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February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion


BLI snowman

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12 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

I just experienced the craziest day of my life. Normal, routine doctor's visit quickly spiraled into a seven hour stay in the ER for a MRI scan to check for malignant tumors or multiple sclerosis. Thankfully nothing was detected and my eye problem was resolved with a steroid prescription. Also the models look fantastic. And I'm sore from all the catheters and laying in one position for a quarter of a day. I need sleep.

Praying for ya man glad everything is okay

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3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Up to .40” on the day. This has sure been an ugly stretch of weather. 

Absolutely hideous here... can't wait for something different.   This pattern is the worst for both of our areas.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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26 minutes ago, AbbyJr said:

Is the pattern now starting to evolve the way you originally expected?

I couldn’t possibly predict this precisely at-range. I only highlighted windows of potential, and even there, my timing was off by a week or two.

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Euro is relentlessly frigid for here. All the new COVID transplants are in for a rude awakening!

714903750_ScreenShot2021-02-06at8_44_13PM.thumb.png.040a2d44bc25e3ec4dd5da0e971cbb67.png

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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Currently cloudy and 40. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 minutes ago, wxmet said:

Snow falling with temperatures in the 20s would be a fun event. Still lots more Euro runs to get through between now and then.

It would be a great event for your area. Cold is coming, but the situation remains rather fluid. Things can change right up until the last moment. 

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31 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

And cue the Jaws music for Phil!

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-3260800.png

I want nothing to do with that suppressive TPV in a Niña year. Y’all can have it.

Tracking two potential winter storms already (one of which starts tonight). Would be nothing but cold/dry if that monster airmass were pressing in here (given the lack of a STJ).

If it were an El Niño year, that’d be another story.

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2 minutes ago, Snowdrift said:

January: Montana isn't too bad. It's much more temperate than I anticipated.

February: Reality Check

Yeah and even December ran way above average as well. Reality and then some is about to set in now!

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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31 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This has the potential to be one of the greatest blasts of the 21st Century nationally. Have we even had a coast to coast blast this Century?!

I think 2000 came close? There were a few coast to coast shots in 2016/17 too.

Also Oct/Dec 2009 are debatable, I think?

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1 minute ago, Phil said:

I think 2000 came close? There were a few coast to coast shots in 2016/17 too.

Also Oct/Dec 2009 are debatable, I think?

October doesn’t count. We got cold out in Oklahoma at the end of December 2009, but I thought the big cold in the west was earlier. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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We were 23/13 with 5” of snow on this date 7 years ago. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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36 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Up to .40” on the day. This has sure been an ugly stretch of weather. 

Very ugly.  currently 42 and raining lightly, .51" for the day, 3.70" for February, 11.04" for the year.  I hope we have a flash freeze because I have several small lakes on the property.

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Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

October doesn’t count. We got cold out in Oklahoma at the end of December 2009, but I thought the big cold in the west was earlier. 

Could be. I don’t remember exactly how Dec 2009 evolved, other than the fact it was the deepest -AO ever recorded (I think).

I think 2000/01 and 2016/17 are the closest examples unless I’m missing something (which is certainly possible). Seems to be a La Niña thing either way.   

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