OmahaSnowFan Posted February 23, 2021 Report Share Posted February 23, 2021 6 minutes ago, Stacsh said: It's that time of year where temps will exceed forecasted temps almost every time with any sun. Yep. We were originally forecast to be around 42 today just a couple of days ago, and now the high is forecast for 50 degrees today. Overnight AFD said temps overperforming guidance Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 23, 2021 Report Share Posted February 23, 2021 56 minutes ago, Stacsh said: It's that time of year where temps will exceed forecasted temps almost every time with any sun. 39F in my grid, but already 42F. Besides during the arctic outbreak, this has been a theme all "cold season" around here. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 23, 2021 Report Share Posted February 23, 2021 Hello 70s!! 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted February 23, 2021 Report Share Posted February 23, 2021 7 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Hello 70s!! Only 2 1/2 weeks out. Lock it in! prepare your boats! 2 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 23, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 23, 2021 Nearly all the snow cover south of Iowa is gone. It's amazing how quickly it can go from snow and record cold to spring. 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 23, 2021 Report Share Posted February 23, 2021 23 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: Nearly all the snow cover south of Iowa is gone. It's amazing how quickly it can go from snow and record cold to spring. Yep! 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted February 23, 2021 Report Share Posted February 23, 2021 This from Brett Anderson at Accuweather “ Signs continue to point toward a slightly warmer-than-normal March across a large portion of eastern North America, while below-normal temperatures may dominate in the West. The reason for this will likely be a persistent trough from northwestern Canada to the western third of the lower 48 states. Even in the west, we are not talking about any sustained period of bitter cold, as the bulk of the Arctic air will be hanging out from the Yukon Territory on over into Siberia. This pattern does favor a moist, southwesterly flow of air that will likely be directed toward the Great Lakes, eastern Canada and the northeastern United States, which is likely to result in a wetter pattern with near-normal high temperatures and above-normal low temperatures. Despite the lack of real cold, there will still be more opportunities for accumulating snowfall in March throughout eastern Canada and the interior northeastern U.S., including the Midwest/Great Lakes” 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted February 23, 2021 Report Share Posted February 23, 2021 30 minutes ago, westMJim said: This from Brett Anderson at Accuweather “ Signs continue to point toward a slightly warmer-than-normal March across a large portion of eastern North America, while below-normal temperatures may dominate in the West. The reason for this will likely be a persistent trough from northwestern Canada to the western third of the lower 48 states. Even in the west, we are not talking about any sustained period of bitter cold, as the bulk of the Arctic air will be hanging out from the Yukon Territory on over into Siberia. This pattern does favor a moist, southwesterly flow of air that will likely be directed toward the Great Lakes, eastern Canada and the northeastern United States, which is likely to result in a wetter pattern with near-normal high temperatures and above-normal low temperatures. Despite the lack of real cold, there will still be more opportunities for accumulating snowfall in March throughout eastern Canada and the interior northeastern U.S., including the Midwest/Great Lakes” I would add that could favor extreme flooding as well. Any Heavy additional snow/rain will certainly lead to impacts. Best case is we melt off slowly before any high moisture storms traverse the Great Lakes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 23, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 23, 2021 The personal stations here in the city are in the upper 40s early this afternoon. 2 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted February 23, 2021 Report Share Posted February 23, 2021 It feels amazing outside. Glad to see the ice dams clearing off my roof as well. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Tom Posted February 23, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted February 23, 2021 Once I saw the end was near, it was time for me to make my trip out to AZ. I wasn’t lying when I saw a potential pattern that could conceivably become historic and it did. I was open about it and admittedly delayed my trip. I’m glad I committed to it bc it was about a months worth of winter that I will never forget. The weather was about as ideal as one could ask for across the heartland. Clear skies, calm winds and barely any turbulence. I snapped these photos and vids along the way. Maybe some of you will notice the sharp bending of the Mississippi River and can tell me where this location was. My guess is near DBQ or NW IL!!?? The beautiful deep and expansive snow pack was evident. You can't tell from the pics, but with the naked eye you can see the rolling hills covered by a thick blanket of snow. We flew over a ski resort as well once inside IA. It could actually have been the one @bud2380 went to the other day. IMG_0177.MOV IMG_0174.MOV As we flew over IA and into NE (or maybe it was KS bc of the lack of snow cover), we approached the snow capped mountains of Colorado! What a gorgeous view from up top. The contrast of deep blue skies against the snow covered mountains was picturesque. Then we headed SW into AZ/NM and the geography changed quickly as the elevation dropped off fast. You could see the abrupt cliffs/plateaus below. IMG_0180.MOV 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Minny_Weather Posted February 23, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted February 23, 2021 Absolutely MONSTROUS wet flakes falling currently. 0223211514.mp4 10 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted February 23, 2021 Report Share Posted February 23, 2021 23 hours ago, bud2380 said: I tried to take a measurement this weekend and my yard stick snapped in half due to the layers of ice. I managed to get to 13" in one spot, but I couldn't tell if I had hit grass or not. I don't think I did. It was too hard to measure in most spots with all the thick ice, so I guess I don't really know what we have here. At least 13" though. LOL. You’ll just have to settle for these then from yesterday. https://kwwl.com/2021/02/22/seasonal-snow-update https://www.weather.gov/dvn/obsmapsnowdepthmon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted February 24, 2021 Report Share Posted February 24, 2021 6 hours ago, Tom said: Once I saw the end was near, it was time for me to make my trip out to AZ. I wasn’t lying when I saw a potential pattern that could conceivably become historic and it did. I was open about it and admittedly delayed my trip. I’m glad I committed to it bc it was about a months worth of winter that I will never forget. The weather was about as ideal as one could ask for across the heartland. Clear skies, calm winds and barely any turbulence. I snapped these photos and vids along the way. Maybe some of you will notice the sharp bending of the Mississippi River and can tell me where this location was. My guess is near DBQ or NW IL!!?? The beautiful deep and expansive snow pack was evident. You can't tell from the pics, but with the naked eye you can see the rolling hills covered by a thick blanket of snow. We flew over a ski resort as well once inside IA. It could actually have been the one @bud2380 went to the other day. Tom, it looks like you crossed over the Mississippi River near the Quad Cities... it is unmistakable from the air with the more densely populated areas surrounding the river. I can make out the bridges crossing the river between Davenport\Rock Island and Bettendorf\Moline fairly well in the pictures. I used to travel to the Quad Cities area for work on a regular basis so I am familiar with the area. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2021 Report Share Posted February 24, 2021 26 minutes ago, Bryan1117 said: Tom, it looks like you crossed over the Mississippi River near the Quad Cities... it is unmistakable from the air with the more densely populated areas surrounding the river. I can make out the bridges crossing the river between Davenport\Rock Island and Bettendorf\Moline fairly well in the pictures. I used to travel to the Quad Cities area for work on a regular basis so I am familiar with the area. That was my second choice! Thanks for the feedback as now I’ll make a mental note of it when I circle back to these pics. I drove through this area a couple years ago and now flying over it sorta makes it full circle...haha! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 24, 2021 Report Share Posted February 24, 2021 A week ago, it was -23.6 in my backyard with other places below -30. Today, I made it up to 55.2 degrees for a 78.8 degree difference in one week! 6 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 24, 2021 Report Share Posted February 24, 2021 Its still currently 40°. What a change 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 24, 2021 Report Share Posted February 24, 2021 We all miss at times and we all will, but I just wanted to show that sometimes we nail it here, too. From 3 point land. December (the 2000-01 analog), and this recent cold outbreak (2010-11 analog) are all the proof you need. Its been a fun winter for the first time in 5 years. I know I've been quieter this season, but just wanted to do a better job at being objective when I write for you folks. I really do care about that stuff. Even to the ones who troll us for giving the effort we do. The rewards for our hard work on our hobby are the amazing number of folks who stood up for us this year and encouraged us to keep going. Those who gave grace when it was needed and those who provide genuine beneficial criticism when I'm wrong and back it up with why they think that way. I love you guys and thank you. and.....WINTER'S NOT OVER YET! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 24, 2021 Report Share Posted February 24, 2021 Multiple 6"+ reports in the snow-starved Minot area. 8 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2021 Report Share Posted February 24, 2021 With spring on the minds of many, I fired up a March thread... https://theweatherforums.com/index.php?/topic/7340-march-2021-observations-and-discussion/ 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted February 24, 2021 Report Share Posted February 24, 2021 Good news is all the side roads and most of the drive is now snow free! still have a dense snowpack. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 24, 2021 Report Share Posted February 24, 2021 Back to back 46F and sunny days has halved Monday morning's snow pack. True winter was 3 week period for Mby. That's better than it was looking tbh. I could be fine with warmth in March. 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 25, 2021 Report Share Posted February 25, 2021 Lincoln is up to a -16.6 depature for the month. Plugging in the forecast for the next few days puts us at around -14. It's still going to be the 5th coldest Feb behind 1899, 1936, 1978, and 1979. For a while I thought only 1899 and 1936 would be ahead but I always forget how cold the late 70s winters were. Feb 1978 had a max temp of only 41, even 1936 hit 53. 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted February 25, 2021 Report Share Posted February 25, 2021 While this winter's total snow fall is only 44.8" This February will end up as one of the top snowiest February's in Grand Rapids history. We will end up at least the 6th snowiest and are still in play for the 5th spot. If Grand Rapids fails to reach 50" that would be the first time that Grand Rapids has not had at least 50" since the winter of 1986/87 And only the 4th time since 1950. At this time it is partly cloudy and 31 here 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beltrami Island Posted February 25, 2021 Report Share Posted February 25, 2021 This will help out for a few days, but I would expect plenty of red flag warnings in the Dakotas over the next few weeks given the lack of snow there this winter. They entered winter with drought conditions as it is. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2021 Report Share Posted February 26, 2021 Happy Friday! #TGIF...the slow and steady demise of the snow pack (30% U.S. coverage) continues as a thaw/freeze cycle carry's on to close out February this weekend. Out here in the desert SW the wx pattern is rather boring...but beautiful. It's been sunny everyday since I got here but temps have dipped a bit yesterday into the upper 60's which brought a slight chill into the air. Mornings are brisk and right now its a nippy 46F. Another dry CF is in the forecast this weekend but I am hopeful that the trough that is forecast to hit the area next Wed brings some much needed moisture. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted February 26, 2021 Report Share Posted February 26, 2021 After a cold overnight low of 15 here the temperature is now up to 30 with clear skies. The official overnight low at GRR looks to have been 18. There was no snow or rain yesterday, the February snow fall remains at 29.6" and for the season it remains 44.8" As of yesterday at 7 AM the official snow depth is down to 6" here in my yard there is around 5" on the ground but there are spots of bare ground showing and of course there are the snow piles that will take some time to melt. For the month the mean is now at 19.0 and that is a departure of -7.4. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 26, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 26, 2021 My snow depth has fallen below a foot, down from 18" at its peak last week. 2 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2021 Report Share Posted February 26, 2021 1 hour ago, Hawkeye said: My snow depth has fallen below a foot, down from 18" at its peak last week. Wow, can’t believe it’s still that deep after all the warmer weather. ORD is already down to 7” since this morning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted February 26, 2021 Report Share Posted February 26, 2021 29 minutes ago, Tom said: Wow, can’t believe it’s still that deep after all the warmer weather. ORD is already down to 7” since this morning. We've had full sun here for a few days and temps in the 40's. I'm still around 8" as well in the yard. The piles are still chest high in my driveway. Going to take some rain to melt it at this rate. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted February 27, 2021 Report Share Posted February 27, 2021 11 hours ago, westMJim said: After a cold overnight low of 15 here the temperature is now up to 30 with clear skies. The official overnight low at GRR looks to have been 18. There was no snow or rain yesterday, the February snow fall remains at 29.6" and for the season it remains 44.8" As of yesterday at 7 AM the official snow depth is down to 6" here in my yard there is around 5" on the ground but there are spots of bare ground showing and of course there are the snow piles that will take some time to melt. For the month the mean is now at 19.0 and that is a departure of -7.4. That sounds about like what I have here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 27, 2021 Report Share Posted February 27, 2021 Overperforming again today. Already up to 55 when the forecast was for 52. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 27, 2021 Report Share Posted February 27, 2021 Also first chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for 2021 tonight!! Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 9pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9pm and midnight. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. East southeast wind 9 to 16 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 27, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 27, 2021 Satellite shows the snow cover gone south of Des Moines. That part of Iowa is rising into the 50s this afternoon. 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 27, 2021 Report Share Posted February 27, 2021 Twin cities area could get a few inches tonight into tomorrow according to several models. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 27, 2021 Report Share Posted February 27, 2021 Just noticed the winter weather advisories for a large part of MN into WI. One NWS map even showed up to 8” in spots Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 27, 2021 Report Share Posted February 27, 2021 Lol omg wtf humidity is 3-4% in SW kansas right now. 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 28, 2021 Report Share Posted February 28, 2021 3 hours ago, bud2380 said: Just noticed the winter weather advisories for a large part of MN into WI. One NWS map even showed up to 8” in spots might score my second wsw if it goes well! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 28, 2021 Report Share Posted February 28, 2021 I might be crazy but I swear I just saw lightning lol 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 28, 2021 Report Share Posted February 28, 2021 31 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: I might be crazy but I swear I just saw lightning lol Good news! You’re not crazy! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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