AlTahoe Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Well the Euro sure changed it's tune for my area. Unfortunately with both of our pattern changes this season the GFS took the lead 2 to 3 days before the Euro finally caught on. So I am not buying it until the GFS catches on. God I hope it happens though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Unfortunately on this run... its completely dry for all of WA state after about Wednesday afternoon through the end of the run. Subject to change of course! 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Day 10 it just doesn't end 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 That's some very strong offshore flow to say the least. 4 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Unfortunately on this run... its completely dry for all of WA state after about Wednesday afternoon through the end of the run. It's no secret that you prefer sun and warmth, but would you rather have a weeklong cold snap that stays dry, or gives you some good snow? I know Feb 2019 was apocalyptic type snow up there, so let's assume it doesn't get to that level. 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Get the cold air here first, well established, and then look for moisture to arrive from the west. C'MON!!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Unfortunately on this run... its completely dry for all of WA state after about Wednesday afternoon through the end of the run. Subject to change of course! Definitely reminiscent of December 2009 and February 2014. Did have an overrunning event to end 2014 however. 2 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 850mb temp loop per the 12Z ECMWF... still seems like more of a glancing blow west of the Cascades. It sure wouldn't take much to bring the vodka cold in here. Really close call assuming anywhere close to this ends up being reality. Every model has had a turn at a great run now so it's more likely than it was. 4 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, jakerepp said: It's no secret that you prefer sun and warmth, but would you rather have a weeklong cold snap that stays dry, or gives you some good snow? I know Feb 2019 was apocalyptic type snow up there, so let's assume it doesn't get to that level. Some snow would be nice for a cold snap. But obviously I would like to avoid a February 2019 situation. 1 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olyman Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Long time lurker. If we get a big blast, you can thank me. Heading for Hawaii on Tuesday. I hope we get a blast, but I do hope there is no Kona low! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Here we go boys. Starting Monday night 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, Olyman said: Long time lurker. If we get a big blast, you can thank me. Heading for Hawaii on Tuesday. I hope we get a blast, but I do hope there is no Kona low! Well thanks! And welcome. Have a good trip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 10 it just doesn't end With super low dps if we can get snow cover there could be some wild low temps in wind sheltered areas. 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Cold, wind, and 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 With dewpoints in the negative values, IF we had moisture/snow with wet bulb cooling could you imagine how cold PDX could potentially get? We're talking single digits if we had a strong enough system with lots of moisture and strong east wind. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Some snow would be nice for a cold snap. But obviously I would like to avoid a February 2019 situation. I get it. A couple of my co-workers are up there and they couldn't leave for a week. One of them drives a 4Runner... I think the most I had on the ground was a foot or so, which I think is perfect for a 2 week stretch, while our total snowfall was 18-20'' I believe. 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 I'm exhausteddd I need a nap before 00z. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: I'm exhausteddd I need a nap before 00z. You've earned it! We'll hold down the fort for you. 4 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Here we go boys. Starting Monday night There are some girls on the forum as well. 3 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 DRAMATIC improvement with EPS! 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Any Moisture details will have to wait to the 24-36hr window. 6 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 26 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: On this run... the precip is all to the south later next week but this has the feeling of something that could evolve into a major overrunning snowstorm on future runs Or it could be a February 2014 special for Eugene! Feb 2014 was pretty darn good up in PDX as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Euro ensemble control run a bit colder than operational 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Here's a possible scenario. Ready? Arctic trough digs even further west, we end up with short-over-water trajectory AND that pulls the PV lobe even closer towards Northern Idaho. We end up with a snow storm Day 5 to 5.5. Incredible arctic blast. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: DRAMATIC improvement with EPS! Let’s see it! 2 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 12Z EPS at 120 hours... 3 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Euro ensemble control run a bit colder than operational 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, TT-SEA said: 12Z EPS at 120 hours... Wow 3/4 of the country about to enter the freezer. Pretty impressive stuff. 5 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, paulb/eugene said: Euro ensemble control run a bit colder than operational Siberian hammer about to drop 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 12Z EPS at day 6... 2 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 -36c 850s up in Alberta 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Any Moisture details will have to wait to the 24-36hr window. Don't you have the snowmizer toy? If so, you need to have him make "appearances" as well as doing the snow dance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 12Z EPS day 7... 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 10 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: I'm exhausteddd I need a nap before 00z. Get some rest. Night shift going to be very busy! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, TT-SEA said: 12Z EPS day 7... Its not a hammer...its a hydraulic press 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 22 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: Well the Euro sure changed it's tune for my area. Unfortunately with both of our pattern changes this season the GFS took the lead 2 to 3 days before the Euro finally caught on. So I am not buying it until the GFS catches on. God I hope it happens though. How much snow did you end up with in January? 2 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Siberian hammer about to drop Lol yep way better than arctic hammer! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, nwsnow said: Feb 2014 was pretty darn good up in PDX as well. Yeah, moisture didn't start showing up until a few days before the event and intially it was headed to Southern Oregon but eventually trended north at the last minute. 3 consecutive days of snow for PDX. Thu, Fri and Sat if I remember correctly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 21 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Definitely reminiscent of December 2009 and February 2014. Did have an overrunning event to end 2014 however. Dec 2009 was basically worst case scenario as far as dry blasts go. Almost never happens like that, with hardly any lowland snow anywhere. 2 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Drastic changes on the EPS. Really something to see the EPS change so much with something so close. This may end up being big league. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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