MWG Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 14 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Looks like we gotta fight who gets the storm! Let's get it Timmy!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Yea.... this is going to clobber everybody SIKE, this is a good GFS run for people who like frost. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just remember, Jan 10, 2017 was forecast to be tr-4". 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Yea.... this is going to clobber everybody It actually completely evaporates before reaching the Coast. GFS is pretty confused and fairly on its own right now with how dry it is. 3 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 WOW!! It goes completely south and hits San Francisco. Dang Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: How? Doable if the South Valley gets a blanket of snow then clears off and has a calm night while outflow winds and the associated mixing prevent decoupling at PDX. It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Leon, noooooooo! Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 As of now we have no idea about snow for pretty much anyone. It does appears either really cold and dry or cold with snow are the two most likely options by far now. Maybe we can still pull off really cold with snow. 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 What color is Ice Storm Watch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Where is the precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Great run if you like frost. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: Where is the precip Tahoe/Mammoth and off Haida Gwaii Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: It actually completely evaporates before reaching the Coast. GFS is pretty confused and fairly on its own right now with how dry it is. Highly doubt we end up with this much suppression. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Goofus doing goofus things. 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JW8 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Would bet a lot of $$ these recent GFS solutions won't verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: As of now we have no idea about snow for pretty much anyone. It does appears either really cold and dry or cold with snow are the two most likely options by far now. Maybe we can still pull off really cold with snow. I want both at the same time...Like December 2008 style! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: As of now we have no idea about snow for pretty much anyone. It does appears either really cold and dry or cold with snow are the two most likely options by far now. Maybe we can still pull off really cold with snow. The models have been erratic enough that surprises of all sorts cannot be ruled out. It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 15 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: Just remember, Jan 10, 2017 was forecast to be tr-4". And to use an equally poor analog, they probably didn't know the Columbus Day storm was coming even 96 hours out! Food for thought!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 GFS is pretty much on its own, probably too enthusiastic with the cold air. 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 https://www.weather.gov/help-map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: How? Bend will probably have 2 feet on the ground. Been happening once every year lately. Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: Great run if you like frost. That would be an historic regional arctic outbreak for this late in the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, Timmy_Supercell said: Bend will probably have 2 feet on the ground. Been happening once every year lately. I'd be really upset if it was that cold and I got sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Wow, what an incredible run. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Requiem said: GFS is pretty much on its own, probably too enthusiastic with the cold air. Do you read the comments here, take the words, put them in a bag and shake them up to make your posts lately? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Ensemble average below -13 on this run. Brrrr. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, paulb/eugene said: https://www.weather.gov/help-map Says nothing about my weather addiction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, Jesse said: That would be an historic regional arctic outbreak for this late in the season. There are people on this forum who would take 1" of slush that melts in 30 minutes over a historic arctic outbreak. No joke. 4 2 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsktkr Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 My freakin' head is spinning from scrolling through these last few pages of models. I need a nap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, Jesse said: Do you read the comments here, take the words, put them in a bag and shake them up to make your posts lately? I have been mentoring the young Requiem. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 My god goofus.... get your act together. This model is so freaking lost right now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: There are people on this forum who would take 1" of slush that melts in 30 minutes over a historic arctic outbreak. No joke. I haven't had an inch of slush in 700 days...so yes I would 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: There are people on this forum who would take 1" of slush that melts in 30 minutes over a historic arctic outbreak. No joke. Here here! Your best post today so far Andrew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Welp, I hope you like cold rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 FWIW last run was dry at this time too. There about the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Been out working in the pretty sunshine.....haven’t looked at models today! my brain is free from the bondage of maps at the moment! What a wonderful feeling....ahhhhhhhh. 42* with a dp of 28* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: There are people on this forum who would take 1" of slush that melts in 30 minutes over a historic arctic outbreak. No joke. I'd be happy with a few inches and blowing snow. Very rare here. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Looks like the operational bottoms out at -15 and the control is about the same. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 8, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Some snizzly stuff on P-Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 The good thing is if we don't like a run we just have to wait 6 hours and it will be completely different! 1 2 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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