bud2380 Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Don't worry James, it's just barely getting to the storm. The model only goes out 84 hours. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, bud2380 said: Don't worry James, it's just barely getting to the storm. The model only goes out 84 hours. Wow I didn't know that.....awesome thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 The models have generally shown the heaviest totals where the WAA snow band initially blows up, with a drop off north of that. The morning RDPS would suggest southern Iowa gets the best snow. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 7 hours ago, Tom said: 00z GEFS... GEFS vs The World for SWMI. Let's see who wins. You mentioned classic CO Low. But looks like it's diving SE instead of due East. Btw what was your final total for the storm there? Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 The GDPS is gradually focusing the heavier snow eastward, with weakening west through Iowa and into Nebraska. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Both the Canadian and GFS showing the heavier snow bands in Central IL to Central IN. GFS still has no clue on thermals, but just looking at qpf output, you can see those are the areas it is showing the most precip. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 GDPS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 20 minutes ago, jaster220 said: GEFS vs The World for SWMI. Let's see who wins. You mentioned classic CO Low. But looks like it's diving SE instead of due East. Btw what was your final total for the storm there? Storm track is exactly due E out of CO but the snow shield is kinda off. I got about 6.5” from the last storm. There was a lot of blowing/drifting and based on local reports that seems right. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 I'm riding the GFS Para till it screws me over 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 UK is a bit back north with a big hit for the I-80 to HW20 corridor. 2 1 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 I’d take another fresh layer of snow. I actually feel quite satisfied with the several strong snowstorm we’ve gotten this year. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: UK is a bit back north with a big hit for the I-80 to HW20 corridor. Sh*t. Lock that puppy in and let’s call it a day. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 UKIE with the bulk falling in eastern Iowa between 6pm and midnight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 8 minutes ago, bud2380 said: UKIE with the bulk falling in eastern Iowa between 6pm and midnight. I hate to complain considering how fortunate we've been, but this would be more lousy timing. I want to see the snow fall during daylight. Daytime snow is much more enjoyable than overnight snow. 2 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 41 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: UK is a bit back north with a big hit for the I-80 to HW20 corridor. Too dry 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 hour ago, Tom said: Storm track is exactly due E out of CO but the snow shield is kinda off. I got about 6.5” from the last storm. There was a lot of blowing/drifting and based on local reports that seems right. Nice score bud! Did ORD break the 6" storm drought then? Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 The trend of this thing drying up to the west can stop now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 50 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: UK is a bit back north with a big hit for the I-80 to HW20 corridor. Huge shift by the UK for those of us eastward. Trending?? 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Don’t keep going north like the last one. Only ended up with 2” after having a winter storm warning and 4-7 predicted. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 00z UKIE full run...it keeps it snowing over here till Tuesday... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 25 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Nice score bud! Did ORD break the 6" storm drought then? Yup, just barely! ORD recorded 6.0" exact 2-day total...with a 5.3" calendar day total on the 26th. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 12z Euro is north, starts with mix almost up to Iowa City. With such a great low track, it's a shame this system won't have heavier snow wrapping back around the nw side. 1 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 12z Euro coming in north which is coming in line with the rest of the 12z guidance... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Hawkeye said: 12z Euro is north, starts with mix almost up to Iowa City. With such a great low track, it's a shame this system won't have heavier snow wrapping back around the nw side. That's going to be a whicked band of snow...1-2"/hr stuff right there... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Cedar Rapids is sitting pretty at the moment. The first six hours of snow should be pretty heavy. Those of you farther east aren't locked in, yet. The UK goes into southern Michigan while the Euro drops south. 1 1 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Okay, I like where we’re at currently! Hoping for a 2-4” type storm, but would happily take more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Hawkeye said: Cedar Rapids is sitting pretty at the moment. The first six hours of snow should be pretty heavy. Nice! How does kuchera look? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 12 minutes ago, Tom said: 12z Euro coming in north which is coming in line with the rest of the 12z guidance... Euro weakens it faster than any other model at the moment. Hoping its incorrect 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 That can't be quite correct because Des Moines is not smack dab in the middle of the heavy band. 5 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: That can't be quite correct because Des Moines is not smack dab in the middle of the heavy band. I literally started laughing at work when I read that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 The Euro 10:1 and Kuchera maps aren't much different, so this would be a wetter snow. My malfunctioning blower will love that. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 10 minutes ago, Tony said: Euro weakens it faster than any other model at the moment. Hoping its incorrect Plenty of time to button that down. I’m more interested in the fact that the models are showing some consensus on track. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 13 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: The Euro 10:1 and Kuchera maps aren't much different, so this would be a wetter snow. My malfunctioning blower will love that. Bout 2" difference up here so maybe 12:1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 27, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 I think sampling comes in late tomorrow or early Friday......... <models should have a better handle on this by then> Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 12z Euro Mean 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Clinton said: 12z Euro Mean Man that is a beautiful sight to see. High numbers and fairly wide for this far out 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 Slight shift north in eastern IA as well on the Euro mean. Still pretty good here. I like where CR is. 20 miles to the south, it's starting to get a little bit border line. It would only take another 30 mile shift north on the Euro to be right on the edge. Lots of time to work out those details though. Let's see if DVN finally starts talking about this storm with a little more urgency. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 I believe this system will have even more moisture to work with then the prior storm. Moisture laden would be an understatement. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 27, 2021 Report Share Posted January 27, 2021 There are not many north misses among the Euro ensemble members, so I'm feeling pretty good. I don't want to see it any farther north, though. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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