GobBluth Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 GFS puts low into Coos Bay? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 We have exactly 7 frozen snow flakes on the hood of our truck, Score! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Day 3.5 (Past 4 runs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Looks like Portland Nws is already noticing this will be a non event. Hopefully at least Puget Sound area gets some flakes. Probably a February 2017 situation where a lot of it falls as wet 33 degree rain snow mix. I think it's early to make a huge call like that. I'd still be saying things like "we're continuing to watch snow chances as it unfolds" on AFDs if I were them. Of course while not alarming the public. 2 Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gummy Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Don't like how this run is going so far . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Brutal Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Timmy_Supercell said: I think it's early to make a huge call like that. I'd still be saying things like "we're continuing to watch snow chances as it unfolds" on AFDs if I were them. Of course while not alarming the public. Andrew is making the call, not them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Day 4 850s No real change. Big backdoor blast -19c Gorge 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 cold air is going to flood back into the west side on back end of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 GFS actually sends the low a little too far south. Too little snowcover to drastically drop PDX area temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just like in 2019 we will need to be in the 48hr period to know anything. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 So how long before washington loses out too? Because boy is it starting to get a little borderline... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Low is way south. Comes in around Oregon Cali border. Good trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, High Desert Mat? said: Low is way south. Comes in around Oregon Cali border. Good trend. Not sure it is a good trend, it’s not really colder initially either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Day 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Goes to Cape Blanco, stays there for a day, then weakens and landfalls into Eureka. Weird. Only an inch or two of snow here but we get blasted still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 At least Ethereum is pumping. Might as well make money if we're not going to be trapped in 3 feet of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Well at least GFS temp output will be more realistic. 24 hour snow with first system. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Well at least GFS temp output will be more realistic. 24 hour snow with first system. Timmy Supercell gets hosed! Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, Brennan said: At least Ethereum is pumping. Might as well make money if we're not going to be trapped in 3 feet of snow. You'd like being trapped in the snow!! 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 12 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: I think it's early to make a huge call like that. I'd still be saying things like "we're continuing to watch snow chances as it unfolds" on AFDs if I were them. Of course while not alarming the public. That's why I like Medford NWS discussions like this one for Saturday event. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 A little bit warmer (especially compared to earlier) and a whole lot drier! My favorite type of run! Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 This run was pretty boring. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Some quick overrunning next Monday. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 It looks like the ridge eventually drags over us with rising heights and slowly moderating. Boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post TT-SEA Posted February 8, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 19 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 At least we aren’t seeing massive undercutting with 50 degree rain this weekend for areas south of Olympia. Thats what I was half expecting to see this morning judging by the trends yesterday. Looks like cold air and suppressed jet is still very much in play on this run. I’d take that any day over lows gradually trending up to Juneau. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 39 minutes ago, MossMan said: Currently very light snow and 32. Just enough to cover the roof. DP 32. Looks similar here, just a trade of dry snow covering the roofs and some other surfaces. Currently 34F with a 27F dewpoint and surprisingly still completely windless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 I truly feel bad for any professional trying to make a local forecast this week. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Timmy said: I truly feel bad for any professional trying to make a local forecast this week. They're going to get lambasted by anyone that thinks looking at their phone app twice a week counts as looking at the forecast. Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 12z GEFS well a touch colder The Dalles -19.0c mean temp 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: Looks similar here, just a trade of dry snow covering the roofs and some other surfaces. Currently 34F with a 27F dewpoint and surprisingly still completely windless. What are you thinking for this week coming up here in Victoria? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 So really no snow until next Monday now? Yikes! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: 12z GEFS well a touch colder The Dalles -19.0c mean temp Great to see things stay cold/trend colder. This is the stage where I am fine with moderation/pacific moisture staying away in the mid range. It’s not like it would take all that much of a tweak for some to get up here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, jakerepp said: They're going to get lambasted by anyone that thinks looking at their phone app twice a week counts as looking at the forecast. Honestly I think that most of the apps have been doing okay. Everything I've seen here over the past couple days has suggested cold with a chance of snow at points throughout the week. Probably the best forecast that can be made so far and the closest to reality unless some major snowstorms/rainstorms show up on future runs. Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 12z GEM Day 4.5 850s turning colder likely enough for immediate PDX metro to remain below freezing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, Esquimalt said: What are you thinking for this week coming up here in Victoria? I still feel the odds are in a favor for a decent end of week snowfall. This pattern isn't conductive to suppressing all approaching systems and is highly unstable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Wishcasters will note the GEM turns snowy with the snow line slowly working south down the valley. 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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