February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion

[snow drift]

16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

October doesn’t count. We got cold out in Oklahoma at the end of December 2009, but I thought the big cold in the west was earlier. 

In 2009 we got cold in early to mid December. We had a nice little arctic front with some good wind.

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, Snowdrift said:

2014 was a good little regional event.

I had massive accumulations on the 7th!!! It was epic! 

[snow drift]

19 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

 

 

You can't beat sunshine in February.

[snow drift]

Just now, MossMan said:

I had massive accumulations on the 7th!!! It was epic! 

What did you use to dig out? A teaspoon?

[Phil]

NOAA just had to sneak in a little orange over South FL. 

 

[bainbridgekid]

High-res WRF still showing a little CZ snow for the North sound tomorrow night/Monday morning. Hints at some action around North Seattle too.

[Phil]

Wasn’t long ago Justin was bemoaning the lack of cold on our side of the globe.

Welp..

[snow_wizard]

The mean snowfall on the EPS is over 4 inches for SEA now.  The control is about the same.  Interestingly the latter part of the run shows a solid -PNA pattern after a brief period of near zero PNA values.  Might be quite the February / March combo this go round.

[jakerepp]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

NOAA just had to sneak in a little orange over South FL. 

 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

9 minutes ago, Snowdrift said:

In 2009 we got cold in early to mid December. We had a nice little arctic front with some good wind.

That's what I thought. That was a fantastic winter out in Oklahoma. At the time it was the 2nd snowiest winter on record at Tulsa. Major snow events in December, January, and March. Also a 16/-3 day at Bartlesville in early January where I was living. 

[TacomaWaWx]

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

NOAA just had to sneak in a little orange over South FL. 

 

Wow ive never seen a map like that. 

[snow_wizard]

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

NOAA just had to sneak in a little orange over South FL. 

 

Has a January 1963 look to it for sure.

[MWG]

1 hour ago, Kolk1604 said:

Can you post Medford? 

[snow_wizard]

24 minutes ago, mtep said:

Thanks!

I think the people in that unwanted homeless camp in Bellingham are going to have something to think about soon.  Can't imagine being out in that biting Fraser wind for long.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I think the people in that unwanted homeless camp in Bellingham are going to have something to think about soon.  Can't imagine being out in that biting Fraser wind for long.

As long as they have meth they will be fine. 

[snow_wizard]

25 minutes ago, Snowdrift said:

It's been torch city here, too. It will get colder here next week, but the real cold stays east of us. Pretty normal stuff.

 

It's going to get REALLY cold there.

[snow drift]

15 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That's what I thought. That was a fantastic winter out in Oklahoma. At the time it was the 2nd snowiest winter on record at Tulsa. Major snow events in December, January, and March. Also a 16/-3 day at Bartlesville in early January where I was living. 

Quite a few places got nailed with heavy snow during that winter. Too splitty for Spokane to do well. We had two of the three snowiest winters on record in 2007-08 and 2008-09. 2009-10 ended up being one of the least snowiest winters on record.

[snow_wizard]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

As long as they have meth they will be fine. 

I just can't imagine being in 50mph winds when it's below 20 in a tent.  Might be enough to get them to leave.  The city has given them orders to leave, but in typical leftist fashion they are just ignoring the order.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I just can't imagine being in 50mph winds when it's below 20 in a tent.  Might be enough to get them to leave.  The city has given them orders to leave, but in typical leftist fashion they are just ignoring the order.

We probably shouldn't go to far down the road on this topic, but yeah, tough stuff. I saw a lot of homeless folks when I was in Denver last January. So they adapt. 

[AlTahoe]

53 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Euro is relentlessly frigid for here. All the new COVID transplants are in for a rude awakening!

I feel like anyone outside of Fairbanks would be in for a rude awakening. Lol 

Those temps are insane. 

[snow drift]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It's going to get REALLY cold there.

It will be cold, but I experienced 1989 and 1996. 1989 will never be touched in my lifetime. 1996 saw an all time monthly record low set at -24F.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

I feel like anyone outside of Fairbanks would be in for a rude awakening. Lol 

Those temps are insane. 

Our marketing folks are out in Minnesota, they didn't seem to concerned about the upcoming cold snap. 

[Jbolin]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Our marketing folks are out in Minnesota, they didn't seem to concerned about the upcoming cold snap. 

Oh, you betcha'

[Omegaraptor]

8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I just can't imagine being in 50mph winds when it's below 20 in a tent.  Might be enough to get them to leave.  The city has given them orders to leave, but in typical leftist fashion they are just ignoring the order.

The radical left wants to take away your cold airmasses

[bainbridgekid]

Pretty strong CZ signal on the 3km NAM. Paints a thin stripe of 2-4" of snow in North Snohomish and South Skagit County. Precip map gives the center of that zone over 0.5" of liquid equivalent so it's definitely a healthy one.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said:

Pretty strong CZ signal on the 3km NAM. Paints a thin stripe of 2-4" of snow in North Snohomish and South Skagit County. Precip map gives the center of that zone over 0.5" of liquid equivalent so it's definitely a healthy one.

 

That shows snow here even. Haven’t seen that on any other model in that timeframe. 

[OysterPrintout]

13 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I just can't imagine being in 50mph winds when it's below 20 in a tent.  Might be enough to get them to leave.  The city has given them orders to leave, but in typical leftist fashion they are just ignoring the order.

good god get a hold of yourself man 

[Skagit Weather]

2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Pretty strong CZ signal on the 3km NAM. Paints a thin stripe of 2-4" of snow in North Snohomish and South Skagit County. Precip map gives the center of that zone over 0.5" of liquid equivalent so it's definitely a healthy one.

 

That convergence zone has been shown on almost every model for the last couple of days to a varying extent. It looks to me that temperatures will be pretty marginal (especially out near the water) and what falls would need a little help to survive the next warmish days, but I would be surprised if Randy doesn't end up getting a couple inches.

[snow drift]

15 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

As long as they have meth they will be fine. 

A lot of them are like that. As long as they have their drugs or alcohol, they are happy. 

[MossMan]

6 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Pretty strong CZ signal on the 3km NAM. Paints a thin stripe of 2-4" of snow in North Snohomish and South Skagit County. Precip map gives the center of that zone over 0.5" of liquid equivalent so it's definitely a healthy one.

 

I’m okay with that map! 

[Requiem]

I didn’t know cold was political!

ahem anyways, I gotta look into early February 1996, certainly was quite the back door blast.

[Prairiedog]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

In case anyone was wondering. The latest it has been 15 or lower at PDX (For a low) was 2-6-1989. The downtown station which has data from before 1938 is a much different story. 

12f on Jan 13 '17.  14f Dec 8 '13 PDX when I had 8f out my way.  Check me if I'm wrong. 

[snow_wizard]

Interestingly one of the top analogs to the pattern coming up is early Feb 1971.  The strange things is the really big deal that winter came a few weeks later.  Shows this might be a long lasting overall cold pattern.

[FroYoBro]

Wow, Jim is actually making me root for warmer runs. C’MON! 

[snow_wizard]

13 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

good god get a hold of yourself man 

It's so easy to get a rise out of people on here.

[Fircrest]

9 minutes ago, Requiem said:

I didn’t know cold was political!

ahem anyways, I gotta look into early February 1996, certainly was quite the back door blast.

Oh it is. Just bring up climate change/global warming or whatever it's called these days.

[SnarkyGoblin]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It's so easy to get a rise out of people on here.

Who knew saying crazy sh*t would make people react?

[MossMan]

Looks like the Winthrop cam has reverted to late January 1970 according to the date stamp. Looks warm there today (or on January 26th, 1970)

[OysterPrintout]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

It's so easy to get a rise out of people on here.

as much as you probably like to think you're triggering people it's more just a general feeling of disgust and disappointment that a fellow human would think that way. Now if we get an good snowstorm just for your dumb posts I'm gonna bring some extra hand warmers I have laying around to the shelter a few blocks from me. Probably have a few hats I don't use in the closet too.

[snow drift]

12 minutes ago, Requiem said:

I didn’t know cold was political!

ahem anyways, I gotta look into early February 1996, certainly was quite the back door blast.

Gem of the whole winter