Jump to content
The Weather Forums

February 2021 Observations and Discussion


Recommended Posts

We picked up close to an inch overnight, but this morning we have a very pretty light gentle snow falling. It's the kind that would be perfect falling on Christmas Day and everything looks fresh and white. ❄️❄️❄️

  • Like 3
  • Snow 2
  • 20-21 snowfalls >=3": (Jan 1 - 4.5"); Season total (12.4")
  • 20-21 monthly: Oct (0.6"); Nov (Trace); Dec (Trace); Jan (7.6"); Feb (4.2"); Mar (Trace) as of 3/17
  • 20-21 temps: Oct(-3.2); Nov (+4.8); Dec (+4.5); Jan (+5.1); Feb (-11.3); Mar (+7.5) as of 3/17
Link to post
Share on other sites
  • Replies 962
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

Just a reminder of The Weather Channels FEB temp forecast

Once I saw the end was near, it was time for me to make my trip out to AZ.  I wasn’t lying when I saw a potential pattern that could conceivably become historic and it did.  I was open about it and ad

Pics taken in & near Argusville and Gardner, ND. Temps were in the -17*F area the entire time. Actually burned my hand touching my metal tripod a couple times.

Posted Images

2 minutes ago, mlgamer said:

We picked up close to an inch overnight, but this morning we have a very pretty light gentle snow falling. It's the kind that would be perfect falling on Christmas Day and everything looks fresh and white. ❄️❄️❄️

Do you think this is our last accumulating snow of the season?  I think we may have a chance in early Mar, but I think this could be it.

Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Clinton said:

Do you think this is our last accumulating snow of the season?  I think we may have a chance in early Mar, but I think this could be it.

I was thinking around Mar 2 and maybe around Mar 13/14 we might have a chance. But I wouldn't be surprised if this was our last hurrah for this year.

  • Like 1
  • 20-21 snowfalls >=3": (Jan 1 - 4.5"); Season total (12.4")
  • 20-21 monthly: Oct (0.6"); Nov (Trace); Dec (Trace); Jan (7.6"); Feb (4.2"); Mar (Trace) as of 3/17
  • 20-21 temps: Oct(-3.2); Nov (+4.8); Dec (+4.5); Jan (+5.1); Feb (-11.3); Mar (+7.5) as of 3/17
Link to post
Share on other sites

GFSv16 for Sunday

snku_024h.us_mw.png

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to post
Share on other sites

12Z Canadian through hour 222, wants to drop another significant storm in the Central Plains next week.  Why not, there will be quite a bit of snow melt in the next week, so lets start with some fresh snow.  Long ways out, but something to keep in the back of your mind.  

12z Canadian 2 17.png

  • Like 4
  • scream 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
23 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

12Z Canadian through hour 222, wants to drop another significant storm in the Central Plains next week.  Why not, there will be quite a bit of snow melt in the next week, so lets start with some fresh snow.  Long ways out, but something to keep in the back of your mind.  

12z Canadian 2 17.png

Any other models showing it?

Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, centralweather44 said:

Any other models showing it?

GFS no.  12z Euro showing a classic late winter/early spring storm over the Central Plains in the same time frame as the Canadian.  Long ways out, might disappear, but having Canadian and Euro showing something is encouraging.  

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
34 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

GFS no.  12z Euro showing a classic late winter/early spring storm over the Central Plains in the same time frame as the Canadian.  Long ways out, might disappear, but having Canadian and Euro showing something is encouraging.  

GFS has it, but it's way north.  Icon also has a storm but kind of splits in 2.  Either way looks like something somewhere in the Plains later next week.  

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Jayhawker85 said:

you won the prize for snow today!

Warrensburg did for sure.  I live about 10 miles to the south and have 1.5 of new snow 😒  Looks like the heaviest fell along US-50

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, james1976 said:

Still waiting for that troll to pop in......

Wow how can you guys be cheering for BAD WEATHER!?!?! My great grandmother twice removed's cousin's step-daughter fell in the ice one day and bruised her ankle you are all literally advocating for the deaths of millions of Americans a 9/11 with every flake!!! 🤣

  • lol 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

Southern Arkansas is really getting clobbered this afternoon with 2-3"/hr snow in spots.  Radar looks like bright-banding sleet/mix, but it's all snow.

  • Like 3
  • Snow 1
  • scream 1

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to post
Share on other sites

Clouds are rolling back in as the next shot of snow arriving here by tomorrow morning. Skies have this gray look to it, while temps are in the upper teens. Couple of inches of snow is in my foreecast b4 all said and done on Fri w the potential for some lake enhancement from "Lake Huron." A 2-4" snowfall is on tap for mby as of now. ❄️

Btw: Lows dipped to -8F last nite in (Macomb). It was not that bad because there was no wind.

 

  • Like 1

Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

Link to post
Share on other sites

Memphis metro is getting raked with Storm #2. My parents in Desoto county MS have been getting pounded with heavy snow the past couple of hours with more to come. This started with snow/sleet from Monday still on the ground. 

  • Like 7

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

Link to post
Share on other sites
48 minutes ago, OKwx2k4 said:

Thankful for the snowstorms. Going to leave me with 90 hours or so of below average temperatures to contend with and a good snowcover to melt out. Been many many winters since I've enjoyed this. So much has changed in 5 years. Nothing is literally the same as it used to be anymore in my family. It's really been that long since I've felt like this. Interesting time. 

Sometime just outside the 10 day stretch, GFS has a storm that could transform in later runs to a oklahoma snowmaker, so this run may not be over yet.

Congrats on the snow. The signature storm of the pattern is due in around March 2nd through the 4th will it be cold enough.

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Congrats on the snow. The signature storm of the pattern is due in around March 2nd through the 4th will it be cold enough.

I know there's more due late month or early next month, but I have been wrong before too. Glad you picked up some winter the last couple days.

  • Thanks 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Lincoln is -21.8 below average for Feb 1-16. Last week of the month will be a recovery attempt, but I think it's unlikely we'll get warmer than a -15 departure. 

  • Like 1

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

Link to post
Share on other sites

We radiated out nicely this morning at the airport. Coldest since 1/22/19. Prior to that goes back to Feb 2015!

 

20210217 KRMY Low Temp.PNG

Almost topped this list too!

1249898566_202102179amGRRTempsList.png.45bd6072cc293087b9400752b6d1bb10.png

  • Like 3

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
15 hours ago, Clinton said:

Do you think this is our last accumulating snow of the season?  I think we may have a chance in early Mar, but I think this could be it.

00Z Euro- long ways out- but you guys down there are FAR from being done. prateptype_cat_ecmwf.conus.png

  • Like 2

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to post
Share on other sites

06z GFS sniffing out the next system we will likely be tracking before month's end.  There may be another system to close out the month depending on timing, but at least one more system to cap off THE most memorable Feb in decades.  March is going to open up like a Lion this year as I am expecting to see a SW Flow to open up next month.  Lot's of cutters and the 1st one will prob be a Big Dog.

 

 

snku_024h.us_c.png

 

snku_024h.us_mw.png

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites

ORD had a dry day yesterday so the 9-day record tying streak of measurable snow will come to an end.  It would have been nice to extend this streak one more day to make history.  Who's going to complain?  Meantime, guess what, it's snowing again.  As I look out my window, the snow falling peacefully and the flakes are mod sized.  It is a sight to see as the flakes are creating a twinkle as they fall down caused by the street light on my street.  A picturesque nighttime sight as I already have a coating OTG.   

  • Like 1
  • Snow 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Always bittersweet after an event like this past week. Was pretty exciting to experience and this 10 day stretch of cold has rivaled anything you could hope to see in any year ever. Parts of TX getting snow and sitting under a -38° deviation from average would agree. A week of winter in Southern Arkansas and Louisiana won't be forgotten for a generation.

Not all winters/events are "epic" and shocking for their quick stats and specs. Some you just have to live them to appreciate them. 

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, Tom said:

Dropped off my sister at ORD and seeing some beautiful LES.  Sun peaking through intermittent snow squalls.  Gorgeous morning!

Nice morning out with flakes flying. Lake has really been good to us this year and probably will continue the rest of the month.

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, Tony said:

Nice morning out with flakes flying. Lake has really been good to us this year and probably will continue the rest of the month.

This is pure beauty.  Radar has exploded over N Cook.  Viz has dropped as I made it up to my place a few miles north of ORD.  Fatties flying and barely any wind.   Snow globe in full effect.  18F with moderate snow.  Doesn’t get any better.

  • Like 2
  • Snow 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Tom said:

This is pure beauty.  Radar has exploded over N Cook.  Viz has dropped as I made it up to my place a few miles north of ORD.  Fatties flying and barely any wind.   Snow globe in full effect.  18F with moderate snow.  Doesn’t get any better.

looking at 12z Nam it seems to keep snow going for most of the day. Love this kinda stuff

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites

Wednesday morning was very cold, sunny and calm and very tranquil with the chirping of birds from all directions...

This morning isn't as cold but cloudy, breezy East wind and not a bird to be heard !

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

We are now entering the last full week of meteorological winter and while most of this winter has been mild in reality there have not been all that many warm winter days. Did you know that as of today the warmest it has been this meteorological winter has been 53 and since Christmas the highest it has been is just 41. And so far this February the warmest it has been is just 37. On average the warmest day in December is 53 January 48 and February 50. The mean so far this meteorological winter at Grand Rapids this winter is now at 25.5° The average mean for the 3 months is 25.6° The coldest low this winter at Grand Rapids will be -12 and the annual average lowest reading is -7. The deepest snow depth looks to be 14” that average deepest snow depth at Grand Rapids is 11” Now it is true that this winter looks to end up well below average in the snow fall department and it looks to end up well below that average winter in days of 1” or more of snow cover at this time this year is at 46 days. Average at this date should be 54. Note for the year the average number of days with at least 1” of snow cover at Grand Rapids is 70.

  • Like 5
Link to post
Share on other sites

This stuff is very high ratio and fluffy.  I measured 1.3” so far and it’s prob coming down at 1”/hr.  Might be an overachiever today.  Top layer is bumpy bc of the large dendrites.

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, FV-Mike said:

Great video!

I’m tickled with excitement to see this surprise.  I wasn’t expecting anything near this intensity.  Almost closing in on 2” and coming down as hard as it’s been.  If this band stays put, I could see 4” out of this today.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
16 minutes ago, Tom said:

What a treat this morning...it’s like a balancing act by nature to those who missed the previous LES event...

Strange how I could see vid 1 but not vid 2 on my phone. I rarely can see when Peeps upload any vids. Was there a format diff?

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, Tom said:

I’m tickled with excitement to see this surprise.  I wasn’t expecting anything near this intensity.  Almost closing in on 2” and coming down as hard as it’s been.  If this band stays put, I could see 4” out of this today.

There have been many overperformers this month. Modeling on this one was not even close

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
19 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Strange how I could see vid 1 but not vid 2 on my phone. I rarely can see when Peeps upload any vids. Was there a format diff?

No, I uploaded from my iPhone 12...not sure why you can’t see the other vid.  On a side note, this phone produces some awesome quality pics/vids.  I especially like the slow-mo option on days like today.

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
  • Tom unpinned this topic

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...