MossMan Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, luvssnow_seattle said: What is the latest discussion on the Polar Vortex split? I am sure I am late to the party, just curious if this still look viable? Might give us a sloppy half inch the first week of April! 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 32 minutes ago, westiztehbest said: January finished as 10th least snowfall going back to 18xx. A letdown for La Niña. An October cold spell usually bodes well for a cold and active la niña winter. That didn't happen this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Finished January with 9.79” of rain. 0.34” so far today. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Fairly decent improvement on the EPS snowfall projections for Seattle. Close to 2 inches on the mean with a few really good members. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, luvssnow_seattle said: What is the latest discussion on the Polar Vortex split? I am sure I am late to the party, just curious if this still look viable? What a dud! Recent winters haven't been very cold. 2016-17 had snowcover for roughly three months. Feb-Mar 2019 was also a cold and snowy period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, Snowdrift said: An October cold spell usually bodes well for a cold and active la niña winter. That didn't happen this year. 1 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Today’s our 3rd day in a row with a 50+ high. 50/42 spread so far. 1 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: Gotta wonder how many times you have to be right before people will acknowledge it? 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Gotta wonder how many times you have to be right before people will acknowledge it? Another couple years maybe? Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Today’s our 3rd day in a row with a 50+ high. 50/42 spread so far. We'll have to see if I can avoid it today. 48 currently with 850s starting to drop. I might make it and keep the streak going. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 10 minutes ago, luvssnow_seattle said: Talking to the local here this has been one of the warmest winters in many years here. Our snowfall for January was minor overall and melted quickly (in a day in most cases) here in the Valley. I really enjoyed it, but afternoon temps have been pretty warm. My good buddy who has lived here for 15 years says this is not normal to have zero snow on the ground this time of year and temps consistently in the upper 40's... I am honestly okay with it, love the snow we have gotten, and winter is not over, yet. When I was a kid, we generally had snowcover from December-mid February. Highs in the 50s were unheard of in December and January. At one point, January was the coldest month. Now December is the coldest month. Spokane's climate has gotten milder in my lifetime. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 20 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 32 years ago this morning we all almost DIED at the bus stop. I stepped outside, and I promptly stepped back inside. They ended up canceling school because of the extreme wind chill. I was giving the Home Alone fist pump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Me, jealous? Noooo 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 13 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: DK says, "No bananas for you." We might be able to grow some though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Really big 18z run coming up. 1 2 1 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 For real though, October 1984 had a wicked cold spell around Halloween. That la niña winter turned out nice. October 1949 had a decent cold spell. We all know how that winter turned out. October cold spells during el niños are like dancing to "Tango Del Muerte". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Really big 18z run coming up. One way or the other... Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: One way or the other... Monster Cold Wave into the Midwest and Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Regardless nothing is going to show up within a week. The next potentially favorable blocking pattern begins at around hour 150. Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsktkr Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Deweydog said: RIP Dustin Diamond. Who? Did a member of the group pass away? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Most years I don't expect much in February. I'm satisfied with very little. Regardless, I've been very happy with its performance during the last 40 years. February has had some great events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 46 minutes ago, Snowdrift said: An October cold spell usually bodes well for a cold and active la niña winter. That didn't happen this year. The October thing isn’t real. The state of intraseasonal tropical forcing that favors western cold in October actually favors warmth by January thanks to seasonality of wave dynamics/number(s). Seasonal transitions are also the most complex periods of the year in terms of the evolution of the system state, so it’s the least likely time of year for low frequency predictability to arise (that usually happens near/just after the solstices). 2 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: The October thing isn’t real. The state of tropical forcing that favors western cold in October actually favors warmth by January thanks to seasonality of wave dynamics/number(s). Seasonal transitions are also the most complex periods of the year in terms of the evolution of the system state, so it’s the least likely time of year for low frequency predictability to arise (that usually happens near/just after the solstices). So, in a sense, those years are noise. January 1985 had a strong inversion. We were cold despite the ridging. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 NWS Medford 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 9 minutes ago, rsktkr said: Who? Did a member of the group pass away? Google it. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Google it. No idea who the **** that is. Was it COVID related? 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Tomorrow night looks like a good snow dump on the Oregon Cascade passes. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 15 minutes ago, rsktkr said: Who? Did a member of the group pass away? It’s my pet name for inversion season. 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: No idea who the **** that is. Was it COVID related? Google it. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Google it. I don't care, but you seem sad. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Not as much energy splitting the two pacific ridges, allows for the cold air to expand westward a bit more. Noticeably better at day 4. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 29 minutes ago, Snowdrift said: So, in a sense, those years are noise. January 1985 had a strong inversion. We were cold despite the ridging. Oh well. Not necessarily. There are cases where anomalous patterns are indicative of something on the larger scale. But those patterns can indeed be “noise” as well. It’s never straightforward. Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 That Beaufort Sea block is about to rock our world! 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 19 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I don't care, but you seem sad. I don't have any opinion on Dustin Diamond... but it actually is sad when someone in their 40s finds out they have cancer and then they are dead a couple weeks later. 2 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I don't have any opinion on Dustin Diamond... but it actually is sad when someone in their 40s finds out they have cancer and then they are dead a couple weeks later. That is terrible. Probably a surprise given my naturally optimistic nature, but I think about things like that all the time. 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: That is terrible. Probably a surprise given my naturally optimistic nature, but I think about things like that all the time. Yeah... sadly I do as well. 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 I’m not dying until I get to experience a January 1950 redux. 3 1 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 It's gonna get cold somewhere. 1 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2021 Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, Front Ranger said: It's gonna get cold somewhere. Buying plane tickets to the Twin Cities, as we speak. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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