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1/23 - 1/26 Two Wave Major Winter Storm


Tom

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43 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Congrats amigo! I bet it feels great to be in the game. Looks like I'll be waiting longer to get blue boxed. Had such hopes after early Euro runs like this one. Been trolled by that model way too much the past 3 seasons.

 

20210120 12z Euro h138 Snow KCH.png

Scared me there for a sec! 🤣

  • lol 1

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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https://www.americanwx.com/bb/applications/core/interface/imageproxy/imageproxy.php?img=https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2021012412/060/snku_acc.us_mw.png&key=6d6828e98641f936ea1479d39055d891b3d05831b05dc13637ff2119f75a0441

Looks like a tad more snowfall for mby. Jaster, you are in the 5-6inch range. Not too shabby.

  • Thanks 1

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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3 minutes ago, bud2380 said:

We can only hope models are too quickly weakening the storm as it moves east.  

There is historical precedent for that, but I’m not about to rely on it.

  • Like 1

2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 10.2"

(12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") 

(1/1: 6.4")

 

 

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The Euro actually moved nw with the snow shield, but the D**n thing weakens so quickly, yuck.  The heavy band snakes around east-central IA.  Cedar Rapids may be lucky to get 6" out of this.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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2 hours ago, Niko said:

So far, my area is in store for a 3-6 inch event, which I will gladly approve.

https://cms.accuweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/page-3-16.jpg?w=632

What?? The guy from NYC that complains about having seen only one "real winter" since moving to SEMI is happy for 3"? You can't continually hype big EC storms and then say you're happy with a few inches, lol. Personally I think a few inches from this is lame BS considering what this looked like a couple days ago. 😒

  • lol 1

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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1 minute ago, jaster220 said:

What?? The guy from NYC that complains about having seen only one "real winter" since moving to SEMI is happy for 3"? You can't continually hype big EC storms and then say you're happy with a few inches, lol. Personally I think a few inches from this is lame BS considering what this looked like a couple days ago. 😒

😂

It sounds crazy amigo for accepting a 3-6" snowfall, but at this point the way this Winter has been going, my signature will sign for any accumulation heading our way. Think about this, we will at least use our snowblower and enjoy a nice, white snowcover w cold air following this storm. We have to accept what Ma Nature gives us at this point. Tbh, I think the real storms are waiting for Feb or March. Gotta have a little optimism somewhere in there....😉

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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19 minutes ago, Niko said:

https://www.americanwx.com/bb/applications/core/interface/imageproxy/imageproxy.php?img=https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2021012412/060/snku_acc.us_mw.png&key=6d6828e98641f936ea1479d39055d891b3d05831b05dc13637ff2119f75a0441

Looks like a tad more snowfall for mby. Jaster, you are in the 5-6inch range. Not too shabby.

If only. Unfortunately, the trend this winter for mby has been to under-perform what the models (at least the Operationals) have shown. The way some models are going, this will be a 2" deal when said and done, and barely come in as my biggest "storm" of the winter. What began looking like another version of GHD-2 is becoming the inverse of that historic storm where the Max is on the west end of the Sub and then declines heading eastward to our region. The only problem I have is the LR models blowing chunks and showing SMI buried 5 days out, only to verify at 2-4" amounts. I've said it before, this is ruining my enjoyment of this hobby and I may just give it up until there is a legit shift in the multi-year pattern back to favoring the lower Lakes.

  • Popcorn 1

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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2 minutes ago, Niko said:

😂

It sounds crazy amigo for accepting a 3-6" snowfall, but at this point the way this Winter has been going, my signature will sign for any accumulation heading our way. Think about this, we will at least use our snowblower and enjoy a nice, white snowcover w cold air following this storm. We have to accept what Ma Nature gives us at this point. Tbh, I think the real storms are waiting for Feb or March. Gotta have a little optimism somewhere in there....😉

I get it, but you've actually had several decent snows. I've had nothing. Haven't even seen streets plowed. There has been zero "winter" here. I've never experienced this in Michigan, and I'm no youngster. But, carry on with your enthusiasm my friend. We will see if this can improve my mood or not. SR models are heading in the wrong direction in that dept, lol. I AM trying to make the best of a lousy situation believe it or not.

  • Snow 1

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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1 minute ago, jaster220 said:

If only. Unfortunately, the trend this winter for mby has been to under-perform what the models (at least the Operationals) have shown. The way some models are going, this will be a 2" deal when said and done, and barely come in as my biggest "storm" of the winter. What began looking like another version of GHD-2 is becoming the inverse of that historic storm where the Max is on the west end of the Sub and then declines heading eastward to our region. The only problem I have is the LR models blowing chunks and showing SMI buried 5 days out, only to verify at 2-4" amounts. I've said it before, this is ruining my enjoyment of this hobby and I may just give it up until there is a legit shift in the multi-year pattern back to favoring the lower Lakes.

Actually, this is the best part of this hobby. Getting all hyped up, followed by disappointment or excitement. Also, what I like best is not knowing which follows of the 2. Dont let this storm get to ya. There is still plenty of Winter left. Keep hope alive amigo!

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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3 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

I get it, but you've actually had several decent snows. I've had nothing. Haven't even seen streets plowed. There has been zero "winter" here. I've never experienced this in Michigan, and I'm no youngster. But, carry on with your enthusiasm my friend. We will see if this can improve my mood or not. SR models are heading in the wrong direction in that dept, lol. I AM trying to make the best of a lousy situation believe it or not.

Think big. I have a strong feeling you will get the "Big One" soon.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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55 minutes ago, Bryan1117 said:

Things are looking really good for Omaha and Lincoln... this looks to be the type of Winter storm system that we have all been waiting several years for. One thing that is going to be a big bonus with this storm is that the heaviest snow will be falling during the day time hours.  

Rooting for ya buddy...hope you exceed a foot.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Today's wave fired-up just too late for here per usual this winter, leaving another "few tenths" snow fall. Looks like just east in Jackson could score another 2" amount. Has been a crap unlucky pattern here with grazings in every direction similar to the qpf donut hole treatment for Marshall two summers ago. We were an island of dried and shriveled corn stalks later that August. No way to sugar-coat, this sucks.

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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4 minutes ago, Niko said:

Think big. I have a strong feeling you will get the "Big One" soon.

I don't "feel it" for this season unless it wants to do it later in March or something silly like that.

  • Snow 1

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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4 minutes ago, gabel23 said:

Been a very long time we have seen probabilities this high holy smokes. Record breaking for some areas if it comes to fruition. 

Screen Shot 2021-01-24 at 12.46.44 PM.png

Screen Shot 2021-01-24 at 12.46.23 PM.png

Screen Shot 2021-01-24 at 12.46.13 PM.png

I'm Niobrara, lol

  • lol 3

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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3 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Today's wave fired-up just too late for here per usual this winter, leaving another "few tenths" snow fall. Looks like just east in Jackson could score another 2" amount. Has been a crap unlucky pattern here with grazings in every direction similar to the qpf donut hole treatment for Marshall two summers ago. We were an island of dried and shriveled corn stalks later that August. No way to sugar-coat, this sucks.

Its snowing here nicely attm. They are expecting 1-2" b4 all set and done.

  • Snow 1

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_2021_01/image.thumb.png.150cb255cef3ff34bdf26bcc8975394d.png

@TomYou are locked in for a 6-12" event. Enjoy it! Looks like its been awhile for Chicago, if I am not mistaken.

Btw: have you noticed that heavier amts of precip have been trended more east........

  • Like 1

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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The 18z HRRR is even worse for Cedar Rapids than the Euro.  It's down to only 0.43" precip.  ☹️

  • Sad 1

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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