TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Its been a pretty interesting model ride... but we might just end with up a couple days in the low 40s out of this deal. Still to early to give up on February and I am pretty sure March will be interesting as well. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 6z GFS in 2 hours 43 minutes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Its been a pretty interesting model ride... and we might just end up a couple days in the low 40s out of this deal. Still to early to give up on February and I am pretty sure March will be interesting as well. Cold pattern on low-freq might peak in the spring/summer. 1 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Its been a pretty interesting model ride... and we might just end up a couple days in the low 40s out of this deal. Still to early to give up on February and I am pretty sure March will be interesting as well. Sunshine is in the cards. Good enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Actually the ECMWF shows Wednesday being even cooler despite sunshine... highs may not even reach 40 that day with a brisk east wind. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: Cold pattern on low-freq might peak in the spring/summer. No doubt... already expecting it. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Canadian ensembles for Yakima. I wonder if that disastrous Op run was an outlier. Yeah. Just a tad by 10-11c. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Phil said: Cold pattern on low-freq might peak in the spring/summer. Our springs are often crummy. I expect a rotten March, April, and May. I hope the best and expect the worst. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Day 9 Look at that. Our friend the westerlies return.... Back to a stormy pattern maybe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Day 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Looking forward to this...If the cold and snow doesn’t materialize next week. 3 2 2 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeorgeWx Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 9 Look at that. Our friend the westerlies return.... Back to a stormy pattern maybe! we will need a pattern reset to get any arctic air here but by then it will be March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 10 minutes ago, GeorgeWx said: we will need a pattern reset to get any arctic air here but by then it will be March. The east coast mets probably already got headlines like, "Massive Polar Vortex slams the entire US!!" since the west coast doesn't exist 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 26 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Its been a pretty interesting model ride... but we might just end with up a couple days in the low 40s out of this deal. Still to early to give up on February and I am pretty sure March will be interesting as well. I don't know about you, but I prefer cold patterns in February over March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 48 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Its been a pretty interesting model ride... but we might just end with up a couple days in the low 40s out of this deal. Still to early to give up on February and I am pretty sure March will be interesting as well. March will be relatively snowy, as I have maintained since some time in December. Mark my words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 EPS must be a train wreck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 9 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: EPS must be a train wreck? 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 And the anomalies. It's so close at hour 114. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 11 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: And the anomalies. It's so close at hour 114. Nice backdoor cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 06z rolling out... These are substantial differences for a *nine hour* forecast... Models are a hot mess right now. The lack of airline data due to covid has been astoundingly impactful already, but now we are experiencing even more instability from the ongoing SSWE. I wouldn't put much cadence into any forecast beyond four days out, if that. Welcome to 2003. 1 1 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: 06z rolling out... These are substantial differences for a *nine hour* forecast... Models are a hot mess right now. The lack of airline data due to covid has been astoundingly impactful already, but now we are experiencing even more instability from the ongoing SSWE. I wouldn't put much cadence into any forecast beyond four days out, if that. Welcome to 2003. At 54 hours it looks the 18z all over again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Saturday's system is stronger than the 00z's like the 18z run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Same thing on Monday's system, 06z looks like 18z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Anybody else listening to some nice chill, synthwave tunes while the night shift GFS rolls out? Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 So close to a major blast if we can edge the ridge and base a few notches to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 HR 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 4 (Past 4 runs) 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: So close to a major blast if we can edge the ridge and base of the block a few notches to the west This is actually looking better than 18z. Actually not quite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Day 4.5 (Past 4 runs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Day 5 (Past 4 runs) Ridge is stronger, cold air a bit further west than 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 I really want to see the next several runs swing the base of the trough a bit further west.... Not impossible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Day 5.5 850s (Past 2 runs) .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Anybody else listening to some nice chill, synthwave tunes while the night shift GFS rolls out? Foreigner "Cold as Ice" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 11 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: So close to a major blast if we can edge the ridge and base a few notches to the west I'll work on that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Day 6 (Past 4 runs) 850s (Past 2 runs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Freeze #31 snuck in before midnight and #32 currently. 3 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 The medium range is just an all-out bananas, ludicrous, zany, insane solution that mutes the entirety of the eastern Pacific while sending a -NAO block into Alaska. Very cold and dry for the PNW. 2 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 7 AM Wednesday chilly with strong east wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Day 6.5 850s (Past 2 runs) Nice backdoor blast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 6.5 850s (Past 2 runs) Nice backdoor blast I like how the 6z gfs keeps Washington cold for so much longer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by Bryant,
11 reactions
Go to this post