELL REMEMBERED LAKE EFFECT EVENT...WITH SNOW TOTALSEXCEEDING 3 FEET IN SOME AREAS BY WEDNESDAY. THE 24 HR/36+ INCH EVENT IN 12/1995 FOR KBUF IS HARD TO BEAT...BUT SOME LOCATIONS MAY REACH THIS VALUE TO THE SOUTH. SIMILAR AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED EAST OFLAKE ONTARIO.AREAS EAST OF BUFFALO...THE MAIN INTERCHANGES OF THE THRUWAY TO THE SOUTH...AND THE SOUTHTOWNS SHOULD TAKE A HARD HIT. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR FEET OF SNOW...WITH MAJOR DISRUPTIONS TO TRAFFIC AS SNOW RATES FAR EXCEED THE ABILITY TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR. WILL NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SEVERAL HOURS OF LOCALIZED 3-5 INCH/HR SNOW RATES LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WITH THUNDERSNOW. SIMILAR SNOW AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED...WITH THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE TUG HILL MEASURING SNOW IN FEET.A FEW CLIMATOLOGICAL NOTES...500MB TEMPERATURE IS FORECAST TO DROP BELOW -40C...A TESTAMENT TO HOW UNUSUAL THE PATTERN WILL BE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HEIGHTS ACROSS THE BOARD WILL BE SIMILARLY IMPRESSIVE...WITH 200MB WAY OFF THE CHARTS OVER A 30 YEAR CLIMATOLOGY. AT 850MB...THE -15C TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO HIGHLY UNUSUAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE RESULTANT INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE FLUX OFF THE LAKES WILL NO DOUBT RESULT IN STRONG CONVECTION WITH THUNDERSNOW IN THE HEART OF THE BANDS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR RECORD LOW MAX VALUES AS A RESULT..... fascinating. I have been doing a traffic cam tour of western NY. Buffalo is a divided metro... with the north side of town and the downtown area in sunshine with a very small amount of snow on the ground while just a few miles to the south they are in the middle of a crippling blizzard. That would be like sunshine in Bothell and Woodinville while Bellevue was buried in 5 feet of snow. And the line never moves! I know this division happens all the time in Buffalo... just must be strange to work in an office downtown and half the people coming from the north suburbs have no issue at all coming to work while the people south of this magical line are buried alive and can't move. Lesson... if any of us move to Buffalo make sure you pick a spot SOUTH of downtown. Here is the link to browse the traffic cams: http://www.trafficland.com/city/BUFHere is an image from downtown Buffalo looking south toward the lake effect snow band... with sunshine overhead. http://s28.postimg.org/jeovm14a5/buf1_2.jpg And just a couple miles south of the image above inside the lake effect snow band... looks like the freeway is shut down and trucks are stranded. http://s29.postimg.org/4p9x68wmv/buf2_2.jpgHere is an exerpt from the NOAA forecast for Bristol NY. NOAA is usually pretty conservative in their snow amounts too. Thunder snow too.Today Snow with areas of blowing snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 25. Windy, with a west wind 15 to 20 mph increasing to 23 to 28 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 25 to 31 inches possible. Tonight Snow with areas of blowing snow before 1am, then snow likely between 1am and 2am, then snow with areas of blowing snow after 2am. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 19. Breezy, with a west wind 18 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 10 inches possible.NWS BUFFALOOur current snow total forecast from this event through Wed pm., is now at 70 inches for local areas just south of #Buffalo NY #snowThose pictures are insane... I love the aerial photo of the north edge of the band. http://s10.postimg.org/r8onfd5ih/buf3.jpgWowzers.I love snow and all, but that stuff is just stupid. Obviously not as intense, but I remember similar looks at the coast a couple times in February 1989 and 1990. Both times it looked like a wall of fog approaching off the water and then it snowed hard. I liked it.The video is just, wow. If I had the money I would have to go there with some other weather nuts just to experience that. Thanks Tim for sharing the video.Absolutely incredible how persistent the Lake Effect band just South of Buffalo is. This is 16 hours of radar activity. Some areas have gotten nearly 5 feet in less than 24 hours. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=BUF-N0Q-1-200 Quote --- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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