Yeah, I don't think 2012 is a good analog, was just looking at semi-recent years with hot summers in the middle of the continent. Seeing if there was any indication the summer pattern would be getting established by now.
The impressive speed of this CCKW across the Pacific is another indicator the niño is losing its grip on higher frequency elements of tropical forcing.
The last 2 months have already established a warm CONUS pattern which, when manifesting during post-niño springs, almost always precedes warm summers nationally.
This bears striking resemblance to spring 2010. Only difference is cool anomalies aren’t as prevalent (I suspect the same will hold true during the summer).
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