Jump to content

February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion


BLI snowman

Recommended Posts

8 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

We’re toying relatively seriously with a move to the Spokane area.  It’s not weather-related in any way but I certainly wouldn’t complain about it from that perspective.  Still a couple years out though and by then they may be on par with the Tri Cities.  In other words, VACATION HEAVEN!

 

Interesting.  You and Andrew could be neighbors!  

  • Like 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

30 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Serious question...

How many of you are considering a move in the next few years, and if you are, how big of a factor is the climate where you currently are?

I won't be able to retire for 10 years and want to finish with 30 years with my current employer so I can't consider moving till then. But I would move for more snow.  The problem is I don't like hot weather so that limits where I would be willing to go.  I was actually looking at coastal New Hampshire for fun a couple of days ago. I would also consider moving for political reasons if things continue like they are around here.

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, TheNewCulverJosh said:

I thought model performances were supposed to improve with time??  What a joke that they can all be so different within 3-4 days....sad really.

Looks to me like the GFS is sadly a cold outlier. Euro, GEM, and ICON are all in agreement.

That said, I have a hard time believing that Alaskan vortex is going to sit right in between of the ridge.

Therefore, the Euro, GEM, and ICON solutions look strange to me.

 

gfs-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-2990800.thumb.png.0fab1771341751edee622989f28bea3e.pngecmwf-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-2980000.thumb.png.f69a14c14c5a15c43aa22ad580310ce9.pngicon-all-nhemi-z500_anom-2893600.thumb.png.680621479d633bdedf71e9be95222a8d.png

  • Like 1
  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

37 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Serious question...

How many of you are considering a move in the next few years, and if you are, how big of a factor is the climate where you currently are?

It will be a major impact. My forever home will be in the North Bend/ Snoqualmie Ridge area. I gotta get out of this donut hole in the south sound. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, AbbyJr said:

Looks to me like the GFS is sadly a cold outlier. Euro, GEM, and ICON are all in agreement.

That said, I have a hard time believing that Alaskan vortex is going to sit right in between of the ridge.

Therefore, the Euro, GEM, and ICON solutions look strange to me.

 

gfs-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-2990800.thumb.png.0fab1771341751edee622989f28bea3e.pngecmwf-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-2980000.thumb.png.f69a14c14c5a15c43aa22ad580310ce9.pngicon-all-nhemi-z500_anom-2893600.thumb.png.680621479d633bdedf71e9be95222a8d.png

There have been meandering vortices up there all winter. Nothing particularly new there.

  • Like 1

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, AbbyJr said:

Looks to me like the GFS is sadly a cold outlier. Euro, GEM, and ICON are all in agreement.

That said, I have a hard time believing that Alaskan vortex is going to sit right in between of the ridge.

Therefore, the Euro, GEM, and ICON solutions look strange to me.

 

gfs-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-2990800.thumb.png.0fab1771341751edee622989f28bea3e.pngecmwf-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-2980000.thumb.png.f69a14c14c5a15c43aa22ad580310ce9.pngicon-all-nhemi-z500_anom-2893600.thumb.png.680621479d633bdedf71e9be95222a8d.png

The cold is still coming ❄️🥶

The models with probably be in this back and forth tug of war flux until at least Sunday  

It going to be a quick model flip anything past 84hr is pointless at the moment 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Bold prediction. We won’t have a sub-freezing high or snow event of 1” or more until 2027-28.

  • Sun 1
  • Downvote 2
  • Weenie 1

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

In about 30 minutes this place will be rocking with enthusiasm again after the 18Z GFS shows 3 feet of snow for everyone and highs in the single digits! 

  • Like 1
  • Excited 1
  • Popcorn 1
  • Snow 1
  • scream 1
  • Weenie 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, TT-SEA said:

In about 30 minutes this place will be rocking with enthusiasm again after the 18Z GFS shows 3 feet of snow for everyone and highs in the single digits! 

I've had this dream several times over the years.

All of a sudden, KOMO shows a 12/3, 17/6, 10/0, 9/-3 stretch.

  • Like 2

Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

Link to comment
Share on other sites

18z isn't perfect, but it does look better than the 12z.

  • Like 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

53 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Serious question...

How many of you are considering a move in the next few years, and if you are, how big of a factor is the climate where you currently are?

Me. I’m almost certainly moving N &/or W once me and my gf finish our graduate degrees. We both hate heat/humidity so there’s a consensus on that front. Thank goodness.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

44 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Too much sunshine and too many dry days here... looking at Sitka.  👍

I predict you’ll move within the decade. Probably to Hawaii or San Diego, or maybe Phoenix.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Phil said:

I predict you’ll move within the decade. Probably to Hawaii or San Diego, or maybe Phoenix.

Hawaii is calling me... maybe we will live half of the year there and half here like a couple of our neighbors.    I definitely won't be moving anywhere colder or wetter.  😀

  • Like 1
  • Sun 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Me. I’m almost certainly moving N &/or W once me and my gf finish our graduate degrees. We both hate heat/humidity so there’s a consensus on that front. Thank goodness.

Maine sounds pretty good to me...

  • Like 3

Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, weatherwonder said:

The cold is still coming ❄️🥶

The models with probably be in this back and forth tug of war flux until at least Sunday  

It going to be a quick model flip anything past 84hr is pointless at the moment 

There are no guarantees the cold is coming. I agree that the models are struggling right now, but they could also do a flip to milder solutions at the last minute. Not saying thats going to happen, but the GFS solution does not have the Euro's support right now. The Euro is said to be the most reliable model thus I have trouble being onboard without its support.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, MossMan said:

Why are the 6 and 18z’s so bad?? 

trend-gfs-2021020418-f084.500h_anom_npac.gif.7c6dee2ebb6aa2ff0c62b33b51c1cdd2.gif

The 18z is the best run of the day...?

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

34 minutes ago, Acer said:

This is amazing to me.  I would have guessed Portland to be of similar length to Seattles.  

SEA's record is actually 688 days, so not too different from PDX.

SEA had zero sub-40 highs in 1957-58 and 1991-92, while PDX had zero in 1966-67, 1999-00, 2002-03, and 2019-20.

2020-21 is shaping up to be the first winter where neither did it!

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, jakerepp said:

Serious question...

How many of you are considering a move in the next few years, and if you are, how big of a factor is the climate where you currently are?

I am thinking about moving for non-weather related reasons, but certainly weather is a HUGE factor in where I am looking to move.  It's as much about going to a snowy place as it is staying in a coastal region and in a place that does not get too hot/humid.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Maine sounds pretty good to me...

Yeah, if there’s any work available there in our fields of research, I’ll be on it in a heartbeat. Would be a rare opportunity.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, luvssnow_seattle said:

I am looking forward to some chilly highs next week here in Spokane. IN OTHER NEWS - My wife and I just bought 3.5 acres up towards Colville WA. This will be the view from backyard in about a year from now. I assume next year there will be more snow as this has been a horrible year for snow in this area. Pictures taken about 5 days ago. Also, I have attached an image of the home we will be building -- Plans are drawn builder is pricing things out for us.

IMG_0358.JPG

Plan 51762HZ built in North Carolina.png

Love that porch! 

  • Like 1

Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

Link to comment
Share on other sites

34 minutes ago, Fircrest said:

I won't be able to retire for 10 years and want to finish with 30 years with my current employer so I can't consider moving till then. But I would move for more snow.  The problem is I don't like hot weather so that limits where I would be willing to go.  I was actually looking at coastal New Hampshire for fun a couple of days ago. I would also consider moving for political reasons if things continue like they are around here.

I am also looking at coastal NH (or Maine.)  The Californication of Washington/Oregon plays a big role in it.  Also, I got laid off from my job of 17 years, and am at the age that I need to find a place where I can settle in another 17 years to retirement, so its kind of a now or never kind of thing...

 

Also figured out this morning that flying out of Boston to see my family in Atlanta is crazy cheap, and curiously enough, it costs about the same to fly from Boston to Great Falls (to see my Mother in Law) as it does to fly from Bellingham to GF....about $300-350.  Boston-Logan is a 1 hr drive from Portsmouth NH on the NH ME border.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Omegaraptor said:

The disagreement between GFS and ECMWF is insane for 5 days out.

Eventually one of them is going to cave. Sadly, probably the GFS.

Honestly it’s a toss up. Neither have been impressive lately. I’d say 53% chance euro wins tho. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, iFred said:

Kind of was a big selling point when moving to Philly in 2015. My current line of work will take me out to NYC, DC, or even the UK. My wife is not too keen on any option that doesn’t involve living within a four mile radius of North Everett.

Maybe we’ll get to grab that coffee after all. 👊

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

  • Popular Contributors

  • Activity Stream

    1. 5769

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

    2. 5769

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

    3. 5769

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

    4. 5769

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

×
×
  • Create New...