Chewbacca Defense Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 hours ago, JBolin said: Good morning, As you know, back in late December I decided to end my jovial "ranting" here among you soulless bastard's to focus on more personal matters. Well despite my better judgement I have chosen to share some major life news with you all, my gf has accepted an amazing offer from her employer that requires relocation. As such the offer comes with all expenses paid relocation overseas. As of August 3rd of this year, her and I will be living full time in Tampere, Finland, not only will this be a massive change but also a welcome change as she is originally from Finland and still has family there as well as in Sweden and Norway. I'm still a bit shell-shocked about the whole thing but then I realized, I'll get to see the Aurora Borealis, I'll get snow and not have to worry about the models waffling, I'll see so many things that many of us want or hope to see (in a lifetime) and how lucky we'll both be to experience that. The immersion into a culture I'm not familiar with will be a hard task to endure but the "rewards" will far outweigh any hiccups or missteps I may have. So for the time being, I may continue to lurk among you and may periodically post. Take it easy you goons. Congrats on the big news, that is awesome!!!!!!! 3 Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 7 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Just remember this hasn’t happened just yet. Encouraging signs but it could change by the next run or two. Yeah, not to be a downer, but we're talking about day 6+ here in a very tenuous pattern where the models have been all over the place just 4-5 days out. 5 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, jakerepp said: What in the world is going on? At this rate, we're going to get the rug pulled out and put back under us 4 more times before Monday even gets here. Probably true 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, Christensen87 said: Can't Raven just tell us whats gonna happen? She has psychic visions. 1 2 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 The TPV basically parks itself over central Canada due to all the high latitude blocking leading to sustained cold air. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Good for our 2nd coldest temp of the fall-winter. Not too shabby! 2 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, jakerepp said: What in the world is going on? At this rate, we're going to get the rug pulled out and put back under us 4 more times before Monday even gets here. The rug was never pulled. Phil said it best. The Euro had the solution and for whatever reason lost it for 2 daya 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 7 WOW !! My Favorite Rob!!!! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 An eyelash away from a historic blast. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Pattern is about 4-5 days from establishing itself. The medium range *should* be the Euro’s deadly range and hopefully not too many changes between now and then. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Yeah, not to be a downer, but we're talking about day 6+ here in a very tenuous pattern where the models have been all over the place just 4-5 days out. Yeah I definitely agree. Nice to see the models looking good but the last few days it’s been so back and forth it’s hard to get excited about it yet. Euro spits out a couple sub 30 high temps here next week would be impressive if it verifies! Hopefully by Sunday or Monday we’ve actually locked into something. 1 1 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Chilly in northern parts of the region. The 00z temps still suggest subfreezing highs for the Portland metro 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 7 WOW !! MOAB:Mother Of All Blasts 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 7 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: WOW. The cold air advection is very strong reminiscent of the real deal big blasts of the past. The 12z EURO delivers! Possible snowstorm later next week with a system coming onshore with Arctic air already in place. 🌨 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 hours ago, JBolin said: Good morning, As you know, back in late December I decided to end my jovial "ranting" here among you soulless bastard's to focus on more personal matters. Well despite my better judgement I have chosen to share some major life news with you all, my gf has accepted an amazing offer from her employer that requires relocation. As such the offer comes with all expenses paid relocation overseas. As of August 3rd of this year, her and I will be living full time in Tampere, Finland, not only will this be a massive change but also a welcome change as she is originally from Finland and still has family there as well as in Sweden and Norway. I'm still a bit shell-shocked about the whole thing but then I realized, I'll get to see the Aurora Borealis, I'll get snow and not have to worry about the models waffling, I'll see so many things that many of us want or hope to see (in a lifetime) and how lucky we'll both be to experience that. The immersion into a culture I'm not familiar with will be a hard task to endure but the "rewards" will far outweigh any hiccups or missteps I may have. So for the time being, I may continue to lurk among you and may periodically post. Take it easy you goons. Congratulations! Sounds like a wonderful experience. 5 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 On this run... the precip is all to the south later next week but this has the feeling of something that could evolve into a major overrunning snowstorm on future runs Or it could be a February 2014 special for Eugene! 6 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Day 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Kind of an OMG run! Might have a shot at a couple of -20 departures with that. 6 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 I have a feeling the 18Z GFS is going to be in rehab today. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 NWS still playing it a little on the safe side as of this am. Will be interesting to see if they budge from this: Conditions become even less favorable for precipitation Monday night and Tuesday as onshore flow transitions to offshore flow, bringing in a colder and drier air mass. The main question that remains is how cold the air mass in the Columbia Basin will get, which will affect how strong the offshore flow will get and what temperatures will be like west of the Cascades. At this time, much uncertainty remains in the strength and position of the cold upper trough that models and their ensembles continue to advertise somewhere over the Columbia Basin and Northern Plains during the middle of next week. If this trough sets up further to the east as some guidance suggests, then offshore flow would be weaker and temperatures over northwest OR and southwest WA would not be as cold. If the trough ends up further west with a deep layer of cold air building over eastern WA/OR, then strong east winds and cold temperatures would be likely. Given the uncertainty that still remains, went with the latest NBM guidance for the temperature forecast. The NBM 90th percentile guidance was used for the wind forecast, which increases east winds to more reasonable intensities. For what it`s worth, the NBM produces widespread overnight lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s Wednesday night and Thursday night. That said, there is a significant amount of spread evident on the NBM 1D viewer. Will have to watch what happens late in the week, when both the GFS and the EURO have light precipitation moving into northern portions of the forecast area. If a sufficient cold pool is able to build over the northern Willamette Valley into the Gorge during the middle of the week, then wintry precipitation may be possible over lower elevations late in the week. It is much too soon to tell, so stay tuned! -TK 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 8 Not that it bears ANY meaning but the last time I saw a "face" in the upper air run/s we ended up with over 13" Similar to Feb '19, Dec '12, late Nov '08 and also Dec 1996 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 For the Gorge, PDX metro, Northern Willamette Valley, very strong east wind keeping low level arctic air locked in place through day 8 likely longer. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, Snowdrift said: MOAB:Mother Of All Blasts I think the block in Canada is giving the horns. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Yeah I definitely agree. Nice to see the models looking good but the last few days it’s been so back and forth it’s hard to get excited about it yet. Euro spits out a couple sub 30 high temps here next week would be impressive if it verifies! Hopefully by Sunday or Monday we’ve actually locked into something. The thing is it turns fairly cold in a just a couple of days. Obviously the real stuff is still a ways out. Could trend even colder though. 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 850mb temp loop per the 12Z ECMWF... still seems like more of a glancing blow west of the Cascades. 2 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Day 9'er Ummmmmmmmmmm 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, snow_wizard said: The thing is it turns fairly cold in a just a couple of days. Obviously the real stuff is still a ways out. Could trend even colder though. could trend warmer too! the choice is yours! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Looks like Euro showing lows in the upper teens here a week from today. 3 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: The thing is it turns fairly cold in a just a couple of days. Obviously the real stuff is still a ways out. Could trend even colder though. With more precip please 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: The thing is it turns fairly cold in a just a couple of days. Obviously the real stuff is still a ways out. Could trend even colder though. Definitely hoping for something epic we all are! This would really redeem this winter. Hopefully get a little snow out of it at some point too. 2 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 10 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: An eyelash away from a historic blast. Here's my contribution-an eyelash. Make it happen. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: On this run... the precip is all to the south later next week but this has the feeling of something that could evolve into a major overrunning snowstorm on future runs Or it could be a February 2014 special for Eugene! I agree, there's potential for a big snow/ice event somewhere along the I-5 corridor. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 12Z ECMWF shows highs in the low to mid 30s in Seattle from Wednesday - Saturday. 5 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Maybe a sub-40F high!!! 1 1 2 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 850mb temp loop per the 12Z ECMWF... still seems like more of a glancing blow west of the Cascades. I might need to wear socks and clothes. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 The critical point in this run was late Monday into Tuesday... when the split heavily favored the main trough and not the Alaskan trough. It will be very interesting to see if the 12Z EPS follows the ECMWF again. 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 lol dewpoints in the -10's day 7 at pdx. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, JBolin said: Not that it bears ANY meaning but the last time I saw a "face" in the upper air run/s we ended up with over 13" Similar to Feb '19, Dec '12, late Nov '08 and also Dec 1996 Great analysis! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 If that cold trough around day 6 were to dig out over the ocean a tiny bit more we could see a snowstorm and even colder temps than this run shows. We would have snow cover and even colder 850s. At any rate what a great run. 8 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Lowest dewpoints in PDX history? or close to it 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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