Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 5 minutes ago, Acer said: I’d be more than satisfied with that outcome but it would sure be easier to buy into if the trend wasn’t moving in the wrong direction. Looks like it's moving back south with the 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 19 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Nope, winter cancelled for anyone south of Northern Snohomish County. Fixed it for you! 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, MV_snow said: So why do the WA posters hate the 18z euro? I understand why OR posters do, but it still gives Seattle at least a half foot. You can't just look at what the run shows in terms of snow, the trends of not digging the trough far enough south and less cold making it into the low lands is dangerous. Sooner or later it will result in the southern stream taking over. 00z Euro last night looked great for PDX but myself and other posters were concerned with some of the trends and based on today's runs, it seems quite justified. We need to see the euro backpedal and dig that energy further south or this will quickly become a BC and Whatcom County special with 45-50 degree rain for everyone else. I'm not deliberately trying to be negative or troll. Of course things could still workout, its just that I've seen this before and it usually doesn't go our way when the models trend this way. Hoping the GFS or the GEM/ICON camp are right. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MV_snow Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Any further north trend and the south Sound starts getting screwed as well. True, but a Euro GFS compromise is a nice solution for the Sound right now. I think we’re in good shape. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Average now down to just a little over 4". The trend is not our friend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, Kolk1604 said: Looks like it's moving back south with the 18z Yeah it looks that way but you know how the Euro rules the roost. If it ain’t showing on the Euro it’s less likely to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, Acer said: Yeah it looks that way but you know how the Euro rules the roost. If it ain’t showing on the Euro it’s less likely to happen Yeah I know. It's like God or something. I did mean the 18z EPS with the cluster of lows to the south Anyway hoping for a blend with the GFS and the UKMET (2nd best model right?) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 7 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 00z 3km NAM through tomorrow morning... Very borderline for a WWA. Dot of blue over my house! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 NAM 00z appears to be faster with the trough coming down than 12z but is slightly slower than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Fills in a little more by Tuesday AM... If only models could actually down details like that. My house is in the middle of that 6" spot. 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 29 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: If you really want to see something funny pick the 4 or 5 day period on the ecmwf and scroll back 4 runs. After that ask yourself if 1 run is a trend. This. 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 31 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Looks like the 18z moved the low back south. I know the EPS has a cluster of them to the south. I wonder where the 00z ends up. If it stays cold... Who is WoodinvilleWX? Is that Andy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, DJ Droppin said: Who is WoodinvilleWX? Is that Andy? I miss that guy does he have a fb group? Andy in woodinville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, DJ Droppin said: Who is WoodinvilleWX? Is that Andy? Can't be. He doesn't write anything like that. 2 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 25 minutes ago, Acer said: I’d be more than satisfied with that outcome but it would sure be easier to buy into if the trend wasn’t moving in the wrong direction. For KBLI: 90% chance of over 1" 86% chance of over 2" 64% chance of over 4" 46% chance of over 6" Not bad… though that is over a week, so those numbers are not so impressive as they might at first seem. 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, bainbridgekid said: Can't be. He doesn't write anything like that. True. Hmmm... We better hope the GFS doesn't 'blink' tonight... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 35 minutes ago, MV_snow said: So why do the WA posters hate the 18z euro? I understand why OR posters do, but it still gives Seattle at least a half foot. Agree with Omegaraptor but personally would love to see us all get obliterated! Sucks when just a few get in on the fun 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 TB with a clinic......... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Doesn’t look like the nam is going favorable 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christensen87 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Does anyone remember December 2008? Crazy east wind storm with blizzard conditions in Enumclaw. I remember, I came home from CWU to visit my parents and it was insane. This looks like it could be another event...I’m excited. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 8, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 00z NAM is slightly warmer and north of the 18z. Non event now south of Lewis County on there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 9 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Who is WoodinvilleWX? Is that Andy? It would be a shock, I heard he moved out of state several years back. You're talking about AndyInWoodinville with his daily aft/eve posts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Timmy said: Doesn’t look like the nam is going favorable North of the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Good thing the nam is trash outside 48 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, wxmet said: Boy, that's s*** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Low position looks like the ECMWF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew M Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, Christensen87 said: Does anyone remember December 2008? Crazy east wind storm with blizzard conditions in Enumclaw. I remember, I came home from CWU to visit my parents and it was insane. This looks like it could be another event...I’m excited. I was at CWU with you during that time! 2006-2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, wxmet said: Ugh. I want this a region wide event 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawksfan2008 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Okay Washington folks, we need some positivity. I feel for the peeps south but we have a legit EVENT coming up. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Well a western Washington snowstorm only is looking more likely, at this point I'm worried it will go north even more and give us all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 That shower over me is falling as very wet snow. 37 degrees. 5 2 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Well... my team lost...... and now I'm preparing for the Super Stall of arctic air tonight. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: Well a western Washington snowstorm only is looking more likely, at this point I'm worried it will go north even more and give us all rain. According to Matt nobody south of the border will see anything. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Well... my team lost...... and now I'm preparing for the Super Stall of arctic air tonight. Tomorrow all the models will be back on board for all 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Well... my team lost...... and now I'm preparing for the Super Stall of arctic air tonight. You mean the Chiefs? I see the Blazers were postponed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 I would have much rather my team lost than to lose the models.... Ah well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Truly shows just how many things have to line up perfectly to get lowland Arctic cold and snow. Even if everything else goes right, all it takes is the low too far north and everything goes to shitt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: According to Matt nobody south of the border will see anything. I do think there could be a quick transition somewhere, but yeah, anything “prolonged” I suspect will be confined to immediate outflow areas up north. 1 2 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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