Winterdog Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 I’m very happy with tonight’s models. All I need is a nice arctic frontal passage and a little snow for two or three days. Considering how this winter has gone that will be enough for me 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 My weather apps are onboard! 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 00Z EPS at day 6... 5 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Davis app comes thru again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 EPS control configuration a bit better 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Undercutting is obviously happening just 12 hours later on the 00Z EPS... day 6.5 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 35 minutes ago, wxmet said: Great trend with the late week system. I don't think the north shifts are done. Ah yes, we are now at that point where the northern and southern posters can turn on each other as they try to will the low into their ideal landfall locations. I'm glad we're even in the position to be talking about these details in this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: There's still the EPS tonight... And then the GFS 06z and then the 12z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 00Z EPS... day 7. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 49 minutes ago, MossMan said: It was hard to visit the abandoned course...9 back breaking (the root of all of my back and neck issues) years but was always so rewarding to have the course as nice as could be. 2005 and 2019 same view standing on 7 green looking back at the fairway. I played there but don't remember too much of it....it was for a scramble tournament, and a friend drove. After helping to host tournaments for 9 years, it was the first time I was at a tournament were I had no responsibilities. While its probably the most sh**faced I have gotten at a tournament, I do remember I enjoyed the course and actually played well for all but 2 or 3 holes. I got a little *too* sh**faced at one point, but we were luckily by the clubhouse so I was able to snag some food. Good times. 1 Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Very encouraged by what we’ve been seeing today on the models. Best not to focus on the details after the initial cold blast at this point as those details will change drastically run to run. What does matter is in the short term there’s lots less volatility regarding the first shot of cold air arriving. Models really seem to be locking in on that...odds are rapidly increasing for a decent blast. The details afterwards will work themselves out...but getting the cold air here in the first place is the key to getting snow in the first place. We will see how the models handle this...wether we moderate more quickly with a big overrunning event or an extended cold snap. Either option sounds pretty good. Either way looks like it’s about to get cold...IF it verifies this winter could go from dud to great in a hurry. 3 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: I played there but don't remember too much of it....it was for a scramble tournament, and a friend drove. After helping to host tournaments for 9 years, it was the first time I was at a tournament were I had no responsibilities. While its probably the most sh**faced I have gotten at a tournament, I do remember I enjoyed the course and actually played well for all but 2 or 3 holes. I got a little *too* sh**faced at one point, but we were luckily by the clubhouse so I was able to snag some food. Good times. What year was that? Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 00Z EPS... day 8 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z EPS at day 6... Hm pretty different than the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z EPS... day 8 Dam, I'll take that. EPS looking better than the OP overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 I’m catching some January 2012 vibes for some reason. 3 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 EPS looks good, I think? Anyways for the more informed folks on here— was December 1996 one of those undercutting situations? 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 If the undercutting happens, I hope somebody gets nailed. I just want cold, dry, windy, and sunny weather. I couldn't care less about snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 17 minutes ago, Deweydog said: We should start censoring content. for "DiSinfOrMAtiON!!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Snowdrift said: If the undercutting happens, I hope somebody gets nailed. I just want cold, dry, windy, and sunny weather. I couldn't care less about snowfall. Me too haha 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, Requiem said: EPS looks good, I think? Anyways for the more informed folks on here— was December 1996 one of those undercutting situations? The Euro scenario is a pretty similar setup. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Glad to see positive steps. Every time I step away from the forum, a good run happens. Might be a correlation! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, Requiem said: EPS looks good, I think? Anyways for the more informed folks on here— was December 1996 one of those undercutting situations? Yes one of the largest the puget sound has had. There was 3-4feet in some areas of the kitsap peninsula and then it rained for 2 days over all that snow. The marina in port orchard sank from the snow load. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: The Euro scenario is a pretty similar setup. Hopefully it will be several day's before the snow let's up. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 13 minutes ago, MossMan said: What year was that? I think 2017? 1 Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Euro colder and snowier for Bellingham, GFS has us getting down to 5 on Thursday. 1 Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 When the Euro is outdoing the GFS when it comes to cold, you know its going to get real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 17 minutes ago, Requiem said: Me too haha What Andrew said - let the cold marinate for a bit, then bring in the snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Andrew could give you some pointers on the 4-seamer. He has good movement on his. 2 seamer for movement, 4 seamer for speed and pinpoint control. I was also a pitcher 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 19 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: 2 seamer for movement, 4 seamer for speed and pinpoint control. I was also a pitcher What else was in your arsenal? Changeup? Slider? Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Total snow ❄ per 00z EPS for those still up. 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: Total snow ❄ per 00z EPS for those still up. Amazing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 13 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Total snow ❄ per 00z EPS for those still up. Great run! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said: I just experienced the craziest day of my life. Normal, routine doctor's visit quickly spiraled into a seven hour stay in the ER for a MRI scan to check for malignant tumors or multiple sclerosis. Thankfully nothing was detected and my eye problem was resolved with a steroid prescription. Also the models look fantastic. And I'm sore from all the catheters and laying in one position for a quarter of a day. I need sleep. Wow, was catching up on the Euro run then saw this post that certainly shook me a little. Crazy stuff but certainly glad everything seems OK for you. Rest well for next day or so and get back to model riding with us as soon as you can. Take care! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 NAM looking good 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 NAM even more extreme and seems to be leading the way. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 A pic from 390' up with my drone 4 years ago today! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 This would be amazing. If only the NAM weren't so bad at modeling terrain influence! 4 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Ridge a jump west on the 06z. Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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