Jump to content

February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion


BLI snowman

Recommended Posts

2 hours ago, JBolin said:

Good morning, 

As you know, back in late December I decided to end my jovial "ranting" here among you soulless bastard's to focus on more personal matters. 

Well despite my better judgement I have chosen to share some major life news with you all, my gf has accepted an amazing offer from her employer that requires relocation. As such the offer comes with all expenses paid relocation overseas. 

As of August 3rd of this year, her and I will be living full time in Tampere, Finland, not only will this be a massive change but also a welcome change as she is originally from Finland and still has family there as well as in Sweden and Norway. 

I'm still a bit shell-shocked about the whole thing but then I realized, I'll get to see the Aurora Borealis, I'll get snow and not have to worry about the models waffling, I'll see so many things that many of us want or hope to see (in a lifetime) and how lucky we'll both be to experience that. 

The immersion into a culture I'm not familiar with will be a hard task to endure but the "rewards" will far outweigh any hiccups or missteps I may have. 

So for the time being, I may continue to lurk among you and may periodically post. 

Take it easy you goons.

Congrats on the big news, that is awesome!!!!!!!

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Just remember this hasn’t happened just yet. Encouraging signs but it could change by the next run or two. 

Yeah, not to be a downer, but we're talking about day 6+ here in a very tenuous pattern where the models have been all over the place just 4-5 days out.

  • Like 5
  • Weenie 1

A forum for the end of the world.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Christensen87 said:

Chewing Gum Reaction GIF

Can't Raven just tell us whats gonna happen? She has psychic visions. 

 

  • Like 1
  • lol 2

Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Good for our 2nd coldest temp of the fall-winter. Not too shabby!

Latest.png

  • Like 2

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

What in the world is going on?

At this rate, we're going to get the rug pulled out and put back under us 4 more times before Monday even gets here. 

The rug was never pulled. Phil said it best. The Euro had the solution and for whatever reason lost it for 2 daya

  • Like 3
  • Confused 1

195572.png?1673757432

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Yeah, not to be a downer, but we're talking about day 6+ here in a very tenuous pattern where the models have been all over the place just 4-5 days out.

Yeah I definitely agree. Nice to see the models looking good but the last few days it’s been so back and forth it’s hard to get excited about it yet. Euro spits out a couple sub 30 high temps here next week would be impressive if it verifies! Hopefully by Sunday or Monday we’ve actually locked into something. 

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, JBolin said:

Good morning, 

As you know, back in late December I decided to end my jovial "ranting" here among you soulless bastard's to focus on more personal matters. 

Well despite my better judgement I have chosen to share some major life news with you all, my gf has accepted an amazing offer from her employer that requires relocation. As such the offer comes with all expenses paid relocation overseas. 

As of August 3rd of this year, her and I will be living full time in Tampere, Finland, not only will this be a massive change but also a welcome change as she is originally from Finland and still has family there as well as in Sweden and Norway. 

I'm still a bit shell-shocked about the whole thing but then I realized, I'll get to see the Aurora Borealis, I'll get snow and not have to worry about the models waffling, I'll see so many things that many of us want or hope to see (in a lifetime) and how lucky we'll both be to experience that. 

The immersion into a culture I'm not familiar with will be a hard task to endure but the "rewards" will far outweigh any hiccups or missteps I may have. 

So for the time being, I may continue to lurk among you and may periodically post. 

Take it easy you goons.

Congratulations! Sounds like a wonderful experience.

  • Like 5

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On this run... the precip is all to the south later next week but this has the feeling of something that could evolve into a major overrunning snowstorm on future runs 

Or it could be a February 2014 special for Eugene! 

 

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-precip_12hr_inch-3131200.png

  • Like 6
  • Sad 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Kind of an OMG run!  Might have a shot at a couple of -20 departures with that.

  • Like 6

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

NWS still playing it a little on the safe side as of this am.  Will be interesting to see if they budge from this:

Conditions become even less favorable for precipitation Monday night
and Tuesday as onshore flow transitions to offshore flow, bringing in
a colder and drier air mass. The main question that remains is how
cold the air mass in the Columbia Basin will get, which will affect
how strong the offshore flow will get and what temperatures will be
like west of the Cascades. At this time, much uncertainty remains in
the strength and position of the cold upper trough that models and
their ensembles continue to advertise somewhere over the Columbia
Basin and Northern Plains during the middle of next week. If this
trough sets up further to the east as some guidance suggests, then
offshore flow would be weaker and temperatures over northwest OR and
southwest WA would not be as cold. If the trough ends up further west
with a deep layer of cold air building over eastern WA/OR, then
strong east winds and cold temperatures would be likely. Given the
uncertainty that still remains, went with the latest NBM guidance for
the temperature forecast. The NBM 90th percentile guidance was used
for the wind forecast, which increases east winds to more reasonable
intensities. For what it`s worth, the NBM produces widespread
overnight lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s Wednesday night and
Thursday night. That said, there is a significant amount of spread
evident on the NBM 1D viewer. Will have to watch what happens late in
the week, when both the GFS and the EURO have light precipitation
moving into northern portions of the forecast area. If a sufficient
cold pool is able to build over the northern Willamette Valley into
the Gorge during the middle of the week, then wintry precipitation
may be possible over lower elevations late in the week. It is much
too soon to tell, so stay tuned! -TK
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Yeah I definitely agree. Nice to see the models looking good but the last few days it’s been so back and forth it’s hard to get excited about it yet. Euro spits out a couple sub 30 high temps here next week would be impressive if it verifies! Hopefully by Sunday or Monday we’ve actually locked into something. 

The thing is it turns fairly cold in a just a couple of days.  Obviously the real stuff is still a ways out.  Could trend even colder though.

  • Like 4

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, snow_wizard said:

The thing is it turns fairly cold in a just a couple of days.  Obviously the real stuff is still a ways out.  Could trend even colder though.

could trend warmer too!  the choice is yours!

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looks like Euro showing lows in the upper teens here a week from today. 

  • Like 3
  • Sun 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

The thing is it turns fairly cold in a just a couple of days.  Obviously the real stuff is still a ways out.  Could trend even colder though.

Definitely hoping for something epic we all are! This would really redeem this winter. Hopefully get a little snow out of it at some point too. 

  • Like 2

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

On this run... the precip is all to the south later next week but this has the feeling of something that could evolve into a major overrunning snowstorm on future runs 

Or it could be a February 2014 special for Eugene! 

 

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-precip_12hr_inch-3131200.png

I agree, there's potential for a big snow/ice event somewhere along the I-5 corridor.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Maybe a sub-40F high!!!

1613260800-HydUX9EsjiY.png

  • Like 1
  • Excited 1
  • Weenie 2

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The critical point in this run was late Monday into Tuesday... when the split heavily favored the main trough and not the Alaskan trough.    It will be very interesting to see if the 12Z EPS follows the ECMWF again.  

  • Like 2

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If that cold trough around day 6 were to dig out over the ocean a tiny bit more we could see a snowstorm and even colder temps than this run shows.  We would have snow cover and even colder 850s.  At any rate what a great run.

  • Like 8

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

×
×
  • Create New...