snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, paulb/eugene said: Euro ensemble 18z, seems suggestive of a bit more cold air interior NW The northerly flow is trending sharper. Very good. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 16 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: We are really due. 1989 was fantastic, but no big ones since. I do remember one year in the 2000s had a fair amount. It's kind of surprising how may big snow / cold events we have had in early March. Prior to 1989 you had 1971, 1960, 1955, 1951, etc. March 2012 was pretty snowy in the Willamette Valley. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 This is a situation where even a tiny bit of improvement on each run could make a big difference in how cold it gets. There is a ton of cold air to work with in BC. I do know that with almost every trough this winter they have verified 1 or 2C colder than progged just a day or so ahead of time. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: March 2012 was pretty snowy in the Willamette Valley. I was referring to ones that had more of a continental flavor, but yeah. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Currently 40 and raining. .59” so far on the day. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 The models are really touting a major Kona low for the middle of next week. Don't be surprised if something pops for later next week. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I was referring to ones that had more of a continental flavor, but yeah. Early March 2019 was our first low in the teens in March since the 70s. I know not top tier, but March 2009 had some chilly offshore flow. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 It snowed 3" on Bainbridge on March 15th, 2009. Really unexpected and put my Winter total over 40 inches so it was pretty great. 2 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 8 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 I had snow falling with a dusting on 3/22/13, and a good inch or so in early March 2017 as well. 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 March is our 2nd snowiest month after February. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Are we grasping at straws now? 1 1 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, umadbro said: Are we grasping at straws now? What else do we have? Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, MossMan said: What else do we have? Reality? 1 1 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: March is our 2nd snowiest month after February. Not surprising at 1600' elevation. Upper-level temp averages reach their nadir in Feb and March, even with high sun angles heating up the valley floor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, umadbro said: Reality? We have had enough of that over the last year. 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Models don’t look bad at all rn. Chilly and windy at least. 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 hours ago, snow_wizard said: Hopefully we will get a real honest to goodness winter one of these times for you to enjoy. Once in a while we get a really good one. Was Feb 2019 so long ago? Only SEA's snowiest February on record. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 NWS Seattle is onboard! kinda. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Can't call anything a trend when it's pretty much been 1 step forward 2 steps back everyday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: March 2012 was pretty snowy in the Willamette Valley. I believe both 2008 and 2009 also had lowland snow events in March. Along with 2019. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 7 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Was Feb 2019 so long ago? Feb 2019 didn't deliver for everyone. See: Washington, Yamhill, Marion counties 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, Omegaraptor said: Feb 2019 didn't deliver for everyone. See: Washington, Yamhill, Marion counties Obviously. But SW was talking about the Puget Sound region, where he lives. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Obviously. But SW was talking about the Puget Sound region, where he lives. Ah my bad, I was referring to where The Blob lives (which he doesn't specify, but for some reason I thought it was in the Portland area). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, GeorgeWx said: Ryan Maue posted the 18z GFS parallel at day 9 on his Twitter Was wondering why we didn't hear about it. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeorgeWx Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Was wondering why we didn't hear about it. Deleted my post, wasn’t the parallel, he mentioned parallel version in his post but looks like it’s the normal GFS run. Gfsv16 stuck at hour 12. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, iFred said: Anyone posting anything that is more than 48h which isn’t the EPS will be banned. Anyone peddling snow and cold theories that are not bounded by reality will be banned. Anyone who likes cold, darkness, dampness, or anything Jessie likes will be banned. You’ve given me the confidence to stick with this and to make a point. The only way we can attract people who want to have serious discussions about the weather in the frame of our climate must adhere to a construct of reality or they will be mocked and their online weather lives canceled. It’s just silly that anyone could think we could have anything cold late in a La Niña winter with those blazingly high sun angles. Thanks again lil buddy, you’ve helped turned this forum around. Uhh.. wasn't my point, but you do you. 1 1 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 JESSE 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: JESSE I heard the 18z JESSE was good. 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 14 minutes ago, GeorgeWx said: Deleted my post, wasn’t the parallel, he mentioned parallel version in his post but looks like it’s the normal GFS run. Gfsv16 stuck at hour 12. Ahhh. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 32 minutes ago, MossMan said: NWS Seattle is onboard! kinda. Shows how pathetic our winter climate is.... Potential temps slightly below 30 in the mornings! Everyone panic!! 1 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Is the precipitation that's been going on today in the North Sound just a result of lift as the NW flows encounters the Cascade Foothills? I just think it's been interesting that I've been right on the western edge of the rain on radar. At times we've had just light mist while at other times it's been moderate to heavy rain. 1 Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, jakerepp said: Shows how pathetic our winter climate is.... Potential temps slightly below 30 in the mornings! Everyone panic!! Highs possibly as low as 39!! 1 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHawks Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Not that I am looking forward to March, but Seattle had a significant snow on March the 9th in 1989 or 1990. I was working in the Federal building and what I feel like was advertised as a mix of snow and rain turned into a solid six inches on Capital Hill. I ruined a pair of Kenneth Cole suede loafers because I had to walk home to the top of Capital Hill. The buses were not chained up and one after one got stuck on East John. Fun times 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 NAM 00z bit less cold than uncle 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 18z GEFS a bit colder than 12z and possibly very snowy or icy with undercutting jet. C'MON! 00z GFS in 12 minutes 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 51 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Feb 2019 didn't deliver for everyone. See: Washington, Yamhill, Marion counties Depends on what part of Marion County. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 30 minutes ago, iFred said: Fun fact- I joked with Ryan about being dogged on his tweets and he quickly sent me a DM encouraging me to kill my self, and something with my mother. Then I got blocked. Stand up dude. Seriously? 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 00z is running. Time to hand it off to Rob. 1 1 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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