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I've managed to cross the zero degrees threshold so it looks like I won't set any kind of really long consecutive hours stretch below zero.

It's been pretty cool to watch the temps jump around real time with the network of Ambient weather stations online on this site: https://ambientweather.net/ 

I'm zoomed into Omaha and you can see the variance across town. My temperature seems a bit warmer compared to other parts of the city, but there is another station not too far away that's been pretty close to what mine has been reporting. It refreshes every two minutes and has been jumping around by sometimes more than a degree with each 2 minute update!

That's where I have my weather station shared to as well:  https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/530ccfef4ca30329b2e6d1d76dceeac7

I was sitting at -2.9 at 235p and by 245p I was at 0.9 above zero. Since then it's been going back and forth around -1.5 degrees and has now gone back down to -3.3 degrees.

Winter weather temps especially have always fascinated me with the way the temps can jump around so much with the wind, clouds, etc.

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Just a reminder of The Weather Channels FEB temp forecast

Once I saw the end was near, it was time for me to make my trip out to AZ.  I wasn’t lying when I saw a potential pattern that could conceivably become historic and it did.  I was open about it and ad

Pics taken in & near Argusville and Gardner, ND. Temps were in the -17*F area the entire time. Actually burned my hand touching my metal tripod a couple times.

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50 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

I've managed to cross the zero degrees threshold so it looks like I won't set any kind of really long consecutive hours stretch below zero.

It's been pretty cool to watch the temps jump around real time with the network of Ambient weather stations online on this site: https://ambientweather.net/ 

I'm zoomed into Omaha and you can see the variance across town. My temperature seems a bit warmer compared to other parts of the city, but there is another station not too far away that's been pretty close to what mine has been reporting. It refreshes every two minutes and has been jumping around by sometimes more than a degree with each 2 minute update!

That's where I have my weather station shared to as well:  https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/530ccfef4ca30329b2e6d1d76dceeac7

I was sitting at -2.9 at 235p and by 245p I was at 0.9 above zero. Since then it's been going back and forth around -1.5 degrees and has now gone back down to -3.3 degrees.

Winter weather temps especially have always fascinated me with the way the temps can jump around so much with the wind, clouds, etc.

I have tried getting my weather station online but can’t figure it out! Any tips?!

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Tomorrow nite when skies clear out, my temp will plummet like crazy. I am expecting record lows here as temps are forecasted to drop between -10 to -15F or lower. Freshdeep snowpack, clear skies, no wind will do the trick. Vibes of Winter 2013-14. Absolutely brutal.

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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9 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

I’m assuming you have an ambient WS?

Correct, had it for a while but never got around to get it up online. Now of course I can't find the directions......

IMG_1099.jpg

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28 minutes ago, gabel23 said:

Correct, had it for a while but never got around to get it up online. Now of course I can't find the directions......

IMG_1099.jpg

Looks like mine which is a 2902a. Do you know if that's the model you have? I can track down instructions if it is

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9 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

Looks like mine which is a 2902a. Do you know if that's the model you have? I can track down instructions if it is

2902 b actually! Looks like yours is one better than mine!! 😂 

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1 hour ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

I've managed to cross the zero degrees threshold so it looks like I won't set any kind of really long consecutive hours stretch below zero.

It's been pretty cool to watch the temps jump around real time with the network of Ambient weather stations online on this site: https://ambientweather.net/ 

I'm zoomed into Omaha and you can see the variance across town. My temperature seems a bit warmer compared to other parts of the city, but there is another station not too far away that's been pretty close to what mine has been reporting. It refreshes every two minutes and has been jumping around by sometimes more than a degree with each 2 minute update!

That's where I have my weather station shared to as well:  https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/530ccfef4ca30329b2e6d1d76dceeac7

I was sitting at -2.9 at 235p and by 245p I was at 0.9 above zero. Since then it's been going back and forth around -1.5 degrees and has now gone back down to -3.3 degrees.

Winter weather temps especially have always fascinated me with the way the temps can jump around so much with the wind, clouds, etc.

You got above zero??? D**n look at you toasting over there lol. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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17 minutes ago, gabel23 said:

2902 b actually! Looks like yours is one better than mine!! 😂 

Here's the manual. https://p10.secure.hostingprod.com/@site.ambientweatherstore.com/ssl/Manuals/WS-2902A.pdf

Page 34 section 7 gives instructions on how to get it online. You'll need to download the AWNET console app first. That creates an online account for you. You then can put your station online on ambientweather.net and other web hosting sites like weatherunderground. I also downloaded the ambient weather app for my phone. I mainly use this app though for my weather station that I like the "look" of better, PWS monitor. Hope this helps! If you have any issues, let me know and I can try and help. Otherwise, I know ambient weather has a Facebook group and they are very helpful too!

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ON a lighter note- with the epic winter conditions-last night when I got home from work I was bit disappointed that TWC was not in 24 hour mode with the "C" team on in the early morning hours like they do with hurricanes. That usually means a Ray Stagich sighting- everyone's favorite TV met!!!

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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13 hours ago, Niko said:

Accu-Weather on board w another big snowmaker for SMI for late week system......6-12 "❄️

https://cms.accuweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/hd23-1.jpg?w=632

WPC agrees and picks it up on the 18th (d3):

 

20210215 CPC hazards_d3_7_contours.png

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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By the time this week is over, the majority of our Sub will have experienced the culmination of peak winter for this season.  The past couple weeks are going to go down in the history books as one of the most memorable attacks of extreme Winter wx for a large majority of our nation.  What remains for the rest of this month?  As we back out of this incredibly cold pattern that has been influenced by the displaced Polar Vortex, I opined that the Hudson Bay block would then influence our pattern post PV.  The next system that appears to be our next MW/GL's snow maker is showing up for late this weekend.

Last night's 00z UKIE/GGEM all see a decent moderate snow event for parts of NE/IA/IL into the GL's...00z Euro was a lot weaker this run and developed later once near MI.  

00z Ukie...

snku_acc.us_c.png

 

 

snku_024h.us_mw.png

 

00z Candian...

snku_024h.us_mw.png

 

snku_024h.us_c.png

 

So, while we get out of this extreme cold, the pattern will still be conducive to produce snow systems.  Keep 'em coming???

 

 

 

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Another WWA has been issued for tomorrow.  NWS going with an additional 1-3.  The NAM keeps the piece of energy breaking from the main storm going and effects all the same areas that have just been hit.  The other models have it falling apart once it leaves MO.  GFS has 5in totals near mby.  @OKwx2k4 looks like another 4-6 for you maybe more. @Niko some models tack on another 2-3 for you on Thursday with the main storm.

6z GFS

snku_acc.us_ov.png

6z NAM

snku_acc.us_ov.png

snku_024h.us_mw.png

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Crazy note from LOT on Chicago area's Feb so far. 

A remarkable stretch, with Chicago having seen measurable
snow on 12 of the 16 days of February including today and going
back to January 25th, 16 of the past 23 days with measurable snow

 

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27 minutes ago, FV-Mike said:

Crazy note from LOT on Chicago area's Feb so far. 


A remarkable stretch, with Chicago having seen measurable
snow on 12 of the 16 days of February including today and going
back to January 25th, 16 of the past 23 days with measurable snow

 

I think we just tied the old record for 9 consecutive days with measurable snow.  An extraordinary stretch of winter weather.  Unlike the previous record streak in Feb ‘18, this one will surpass it in many ways.  The amount of powdery snows on top of snow is a visual I’ll never forget. On the drive to the gym this morning, the piles and drifts look like the snow belts up north.  Just amazing to see.  A lot of people (including Tom Skilling) in Chicago have been referencing the late 70’s as being a comparable stretch.  How much do you have OTG?

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29 minutes ago, Tom said:

I think we just tied the old record for 9 consecutive days with measurable snow.  An extraordinary stretch of winter weather.  Unlike the previous record streak in Feb ‘18, this one will surpass it in many ways.  The amount of powdery snows on top of snow is a visual I’ll never forget. On the drive to the gym this morning, the piles and drifts look like the snow belts up north.  Just amazing to see.  A lot of people (including Tom Skilling) in Chicago have been referencing the late 70’s as being a comparable stretch.  How much do you have OTG?

Yep, I am amazed at the piles. I live on a cul-de-sac and  our town had the front loader out this morning pushing the snow and loading into dump trucks. its been since 13-14 since the last time saw that!

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3 minutes ago, FV-Mike said:

Yep, I am amazed at the piles. I live on a cul-de-sac and  our town had the front loader out this morning pushing the snow and loading into dump trucks. its been since 13-14 since the last time saw that!

That sounds amazing.  I'm reading some of the snow reports in the city and many locals have 2 Foot snow depths.  Just remarkable.  It's like nature literally balanced out the seasons snow totals/depths in NE IL when basically everyone in the NW burbs and into NW IL have had snow OTG since late December.

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As of today, I currently have 19.0" of snow otg. Huge mountains everywhere ya look. Now, this is real Winter! Oh, and my temp is a chilly 14F attm w mostly cloudy skies. Snow has pretty much ended, except for a few snowshowers that may develop from lake Huron later on this afternoon.

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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Yesterday at this time, the NAM had me getting 6 inches of snow Wednesday.  Now it's 2 inches.  The NAM always seems to find a way to screw KC.  When it predicts decent amounts a few days out, it doesn't happen.  When it predicts nothing a few days out while the other models are giving us snow, the NAM ends up being right. 

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If Kansas City gets 5 inches or more of snow on February 28, 2021, I will donate $1,000 to Boys Hope of Kansas City.  The 5 inches must be the official measurement by the NWS, and must be measured at some point on February 28, 2021 (even if some of the snow fell on 2.27).  I'll post a pic of the check or online receipt (with my name redacted).  I'd love it if anyone is in a giving mood and would like to match some portion of my donation if this happens.

prateptype_cat.conus.png

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As far as the Thursday system goes, it looks like the "East Siders" in MI get a couple of inches and the "West Siders" get zilch. Unless, this storm takes a huge shift westward like other other storm did, it will remain well south and east. Still, it should be monitored because tomorrow it could take that westward track, now that we have yesterdays storm outta the way and also don't forget, didn't this last system go west on the models last second, some 150 to 200 miles or so, so anything is possible w the track. Stay tuned!

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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3 hours ago, someweatherdude said:

It's amazing that large portions of the Dakotas have no snow while almost the entire states of Texas and Louisiana are covered.  

Yes, hard to believe! Ma Nature can be real cruel and weird sometimes.

Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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4 hours ago, someweatherdude said:

Yesterday at this time, the NAM had me getting 6 inches of snow Wednesday.  Now it's 2 inches.  The NAM always seems to find a way to screw KC.  When it predicts decent amounts a few days out, it doesn't happen.  When it predicts nothing a few days out while the other models are giving us snow, the NAM ends up being right. 

I've noticed this too. I solved the problem by finding the model with the least amount of snow, reducing it by 50%, and going with that.

  • 20-21 snowfalls >=3": (Jan 1 - 4.5"); Season total (12.4")
  • 20-21 monthly: Oct (0.6"); Nov (Trace); Dec (Trace); Jan (7.6"); Feb (4.2"); Mar (Trace) as of 3/17
  • 20-21 temps: Oct(-3.2); Nov (+4.8); Dec (+4.5); Jan (+5.1); Feb (-11.3); Mar (+7.5) as of 3/17
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Odd. This pm GRR was still bullish on snow across SWMI for Thursday. Huh??

Quote

- Questions on system for Thursday -

As for our system on Thursday I am going on record saying it is
more likely than not that we will see measurable snow over
most of our CWA. The Pacific jet core diving into the west side
of the upper trough is stronger than the jet segment exiting the
trough. This will tend to pull the entire system back westward
some. While that is going on there is a northern stream system
that tries to phase with the southern stream system. All of this
favors a more NAM type solution then the ECMWF which just kicks it
east. What is odd about the ECMWF is that it tries to close off an
upper low near Michigan. If that really happens it will pull the
moisture back into Michigan at mid levels.

At least some of the ensembles like this idea, the 15z SPC SREF
has a 70 to 90 pct chance of measurable precipitation over all of
Lower Michigan between 7 am and 7 pm Thursday. That same SREF has
a 70 to 90 pct chance of a .10 inches or more over most of Lower
Michigan on Thursday. All 30 members of the GFS 12z ensemble have
measurable precipitation over Southwest Michigan Thursday. At
this point this would not be a heavy snow event but it would not
take much given we have potential for a phasing of the northern
and southern stream waves, for this to be significant snow event.
We will just have see how this plays out.

 

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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I've been making comments earlier on to see if Chicago could tie or break the record stream for measurable snowfall and low and behold, we did it, we tied it yesterday at 9 days!  If we can somehow get some measurable snow by midnight tonight we will set a new all-time record.  If it weren't for the dry day on Feb 7th, this would have been a 13 day streak so far.  What a fascinating wx pattern for snow enthusiasts.  Meantime, the stats are just mind blowing since Jan 25th for both MDW and ORD.  See the attached graphic below...we are entering into the holy grail of territories that take us back to the historic winter of '78-'79.  Is this year the one that starts a new trend going forward??  It feels like it could be, esp when you take into consideration how patterns set up in the longer term.  Anyway, this has been the snowiest 3-week period since the winter of '78-'79 and with more snow in the forecast by this coming weekend, the stats will keep growing.  ORD has received 34.1" of snow since the big FLIP on Jan 25th.  A whole seasons worth of snow.  It's wild to think what nature can do.  This has been a version of the Feb '15 Boston Blitz but in a less extreme way.

1.jpg

 

Feb 16th WGN Storm Summary.jpg

 

I remember the CFSv2 forecasts for the month of Feb was showing the MW, particularly centered around the areas of IA/IL with the deepest temp anomalies.  Did the model sniff out the  best snows as well???  Looking at the snow depth map below you can't argue.

nsm_depth_2021021605_National.jpg

 

 

 

nsm_depth_2021021605_Northern_Great_Lake

 

Taking all of the above into consideration, what lies ahead?  More snow.  While the Euro backed off last night, the rest of the models are seeing a potential widespread MW/GL's 3-6" event on Sunday/Monday.  The pattern that keeps on giving and it won't be the last this month.

 

00z GEFS...

138

 

 

1.jpg

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The current temperature here at my house is -9 looks like the official low at GRR so far has been -12 that will be the coldest  since February 20 2015 when it got down to -13. But still not as cold as the record for this date of -19 set in 1973. As I stated at this time it is clear here with a temperature of -9 and there is 13.5" of snow on the ground.

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Looks we start some melting next week after the Sunday system.  Hopefully a slow melt, because Hydro issues are going to be a problem if we warm too quickly.  mid to upper 30's look possible as far north as SMI by next tuesday.  

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