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February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion


BLI snowman

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Just now, Timmy said:

Never

Highly doubt this run verifies...as the details will probably change with every run the next few days...but for sake of the situation the snow ratios may be higher than 10-1 given the temperatures most of the snow falls at. So kuchera actually would make sense in this situation. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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1 minute ago, Requiem said:

Unfortunately hour two hundred and whatever is a mess.

 

#timposting 

 

 

4A3F082F-0144-4314-9018-4EC72E41E26A.png

Actually would be a pretty good pattern for preserving our snowcover and low level cold there Tim! Light, not too warmish offshore flow with minimal mixing. Probably a 41/31 day at PDX with 6" of sleety snowcover 🥰

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3 minutes ago, Requiem said:

Unfortunately hour two hundred and whatever is a mess.

 

#timposting 

 

 

4A3F082F-0144-4314-9018-4EC72E41E26A.png

He will remind us all that no matter what this snow WILL all melt eventually. So we shouldn’t even enjoy it. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Actually would be a pretty good pattern for preserving our snowcover and low level cold there Tim! Light, not too warmish offshore flow with minimal mixing. Probably a 41/31 day at PDX with 6" of sleety snowcover 🥰

Cue 850 map with very warm temps or something 

  • Sun 1

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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1 minute ago, JBolin said:

Not if we make huge piles of it and push it to the corner of our driveways

I had some snow piles last until late March after February 2019! 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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I hope Tim gets absolutely BURIED in snow and has to have Amazon deliver his groceries with drones. 

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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My fruit flies got wind of the possibilities.  They are preparing for what might be coming.  Some are carrying signs, "The end is near".  It's a solemn crowd.  They've had a good run this winter.  They know they've lasted much longer than most winters.  Long live Drosophila melanogaster. 

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2 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

Yeah, there definitely was actually. That was a pretty crazy AK block. Barrow hit 32 on the 23rd! Just led to more of a bleed in from the PV in Central Canada that eventually migrated eastward and spread out longitudinally.

12221983.PNG.5450d6d8ea17607598f8dd493774a8cc.PNG

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ncepreanal/data/1983/12/reanal_1983122400.gif

12241983.PNG.1597efd698bac974c1df5acb34f46d9a.PNG

Yeah, pretty significant differences there to the current/upcoming pattern.

But this one does look like it could be legendary for parts of the country.

A forum for the end of the world.

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So this thing is starting to look like 2019 after all. Models all over the place and pessimism abounding, and then things take a major turn within a week. 

Just hope we don't jinx it...

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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850's drop to -12 for Seattle the 18z GFS Ensemble mean at day 6.

12z dropped to -8 but interestingly the 6z also dropped to -11.

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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4 minutes ago, Prairiedog said:

My fruit flies got wind of the possibilities.  They are preparing for what might be coming.  Some are carrying signs, "The end is near".  It's a solemn crowd.  They've had a good run this winter.  They know they've lasted much longer than most winters.  Long live Drosophila melanogaster. 

Dangit, those fruit flies LOVE to gossip, too. It's gonna be all over the Fruit Flies Message boards and they're gonna screw this up for us. 

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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51/44 today...warmest day since mid January. If these models keep in the direction they’re heading could be the warmest day for awhile too. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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In the nearer term, the 18z also looked significantly better for CZ snow Sunday night into Monday morning for Snohomish, Skagit, and Whatcom Counties.

 

sn10_acc.us_nw (13).png

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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Guys and gals, I'M SO READY.

Getting amped by listening to There, There by Radiohead and losing it in that beautiful climax.

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

PNW TURNS INTO THE ARTIC. SEATTLE BECOMES A TUNDRA. PORTLAND BECOMES ALASKA AND THE CANADIANS GET SKUNKED. ALL IS RIGHT IN THE WORLD. 

Canadians get skunded.png

Too cold to snow! 

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Just now, JBolin said:

STFU

Sell the farm, Ulysses?

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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