Jump to content

2/4-5 Potential Wound-up Low


hlcater

Recommended Posts

Had nearly, 1” of super wet snow by the time the front blew in around 11:45 am. I decided I better get the slush cleaned off the sidewalks before it freezes to much so I was outside doing that in nearly whiteout conditions! I got caked up with snow and my pants were so wet once I went indoors I needed to change. I checked the liquid equivalent of my gauges around noon and already had 0.35”. Maybe half of that was from snow. Didn’t want my gauges cracking from the liquid freezing plus I wanted the less accurate wind blown snow separate. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The stuff that’s falling now is really dry and just adding fuel to the fire. Probably 14-15:1 stuff.

 

Meanwhile our first inch was no more than 8:1. Tale of two storms here.

  • Like 3

2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 10.2"

(12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") 

(1/1: 6.4")

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, bud2380 said:

I can't say for sure how much we got here.  I'm not able to measure yet.  Hopefully in a couple hours I can.  All I can say with certainty is we got much more than the 1-2" that the NWS forecast.  I honestly have no clue what they were thinking.  

One of DVN’s worst busts recently that’s for sure. Holding the blizzard warning and way under forecasting amounts. They looked clueless.

CR/IC on pace to meet the criteria easily. 

  • Like 1

2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 10.2"

(12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") 

(1/1: 6.4")

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, hlcater said:

One of DVN’s worst busts recently that’s for sure. Holding the blizzard warning and way under forecasting amounts. They looked clueless.

CR/IC on pace to meet the criteria easily. 

To be a blizzard you need winds at or around 35mph and 1/4 visibility for 3+ hours.  We're at that now, so clearly a blizzard warning was in order.  It's hard to understand why they wanted to downplay this storm.  Perhaps that is partially to blame for all the accidents on the interstates.  If people see blizzard warning there is a whole extra level of caution typically.  

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, bud2380 said:

To be a blizzard you need winds at or around 35mph and 1/4 visibility for 3+ hours.  We're at that now, so clearly a blizzard warning was in order.  It's hard to understand why they wanted to downplay this storm.  Perhaps that is partially to blame for all the accidents on the interstates.  If people see blizzard warning there is a whole extra level of caution typically.  

My thoughts exactly. Not only that, it appeared as if there was no sync between the morning package and afternoon package. Ervin and Speck in the mornings consistently gave the storm more respect than the afternoon staff did.

  • Like 1

2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 10.2"

(12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") 

(1/1: 6.4")

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We're on the home stretch now with the back edge approaching on radar.  It's too bad this storm couldn't continue for several more hours.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Sparky said:

Peak winds so far across Iowa. Wow, it was windy in central Iowa!

 

3C8584CA-C2D6-4811-94C3-D8FCF581637B.png

That's KIKV (Ankeny AWOS) I wouldn't trust that gust - or even Boone- but hey, it gets recorded in the climo sadly.

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, james1976 said:

After going out and shoveling id say we definitely have at least 3" maybe closer to 4. Quite the workout. Stuff is wetter than I thought.

The first two inches here were quite wet and heavy.

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

That's KIKV (Ankeny AWOS) I wouldn't trust that gust - or even Boone- but hey, it gets recorded in the climo sadly.

Yeah I didn’t really believe it. Anemometers can vary a lot. I wonder if mine even shows 40mph. Haven’t checked yet.

Edited by Sparky
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Sparky said:

Yeah I didn’t really believe it. Anemometers can vary a lot. I wonder if mine even shows 40mph. Haven’t checked yet.

Look at this. The G 59KTs is totally out of whack compared to before and after. And being the wind went out right after- soomething is fishy.

KIKV 041515Z AUTO 33019G27KT M1/4SM +UP OVC013 M02/M03 A2960 RMK AO2
KIKV 041455Z AUTO M1/4SM -SN BKN003 BKN007 BKN015 M02/M03 A2958 RMK AO2
KIKV 041435Z AUTO 34015G59KT M1/4SM -SN OVC002 M02/M02 A2957 RMK AO2
KIKV 041415Z AUTO 34014G25KT M1/4SM SN OVC002 M01/M02 A2957 RMK AO2

  • Like 1

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Here we go...."Heavy Snow" aiming for SEMI.....Thundersnow is a good possibility as well. This could be an overachiever right there.......

NOAA:

The stage is set for an action packed period this evening as heavy
snow will progress south to north through Southeast Michigan between
23-04Z. Model data shows ideal juxtapositioning of synoptic scale
dynamics with hard negative tilting to composite midlevel trough,
left exit region dynamics, sharply cyclonic lower tropospheric wind
trajectories complete with 55 knot LLJ -17 to -20 dam 1000-500mb
geopotential height fall arc coincident to the direct potential
vorticity anomaly strike. Pattern recognition supports a short
duration event of heavy snowfall rates at an inch per hour or
greater this evening.
Now for snowfall rates. All signs point to a short duration of heavy
snowfall rates reaching and exceeding 1 inch per hour. Midlevel
lapse rates are conditionally unstable at 6.8 to 7.0 C/km with a
well defined pocket of instability noted in cross section between
680-580 mb. The prospects for thundersnow appears to be fairly good
when considering magnitude of lift, the conditional instability and
the amount of ice that will likely be inside the column contributing
to a charge difference. The one argument against is that direct DCVA
will be slightly lagged to greatest warm advection surge. This supports the 
going forecast for 3 to 5 inches of snow falling primarily in the 23-04Z 
timeframe,however, with convective rates, there will likely be isolated 
higher amounts.

 

  • Like 2

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

54 minutes ago, james1976 said:

Snow mounds are growing!!!

20210204_152511.jpg

20210204_152422.jpg

Very thorough cleaning Mr. James......😉

  • Like 6

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I got stuck heading down the road to my house. It went from plowed to not plowed in a blink of an eye. Thankfully a neighbor helped push and shovel me out. When I got to my house there was a 4 foot drift blocking my driveway. So I’m parked on the street for the night. Not sure how I’ll clear that drift. 

  • Like 5
  • scream 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, brianc400 said:

It was fun to watch the snow today, but I don't think I got more than an inch here. There were a few very narrow, heavy bands but for the most part the snow diminished as it approached the lake.

Fine for me: I got hours of watching snow without the cleanup. ;)

 

Same here, models busted on the amount of snow.  Temps surged to 39F at ORD ahead of the the snow which made me nervous from the get go.  Had some really awesome snowfall rates but accumulations were less than 2” so far.  I haven’t gone outside to measure but maybe a bit over 1”.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Popular Contributors

  • Activity Stream

    1. 3

      March 31st - April 2nd Potent Plains Storm

    2. 5818

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

    3. 5818

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

    4. 5818

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

    5. 48

      The Total Solar Eclipse of April 8, 2024

×
×
  • Create New...