james1976 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Snow has begun. Sitting at 0F 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, james1976 said: Snow has begun. Sitting at 0F Bring it on!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 12z GFS through Presidents Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Man ole man have the models been wrong for KC. Starting last Saturday, they had 1-3 inches for KC, we received around an 1 inch. They showed from Sunday to Friday a wide range of 4-13 inches. Multiple chances of snow throughout the week. I ended up on the NE side of KC with 2.5 inches. It has not snowed since Monday(very light snow at that time) Now, the once promising Friday storm into Saturday is fading for KC. The two big storms late in the weekend through next week look very questionable as far as KC getting anything from them as the trend is south on most models. Maybe that's a good thing, showing us getting missed as it showed us getting hit all week but we missed all of the chances. I sure would hate to look back on this beautiful cold pattern and say we only scored 2.5 inches of snow. I have never witnessed 15-20 days of well below freezing weather resulting in everything that comes through would be guaranteed snow. As you know, we usually have the rain/snow line problem each storm down here. So, darn it, come on, let's gets some hits here in KC. I know the EURO has the storm hitting KC late in the weekend into early next week, but, I think that is the only player right now. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 7 minutes ago, MIKEKC said: Man ole man have the models been wrong for KC. Starting last Saturday, they had 1-3 inches for KC, we received around an 1 inch. They showed from Sunday to Friday a wide range of 4-13 inches. Multiple chances of snow throughout the week. I ended up on the NE side of KC with 2.5 inches. It has not snowed since Monday(very light snow at that time) Now, the once promising Friday storm into Saturday is fading for KC. The two big storms late in the weekend through next week look very questionable as far as KC getting anything from them as the trend is south on most models. Maybe that's a good thing, showing us getting missed as it showed us getting hit all week but we missed all of the chances. I sure would hate to look back on this beautiful cold pattern and say we only scored 2.5 inches of snow. I have never witnessed 15-20 days of well below freezing weather resulting in everything that comes through would be guaranteed snow. As you know, we usually have the rain/snow line problem each storm down here. So, darn it, come on, let's gets some hits here in KC. I know the EURO has the storm hitting KC late in the weekend into early next week, but, I think that is the only player right now. I think the CMC sums it up well for us lol. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 12 minutes ago, MIKEKC said: Man ole man have the models been wrong for KC. Starting last Saturday, they had 1-3 inches for KC, we received around an 1 inch. They showed from Sunday to Friday a wide range of 4-13 inches. Multiple chances of snow throughout the week. I ended up on the NE side of KC with 2.5 inches. It has not snowed since Monday(very light snow at that time) Now, the once promising Friday storm into Saturday is fading for KC. The two big storms late in the weekend through next week look very questionable as far as KC getting anything from them as the trend is south on most models. Maybe that's a good thing, showing us getting missed as it showed us getting hit all week but we missed all of the chances. I sure would hate to look back on this beautiful cold pattern and say we only scored 2.5 inches of snow. I have never witnessed 15-20 days of well below freezing weather resulting in everything that comes through would be guaranteed snow. As you know, we usually have the rain/snow line problem each storm down here. So, darn it, come on, let's gets some hits here in KC. I know the EURO has the storm hitting KC late in the weekend into early next week, but, I think that is the only player right now. I just quoted this in the other post lol. the models was showing big snow amounts but has been poof all week! The GFS has been pretty to look at but far from accurate. Im pulling for the Euro storm to provide for us since the storm this weekend is the same storm that dug all the way down into mexico last cycle and brought us a lot of rain. *fingers crossed* 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Very boring here in SMI. Just cold, but not so cold it's unbearable. I'm ready for Spring if it isn't going to snow again. Nothing in the forecast of note. Outside of 3 days of snowfall, I think that's about it for here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, someweatherdude said: It is difficult to imagine KC having been in a worse spot this winter given everything going on all around us. I think I am going to take my ball and go home. No more model watching for me. Too frustrating. If we don't get hit in the next 10 days I'll pack it in also. But noway we have artic air last this long and not get at least 1. I would stay with it until this artic outbreak is over. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 I'm pulling for you KC folks, it's definitely an I-80 train this year. In winters like 2013-14, you have everyone getting in on the action while Nebraskans are bored in the background. Feast of famine, it sucks, but it be like that sometimes. I'm sure I'll be miserable next winter begging for a 2-4" event haha. 4 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 GFS loses this beautiful cold pattern one week from Saturday. It is showing 70's in the Plains by Feb. 25th. WOW! I believe that as this has been a very warm pattern(outside of this 2 week cold snap) and it will return. We must score here in the next 10 days! Come on baby!! I think winter will be over after this record breaking cold snap. KC is going for the record of consecutive days below 20 degrees for highs. 13 is the record, today will be #6 and the forecast has 8-9 more days below 20 degrees. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 My bad, the 12Z GFSv16 has 24 inches in KC by next weekend. Disregard all of my complaining. KC is a lock for getting burried! I simply forgot to look at that model. 2 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 11 minutes ago, MIKEKC said: GFS loses this beautiful cold pattern one week from Saturday. It is showing 70's in the Plains by Feb. 25th. WOW! I believe that as this has been a very warm pattern(outside of this 2 week cold snap) and it will return. We must score here in the next 10 days! Come on baby!! I think winter will be over after this record breaking cold snap. KC is going for the record of consecutive days below 20 degrees for highs. 13 is the record, today will be #6 and the forecast has 8-9 more days below 20 degrees. Toss the regular GFS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 hour ago, jaster220 said: Without a data set exclusive to Marshall, it's quite a bit of work to "fish for clues" as to amounts/depth from a period of record standpoint. Other contenders for top-5 depth since 1950: Dec 1951 Feb 1967 Jan 1978 Jan 1999 Dec 2000 I hope to dig into those months and firm up a list with the looming storm train. This is getting serious now, stay tuned.. For some reason the NWS has stopped reporting snow depth and Kalamazoo and Battle Creek. But the record depth at Kalamazoo is 42" in February 1905 and 41" in February 1978. At Battle Creek the reported record is 31" in January 1978. with 26" being reported in January and February 19673 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 13 minutes ago, MIKEKC said: My bad, the 12Z GFSv16 has 24 inches in KC by next weekend. Disregard all of my complaining. KC is a lock for getting burried! I simply forgot to look at that model. can you post the map so i can see? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 12z GFS v-16 for Presidents Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Both of next weeks storms combined. What would Oklahoma do with that? 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 15 minutes ago, Clinton said: Both of next weeks storms combined. What would Oklahoma do with that? Hey @OKwx2k4 after all of the missed snows in recent years looks like Mother Nature could pay you back all at once. Yikes! lol 4 1 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 What a winter. might as well get the entire lower 48 in on the action. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 25 minutes ago, BMT said: What a winter. might as well get the entire lower 48 in on the action. Congrats on your winter. Ours sucks in Michigan. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 12z Euro Thru 126 10:1 map so adjust ratios Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 11, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 The snow today does not want to move into Cedar Rapids. So far, it's just drying out. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 11, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 The system early next week, on the Euro, still cuts the upper energy up to Iowa and produces snow, but the energy is not as strong as a couple runs ago, and moisture is still very limited way up here, so it only drops an inch or two across my area. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 12z Euro Mean for Presidents Day storm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 I randomly noticed a small WWA in Tulsa...which is for lake effect snow. So thats something lol. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tulsa OK 215 PM CST Thu Feb 11 2021 OKZ060-061-064-121200- /O.NEW.KTSA.WW.Y.0004.210211T2015Z-210212T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KTSA.WC.Y.0001.210212T0900Z-210212T1800Z/ Tulsa-Rogers-Creek- Including the cities of Tulsa, Claremore, and Sapulpa 215 PM CST Thu Feb 11 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST FRIDAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO NOON CST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch. Very cold wind chills expected late tonight into Friday morning. Wind chills as low as 10 below zero. * WHERE...Tulsa, Rogers and Creek Counties. * WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 6 AM CST Friday. For the Wind Chill Advisory, from 3 AM to noon CST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions along the lake effect snow band. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. Frost bite and hypothermia are possible if precautions are not taken late tonight into Friday morning. 2 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 LES is really kicking in here and snowing at a decent clip. Nice fatties falling. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, Tom said: LES is really kicking in here and snowing at a decent clip. Nice fatties falling. Yea, LOT just issued a advisory. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 11, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 It's looking like the models that keep today's snow mostly north of Cedar Rapids are right. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 (edited) 100 car pile up with 6 people dead due to ice down by Ft Worth. Horrific video footage. Edit: make that 133 vehicles! Edited February 11, 2021 by james1976 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 12 minutes ago, Tony said: Yea, LOT just issued a advisory. Nice! I just saw that...2-4" of bonus snow is fine by me...certainly wasn't expecting this.. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 13 minutes ago, Tony said: Yea, LOT just issued a advisory. Your in DuPage, right? This band is rather strong...getting some good snows? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, Tom said: Your in DuPage, right? This band is rather strong...getting some good snows? Yep in DuPage. Had some heavy snow move through and its been moderate off and on the past hour 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Glad its made it this far inland. LES looking like a good bet with this weekend setup as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Tony said: Yep in DuPage. Had some heavy snow move through and its been moderate off and on the past hour There are some embedded very heavy returns in DuPage... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Tom said: There are some embedded very heavy returns in DuPage... Flow off the lake impressive. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Looks like Omaha is getting some decent returns Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 23 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: Looks like Omaha is getting some decent returns Basically just flurries. The flakes were fat though 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Winter storm watch for Dallas mentions near blizzard conditions. It would be pretty wild to see a BZW for the DFW area, which averages like 2" a year. 3 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 Been snowing really good for the last hour and a half. Gotta be at least an inch out there 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 12, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 There is a 4" report from just south of Waterloo. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 7 hours ago, mlgamer said: Hey @OKwx2k4 after all of the missed snows in recent years looks like Mother Nature could pay you back all at once. Yikes! lol I'm building an igloo. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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