MWG Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, MWG said: Lol it's ok! I wasn't expecting anything different! Thank you for posting though! Wanted to add that it's always a surprise in this valley with it's own microclimate though so anything can happen. aka January 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Austin Wright said: I’ll start by admitting I only pay attention to this forum during the lead up to major snow events. I was here during February 2019, but made a new account... thank you all for reminding me what an emotional roller coaster model watching can be! you and me both brotha... made an account this time 2 years ago leading up to the epic feb 2019 snowstorm 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: My wife and I have a friend who is probably going to move there. He can't stand the liberalism that has set in here. Gorgeous! I heard Alabama is nice if you are basing a state off politics. Everything else about Alabama isn't tho 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: I heard Alabama is nice if you are basing a state off politics. Everything else about Alabama isn't tho Have you been? It’s actually not bad, mobile is pretty amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: I heard Alabama is nice if you are basing a state off politics. Everything else about Alabama isn't tho Very low cousin divorce rates. 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, runninthruda206 said: you and me both brotha... made an account this time 2 years ago leading up to the epic feb 2019 snowstorm I made my account a year and 4 days ago. I was following along for at least a month or two before joining. Took about 6 months for anyone to discover me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Moving because of politics is pretty dumb unless you own a business or are a multi-millionaire. Then I can see legitimate tax/regulatory reasons to do so. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 End of the 00z EPS. Taking bets now lol 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Pretty insane to see the EPS showing widespread pepto for snow totals! 6 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: I heard Alabama is nice if you are basing a state off politics. Everything else about Alabama isn't tho There’s a pretty big difference between the libertarian, get-the-gov’t-off-my-back conservatism in the rural West and the religious conservatism in the South. But we should probably move this discussion to the politics thread and get back on track. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Timmy Supercell Posted February 8, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 15 minutes ago, Kayla said: Yeah I'm looking forward to it. Could be a while though as Arctic air always wants to hang onto some sort of stratus layer. It's looked like this for 3 days straight now. There are 10,000ft mountains right there in the background but you wouldn't know it! https://nbcmontana.com/weather/cameras I always clear out in arctic air. Scenes like this are common after a nice snow. These from Jan 2017. The exception is when fog forms under the right conditions. Dec 2013 was filled with that. 10 Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, Kolk1604 said: End of the 00z EPS. Taking bets now lol Betting the over!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, Kolk1604 said: End of the 00z EPS. Taking bets now lol I still feel like I'd have to bet against this, because it just looks too perfect. 1 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 35 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Glad that if there’s any models that’s the outlier it’s the gfs. Why is that? The 12Z GFS was way colder than the Euro early in the run. As you can see 850's were -14 at Seattle where I don't think they got below -9 on the Euro. The Euro does show a bit more snow down there but I'd rather have the cold early and worry about the snow later. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: I heard Alabama is nice if you are basing a state off politics. Everything else about Alabama isn't tho I wouldn't like the heat. I love sun and warm weather, but one thing I love about Washington is the variety. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Kayla Posted February 8, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 No one asked for a photo but I'm out here snow blowing for the umpteenth time over the last few days so why not! It's quite gorgeous out. 17 1 Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, jakerepp said: I still feel like I'd have to bet against this, because it just looks too perfect. I feel you. But it is the GOAT after all so you never know! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Nothing is better than an PNW summer except for when the smoke moves in. After allergy season, June and July are pure bliss 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, Acer said: Why is that? The 12Z GFS was way colder than the Euro early in the run. As you can see 850's were -14 at Seattle where I don't think they got below -9. The Euro does show a bit more snow down there but I'd rather have the cold early and worry about the snow later. Wow we agree! There seems to be a persistent mythology here that getting an extremely cold airmass is a dime a dozen and moisture for snow is the hard part. In this region getting cold is the wide majority of the battle. Sneaking last minute moisture in is pretty common and how many of our best snowstorms have popped up just a few days in advance. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: There’s a pretty big difference between the libertarian, get-the-gov’t-off-my-back conservatism in the rural West and the religious conservatism in the South. But we should probably move this discussion to the politics thread and get back on track. No doubt. I lived in Oklahoma for 4 years. Talk about idiot central. 1 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, Jesse said: Wow we agree! There seems to be a persistent mythology here that getting an extremely cold airmass is a dime a dozen and moisture for snow is the hard part. In this region getting cold is the wide majority of the battle. Sneaking last minute moisture in is pretty common and how many of our best snowstorms have popped up just a few days in advance. Well said young man. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, Kayla said: No one asked for a photo but I'm out here snow blowing for the umpteenth time over the last few days so why not! It's quite gorgeous out. No, we want MORE photos! 4 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bueryan Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 After last night's disappointing euro run I told my wife that I would quit wasting time on the forum and buy a farmers almanac, but here I go again... 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 with the N vs S tug-o-war happening w/ the models..i'm thinking oly may be in a good spot, no? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Jesse said: Wow we agree! There seems to be a persistent mythology here that getting an extremely cold airmass is a dime a dozen and moisture for snow is the hard part. In this region getting cold is the wide majority of the battle. Sneaking last minute moisture in is pretty common and how many of our best snowstorms have popped up just a few days in advance. Congrats Jesse. Post of the day material right here. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Nothing is better than an PNW summer except for when the smoke moves in. After allergy season, June and July are pure bliss If not for the Labor Day windstorm last summer was for the most part smokeless. Also a good severe t'storm on August 5th but unfortunately was extremely hard to get a good video of it. My camera would have been soaked had I stepped out with it. 3/4"-1" hail falling for 15 minutes straight. Someone near OIT in north K-Falls recorded 1.5" rainfall in the short duration that storm happened. Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Back to just a plain rain shower here with the February sun also shining through. Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
awright-31 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, fubario said: with the N vs S tug-o-war happening w/ the models..i'm thinking oly may be in a good spot, no? That’s where I am. It’s hard to imagine a scenario where we miss out. Though the 6Z GFS tried to hose us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 It looks much better. The fears of a low into BC have been quelled. The Euro had a nice run. All is right with the world-for now anyway. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, Kayla said: No one asked for a photo but I'm out here snow blowing for the umpteenth time over the last few days so why not! It's quite gorgeous out. No doubt you got way more on the ground than I've seen at once! 2 minutes ago, jakerepp said: No, we want MORE photos! Yes we do! 2 Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Bueryan said: After last night's disappointing euro run I told my wife that I would quit wasting time on the forum and buy a farmers almanac, but here I go again... Might have to quit the wife if you keep hanging out here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Moving because of politics is pretty dumb unless you own a business or are a multi-millionaire. Then I can see legitimate tax/regulatory reasons to do so. It can get to where it effects your personal freedom. I get it. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Congrats Jesse. Post of the day material right here. Thanks buddy. I had to provide some balance for your many contenders for worst post of the decade this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 unfortunately this looks to be a repeat of December 2016 if not worse. That ice storm was probably the worst since ? 1979 in Eugene if not longer. there is still PLENTY of time for model forecast to change. I would add that just because models fall into consensus does not mean the forecast is certain. If I recall correctly the models did fall into consensus for the late February 2019 snowstorm a few days prior, shifting north before trending south. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 9 minutes ago, Acer said: Why is that? The 12Z GFS was way colder than the Euro early in the run. As you can see 850's were -14 at Seattle where I don't think they got below -9 on the Euro. The Euro does show a bit more snow down there but I'd rather have the cold early and worry about the snow later. The good thing about our current situation is every scenario being put forth are good ones. IMO the euro looked better...but I’d gladly take the gfs too. Mainly my preferences speaking. This situation is a balance between being too suppressed or too far north...most of the models at this point have a good balance for there to be a decent amount of cold and snow PDX northwards...with the euro leading the way...which is the scenario I’d prefer. 3 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, fubario said: with the N vs S tug-o-war happening w/ the models..i'm thinking oly may be in a good spot, no? I'd bet yes on that. 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 18z NAM is running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 39 here at noon. Feels like winter! Only going to get colder...lot colder by Wednesday night. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 11 minutes ago, Kayla said: No one asked for a photo but I'm out here snow blowing for the umpteenth time over the last few days so why not! It's quite gorgeous out. Its nice to have a lot of snow, but even better in a gorgeous environment like yours. The house looks amazing too, the kind of house a person would love to sit in and watch it snow outside. Be careful with these pics, or Hallmark will knock on your door asking to film a movie there! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, paulb/eugene said: unfortunately this looks to be a repeat of December 2016 if not worse. That ice storm was probably the worst since ? 1979 in Eugene if not longer. there is still PLENTY of time for model forecast to change. I would add that just because models fall into consensus does not mean the forecast is certain. If I recall correctly the models did fall into consensus for the late February 2019 snowstorm a few days prior, shifting north before trending south. I got a lot of free wood out of that 2016 event. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by Bryant,
11 reactions
Go to this post