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1/23 - 1/26 Two Wave Major Winter Storm


Tom

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Just now, Stacsh said:

Crazy how there was supposed to be a sharp cut off north of me, but the heaviest snow fell well into CMI.  

I was thinking the same thing, it definitely went north with the heavier snow in Michigan. Over here in northern St Clair county we’re pushing 4” already and still snowing hard. I’m thinking this could over achieve pretty easily at this rate. NWS was calling for 3-5 so we’ll see. 

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Eye balling it around 4" as of 7am this morning in Bartlett but it has been snowing hard so probably add another inch to it. Lake is definitely helping and I can see LE kick in later which I believe will spread our farther west than currently advertised. What are the thoughts of the LE later today into tomorrow?

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35 minutes ago, Tom said:

Getting hit hard again as the lake is becoming an influence.  You can see the lake enhancement on radar and I could tell the snow is fluffier than before.  Picked up an additional 1.2” since last measurement bringing me to a total so far of 5.2”.

@Tom what you thinking for NWI? Quick hitter or do we get lucky and it sticks around for a bit?

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1 hour ago, dubuque473 said:

Wow DVN was right when they switched me to 5-10”. Not sure how much we got with the drifting but it is still coming down hard.

Yes they were. I was pretty unsure heading into yesterday, but when they upped our totals in the middle of the storm, I figured that had to be a decent sign.

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My parents live in Guttenberg, about 40 miles NW of Dubuque right on the Mississippi, and an 8" report just came in.  She said that seemed right, and said it was a very fluffy snow.  Not bad for a winter weather advisory.  Down here the snow was small flakes and dense until late last night.  I can tell that it turned fluffy because the top layer was pure fluff and that must be what allowed the extra few inches to accumulate.  I see a report of 6.5" in Iowa City, not far off from my guess. And guess is the best word because you can't properly measure this.  

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9 minutes ago, bud2380 said:

My parents live in Guttenberg, about 40 miles NW of Dubuque right on the Mississippi, and an 8" report just came in.  She said that seemed right, and said it was a very fluffy snow.  Not bad for a winter weather advisory.  Down here the snow was small flakes and dense until late last night.  I can tell that it turned fluffy because the top layer was pure fluff and that must be what allowed the extra few inches to accumulate.  I see a report of 6.5" in Iowa City, not far off from my guess. And guess is the best word because you can't properly measure this.  

Yup this is the first 9-10" advisory I've ever been in

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Not the heaviest snow out there right now, but definitely helping add to the total snowfall amount. I won’t be able to get a measurement because I still have no idea where to measure at with my new house, but I’m not going to be surprised if there are 7-8” reports around me. Maybe even isolated higher amounts.

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30 minutes ago, Tony said:

Eye balling it around 4" as of 7am this morning in Bartlett but it has been snowing hard so probably add another inch to it. Lake is definitely helping and I can see LE kick in later which I believe will spread our farther west than currently advertised. What are the thoughts of the LE later today into tomorrow?

Yes, I think those bands up in SE WI will eventually make its way down here later this afternoon/evening and make it out into Du Page.  There is enough of a NE fetch that will help keep them more inland.  Your in NW Cook, right?

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/1000hPa/orthographic=-90.76,40.66,3000

28 minutes ago, indianajohn said:

@Tom what you thinking for NWI? Quick hitter or do we get lucky and it sticks around for a bit?

Guidance is suggesting there will be a solid lake plume forming but its a guessing game to see if it can meander back and forth into your neck of the woods.  Hopefully you can score a quick 2-4".

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A 9" report just came in from Iowa City.  I think that's a bit suspect, but maybe.  They did get a little heavier to start with.  Like I said earlier, I thought I had 8", but when I went out and took about a dozen measurements, it was clear 8" was too high.  I'm sure some people (even trained spotters) would rather report their highest measurement vs. an accurate one.  

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3 minutes ago, Tom said:

Yes, I think those bands up in SE WI will eventually make its way down here later this afternoon/evening and make it out into Du Page.  There is enough of a NE fetch that will help keep them more inland.  Your in NW Cook, right?

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/1000hPa/orthographic=-90.76,40.66,3000

Guidance is suggesting there will be a solid lake plume forming but its a guessing game to see if it can meander back and forth into your neck of the woods.  Hopefully you can score a quick 2-4".

I am in NW DuPage so not as far north as your location

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Before I shoveled my driveway which is clear from any blowing/drifting I measured 5.2" (even with compaction) which aligns with what I measured on my deck.  I feel comfortable enough to say I'm easily at 5.5" since shoveling.  Reports of 6.1" in Evanston but ORD only has 3.1"???  I'm hoping to break that 6" mark soon and quite possibly make it up to 7 or 8" be end of day.  Then, the wild card pure LES later tonight...gosh, hope that lake plume forms bc those are always fun to see.

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6 hours ago, Tom said:

Downtown Chicago is getting crushed right now... @Jaycee  is going to wake up into a winter wonderland! 

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FWIW, this is what the 00z Euro showed will fall by tonight...

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LOT has my interests perked up a bit for the LES later tonight into Wednesday...

 

Sorry to say but Euro's been complete trash for here!

Essentially been following this threat/promised pattern shift (and storm) for what amounts to at least 3 weeks.

What did I get for all that time spent? Another lousy <1" snowfall. Ooof!

And what about all that talk of how this would be suppressed over here due to "the confluence". LOL

As pointed out by Stasch, "what suppression?"

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Same places that have scored all season are scoring again. Nature will find a way.

As totally awesome as 13-14 was here, this is the total opposite dumpster fire season.

Glad at least you've gotten a decent storm tho, enjoy it!

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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My best snow board late last night had 3.1".  I cleared the board and put it back on top.  30 minutes ago it had another 3.4", so I'm going with 6.5 for a total.  It's still snowing so it may rise another couple tenths.  That seems about right.  The drifting is significant.  When I was out blowing a couple hours ago we actually had our best snow rate since yesterday afternoon.... large flakes.  Cedar Rapids may be a relative loser compared to the rest of the area/state, and we didn't do nearly as well as we could have, but I'm happy with 6.5".  Anything under 6 would have been a bummer.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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12 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Sorry to say but Euro's been complete trash for here!

Essentially been following this threat/promised pattern shift (and storm) for what amounts to at least 3 weeks.

What did I get for all that time spent? Another lousy <1" snowfall. Ooof!

And what about all that talk of how this would be suppressed over here due to "the confluence". LOL

As pointed out by Stasch, "what suppression?"

395216821_2021012610amRadar.PNG.299dd1e825393463f2557b7cd23bd56c.PNG

Same places that have scored all season are scoring again. Nature will find a way.

As totally awesome as 13-14 was here, this is the total opposite dumpster fire season.

Glad at least you've gotten a decent storm tho, enjoy it!

i really cant believe it got that far north in michigan. they were saying the heaviest amounts would be along i94 or between i94-96. just crazy that we have to follow models the day before event and it still doesnt pan out 

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It appears the model runs that were showing the highest totals both north and south of Cedar Rapids were right, so kudos to those models for sniffing it out.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I can’t help but keep looking outside.  It hasn’t looked like this in a very long time.  This has been a good, to great storm so far.  So fortunate to have scored a 6”+ storm which is pretty much a lock at this point.

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3 minutes ago, Tom said:

I can’t help but keep looking outside.  It hasn’t looked like this in a very long time.  This has been a good, to great storm so far.  So fortunate to have scored a 6”+ storm which is pretty much a lock at this point.

Looking forward to part 2 of this storm as I believe some locals will be rocked with the LE

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Local sheriff says at least 10” or more as we had light snow all night until about 9 am this morning. Had a lot more wind than they anticipated so drifting has been a problem. County roads are impassable in places. No school here for the second day in a row. Most snow since February 1st 2016 blizzard where got 16-18” with 50 mph winds for almost 2 days. I’ll post some pictures I took this morning from my truck. Couple from our High School and Middle School lots. Maintenance told me they have now cleared them 3 times since yesterday afternoon. Thanks for everything done on the forum in tracking this beast. Kuchera was actually pretty close. Euro and Canadian were spot on and GFS got here late. 

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1 hour ago, Hawkeye said:

My best snow board late last night had 3.1".  I cleared the board and put it back on top.  30 minutes ago it had another 3.4", so I'm going with 6.5 for a total.  It's still snowing so it may rise another couple tenths.  That seems about right.  The drifting is significant.  When I was out blowing a couple hours ago we actually had our best snow rate since yesterday afternoon.... large flakes.  Cedar Rapids may be a relative loser compared to the rest of the area/state, and we didn't do nearly as well as we could have, but I'm happy with 6.5".  Anything under 6 would have been a bummer.

I could’ve had 6” at the most when I measured earlier though a little bit has fallen since. I think the reason my amount is lower is because there was graupel (or whatever you want to call it) mixed in for at least an hour or more yesterday. Even had a very light coating of ice last night.
 

The Kuchera really didn’t pan out for me again. Looking back over the models I’ld say the Euro was always a bit far south. The icon did well only since about Sunday. Not sure which model did the best.

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Hard to tell for certain with drifts but I’d guess 7 inches in Buffalo Grove, IL. Currently getting some big flakes now with the help from the lake. Can’t help to notice NE winds that could continue bringing snow off the lake.

my dog is enjoying the snow quite a bit as well!

 

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7 minutes ago, ChiTownWeather said:

Hard to tell for certain with drifts but I’d guess 7 inches in Buffalo Grove, IL. Currently getting some big flakes now with the help from the lake. Can’t help to notice NE winds that could continue bringing snow off the lake.

my dog is enjoying the snow quite a bit as well!

 

 

That on an iPhone 12?

Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter


 


78.1"  Total snowfall


February Snowfall 32.5"


City salt usage  : 12,211 tons


Days of measurable snow  : 40

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Here in Hudsonville, where I am at now, there is about 3.5 to 4 inches, although it is hard to measure due to a bit of drifting. I would guess it is close to 4 though. Still coming down pretty good, so might end up with 5 to 6 inches or so, which is pretty decent this year. Radar is starting to get holes in it though.

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