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It has warmed above freezing over southern Iowa this afternoon.

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season snowfall: 51.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Just a reminder of The Weather Channels FEB temp forecast

Pics taken in & near Argusville and Gardner, ND. Temps were in the -17*F area the entire time. Actually burned my hand touching my metal tripod a couple times.

Is the best yet to come???  This may be a rather long post regarding the Long Range pattern bc there is a lot of data that I've filtered through that support the long standing idea (admittedly later t

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Went out and looked at the snowy fields for the last time today. What a truly amazing two weeks it has been. With temps now not projected to fall below freezing tonight, the snow will be gone altogether in the morning. The big chill is officially over. Next week's 50-60s plus much dryer weather to close out the month will be a head fake to spring. 

My early guess is that it was one of the top 3 cold waves of all time, but I could be wrong.

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Its going to be a frigid nite here in SEMI as temps fall below zero. More snow tomorrow w a couple of inches possible, especially later in the evening.

Note: So far, it has been a snowy February, where 20.7" has fallen and thus far for the season, Detroit is at 40.2" and more to come.

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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2 hours ago, Niko said:

Its going to be a frigid nite here in SEMI as temps fall below zero. More snow tomorrow w a couple of inches possible, especially later in the evening.

Note: So far, it has been a snowy February, where 20.7" has fallen and thus far for the season, Detroit is at 40.2" and more to come.

Good luck with more snow! Stay warm!

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That 00Z GFS has two more shots of Arctic Air (albeit brief) two more snow events at least for many and not nearly as warm as previous runs...

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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1 hour ago, Grizzcoat said:

That 00Z GFS has two more shots of Arctic Air (albeit brief) two more snow events at least for many and not nearly as warm as previous runs...

Yeah. That 1-2 punch there from 190 on is starting to look like it may have a little power behind it the last 3 runs. Bears watching. 

If I write winter off, it won't leave. :lol:

Still a lot of cold air stored in the mid-lats on the other side of the globe. The test will be if it can reload and relaunch over on our side as we get into March.

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A little over a inch of wet sloppy snow fall here. The current temperature here is 33. We took a trip up to Bay City yesterday and while there is a solid snow pack across the state of Michigan and it looks like there is about 12" of snow on the ground until we got east of Midland when the snow depth fell and it looks like around 5 or 6" or so in the Bay City area. There is a lot of ice on the Saginaw river and there are people snowmobiling and ice fishing on the river.

 

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51 minutes ago, gimmesnow said:

We really need a balanced spring between slow melt and cold again to prevent massive flooding.

Snow core H20 equivalent are running from 2 to 5" across the deepest areas of snow pack. ORD and MDW don't do one, but MKE over the weekend was 4.1" of water in the snowpack. DSM is 2.3". Omaha has to be similar. Timing is going to everything and just because you lose 1/2 of your snowpack- nearly 90% of the water is still there. It's not until those last few inches are melted that most of the water is released.

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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I don't think flooding should be much of an issue in Nebraska. We're still in D0 drought and most of the snow should slowly melt with the sunny and 40s this week vs. sudden 40s and rain. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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This morning is very likely as deep as the snow will get here, so I took a measurement.  In my backyard it is 18".  There are some dense layers, too.  I had to chop through the bottom few inches that have been compacting since late December.

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season snowfall: 51.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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2 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

This morning is very likely as deep as the snow will get here, so I took a measurement.  In my backyard it is 18".  There are some dense layers, too.  I had to chop through the bottom few inches that have been compacting since late December.

Wow, the Dec 29th snow didn't survive the mid Jan mild spell here. Even the crust from Jan 25th takes a bit to cut through. 

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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21 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

This morning is very likely as deep as the snow will get here, so I took a measurement.  In my backyard it is 18".  There are some dense layers, too.  I had to chop through the bottom few inches that have been compacting since late December.

I’m on the south side of Waterloo right now and while I haven’t taken an official measurement that’s about what I’m guessing here too-  looking at our deck the snow is above the legs of the chairs that are sitting out there-  

melting and compacting very quickly today though!

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7 minutes ago, Sparky said:

How can northern Mn. warm up as much and soon as here?

C9BD7EE3-C30D-4405-8133-2E1D84B91DE5.gif

I would say less snow cover but apparently INL has a snow depth of 13" sooo idk. 61 in Pierre SD tho 😵. It's also starting to look like it may hit 50 here tomorrow. That'll take out several inches of the snowpack. Not too upset, it'll be neat to have a bare ground beforehand if we get some stuff in early March. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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1 minute ago, snowstorm83 said:

I would say less snow cover but apparently INL has a snow depth of 13" sooo idk. 61 in Pierre SD tho 😵. It's also starting to look like it may hit 50 here tomorrow. That'll take out several inches of the snowpack. Not too upset, it'll be neat to have a bare ground beforehand if we get some stuff in early March. 

I suppose the chinooks are warming up the high plains, but surprised how mild northeast Mn. is where it usually hits -40°!

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‘20 - ‘21 season snowfall = 38.5”

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4 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said:

I would say less snow cover but apparently INL has a snow depth of 13" sooo idk. 61 in Pierre SD tho 😵. It's also starting to look like it may hit 50 here tomorrow. That'll take out several inches of the snowpack. Not too upset, it'll be neat to have a bare ground beforehand if we get some stuff in early March. 

It's crazy to walk outside and just hear water running everywhere!

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3 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said:

I would say less snow cover but apparently INL has a snow depth of 13" sooo idk. 61 in Pierre SD tho 😵. It's also starting to look like it may hit 50 here tomorrow. That'll take out several inches of the snowpack. Not too upset, it'll be neat to have a bare ground beforehand if we get some stuff in early March. 

We (northern minnesota) did not have any impact from the low that affected you guys down south yesterday, I had all sun and only dropped to 30 overnight.  There is a massive sub 980mb pacific low going across canada dragging pacific air across the Canadian prairies, warmed even more by the chinooks coming down from the Canadian Rockies.  

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Not so much were Beltami Island is- but most of N.MN (esp the arrowhead) is all  (mostly) conifer trees. In the Spring (today is a little early for this - but later in the Spring it's spot on) is that with increasing sun and sun angle (especially in low snowpack zones) conifer trees absorb much more warmth than trees with no leaves. ( deciduous trees)  You can see this affect in April much more so when apparent air mass temps is not much different between MPLS and Ely,MN- yet with no clouds in late PM - Ely is warmer due to the conifer effect. Even with urban heat island effect- day temps in N.MN will be much higher than progged based on this alone. Watch and see.

 

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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11 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

Not so much were Beltami Island is- but most of N.MN (esp the arrowhead) is all  (mostly) conifer trees. In the Spring (today is a little early for this - but later in the Spring it's spot on) is that with increasing sun and sun angle (especially in low snowpack zones) conifer trees absorb much more warmth than trees with no leaves. ( deciduous trees)  You can see this affect in April much more so when apparent air mass temps is not much different between MPLS and Ely,MN- yet with no clouds in late PM - Ely is warmer due to the conifer effect. Even with urban heat island effect- day temps in N.MN will be much higher than progged based on this alone. Watch and see.

 

I agree. Less sunlight reflecting off of the snow too. When you check visible satellite on a sunny day with snow cover, you can tell where the forests are.

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‘20 - ‘21 season snowfall = 38.5”

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3 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

This morning is very likely as deep as the snow will get here, so I took a measurement.  In my backyard it is 18".  There are some dense layers, too.  I had to chop through the bottom few inches that have been compacting since late December.

I tried to take a measurement this weekend and my yard stick snapped in half due to the layers of ice.  I managed to get to 13" in one spot, but I couldn't tell if I had hit grass or not.  I don't think I did.  It was too hard to measure in most spots with all the thick ice, so I guess I don't really know what we have here.  At least 13" though. LOL.  

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Season Snowfall: 39.5"

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4 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

This morning is very likely as deep as the snow will get here, so I took a measurement.  In my backyard it is 18".  There are some dense layers, too.  I had to chop through the bottom few inches that have been compacting since late December.

Exactly same here,  17.5 snow depth yesterday.  Layers and several inches of ice at bottom. I maxed out  earlier in feb at 21". Over 44 inches for the season.

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Not taking sublimation into account, my 18" snow cover in the backyard contains 4.13" of liquid (the total precip I've recorded since late December).

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season snowfall: 51.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Today was really beautiful, highs in the mid 40s. Lots of people wearing shorts (including me). Big snow pack eater as well. There's bare ground in some of the spots hit by direct sunlight, only 6-8" left in the higher areas. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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Sledding season is pretty much done here after 39 and 44 the last couple days. There just wasnt enough base to withstand the warm temps.

My sled hasn't moved since mlk weekend when I decided there really wasn't enough snow to make it worth riding until we get more snow..... it never happened.

If you blindly gave me a summary of temps, precip, and snow for my area since  October 1, I would say with strong confidence that we must be in a moderate to strong el nino, go figure.

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Interesting convective component to tomorrow's clipper here. May see thunder regardless of ptype to my SW. Pretty sure I'm a lock for all snow here, all warmth aloft has been zapped by the NW flow tonight.

Got up to the 40s with light rain yesterday, the result of that is a zapping of basically all non-drifted snow.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 20.9"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Not a March thread, but the GFS continues to advertise a very brief cold shot to open March and then it gets torchy.  Been there off and on for a couple runs.  If we get what the GFS is promoting, there will be floods.  

Side note edit:  Maybe it's time for a March thread?  the rest of February looks boring.  

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Some fun facts. Todays total daylight is the same as October 17th So far this winter the total snow fall at Grand Rapids is now at 44.8” and that is still 17.2” below average as of this date at GR. While it was mild in December and January it has been much colder in February. The mean for February at this time is 17.0 and that is a departure of -9.1 and the mean for the winter season at this point of 25.8 is actually colder than average (26.6) at this point. The warmest day this year so far is 41. On average the 1st 50° day at Grand Rapids is February 8th The earliest is January 1st 2011 and the latest is April 4th 1912. The average 1st 60° day is March 14th the earliest is January 4th 1997 and the latest is April 17 1975. Today should be the warmest day this year so far. The snow pack will start melting today as highs should reach into the 40's at this time there is 14" of snow on the ground here at my house.

 

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9 minutes ago, westMJim said:

Some fun facts. Todays total daylight is the same as October 17th So far this winter the total snow fall at Grand Rapids is now at 44.8” and that is still 17.2” below average as of this date at GR. While it was mild in December and January it has been much colder in February. The mean for February at this time is 17.0 and that is a departure of -9.1 and the mean for the winter season at this point of 25.8 is actually colder than average (26.6) at this point. The warmest day this year so far is 41. On average the 1st 50° day at Grand Rapids is February 8th The earliest is January 1st 2011 and the latest is April 4th 1912. The average 1st 60° day is March 14th the earliest is January 4th 1997 and the latest is April 17 1975. Today should be the warmest day this year so far. The snow pack will start melting today as highs should reach into the 40's at this time there is 14" of snow on the ground here at my house.

 

It's that time of year where temps will exceed forecasted temps almost every time with any sun.  

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1 hour ago, snowstorm83 said:

Bye bye to most of this today. The past 30 days sure have been a wild ride.

A982E8F5-EF20-49E6-9253-E5D24F737DE1.jpeg

No doubt. I find myself having model disease. Too many storms over a short period of time. Dont' get me wrong - heck of a ride that I enjoyed but it's actually becoming slightly "old". I think it's over for the most part. One thing is certain is how much you learn - or at least think you do - on the models. Not just one storm and you forget 3 weeks later how they performed, this was like a 10 ball roman candle going off and was good to remember how each model did and not having to wait 3 weeks.

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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6 minutes ago, Stacsh said:

It's that time of year where temps will exceed forecasted temps almost every time with any sun.  

Yep. We were originally forecast to be around 42 today just a couple of days ago, and now the high is forecast for 50 degrees today. Overnight AFD said temps overperforming guidance

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