February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion

[bainbridgekid]

12z ICON continues to be North. So much so in fact it brings some rain up almost to Seattle Friday afternoon. Scours everywhere out early and cold air never really pushes South but very snowy around the Sound.

 

[Alex_Snakes]

[Esquimalt]

What did the 6Z eps snow map look like?

[Jesse]

2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

12z ICON continues to be North. So much so in fact it brings some rain up almost to Seattle Friday afternoon. Scours everywhere out early and cold air never really pushes South but very snowy around the Sound.

 

Great trends!!!!!!!!!!!

[Esquimalt]

12z gfs coming in way north. Oh yeah!

[Chewbacca Defense]

14 minutes ago, JBolin said:

Haven't heard a D**n peep about Tim's daffodils so that means it's game on b****s

Winning comment of the week!  

[seattleweatherguy]

2 minutes ago, Esquimalt said:

12z gfs coming in way north. Oh yeah!

Then where is that south trend on tv coming from? Even my area gets snow by thurs

[Gummy]

[TT-SEA]

Wow... GFS just figured it out.  

[ShawniganLake]

2 minutes ago, Esquimalt said:

12z gfs coming in way north. Oh yeah!

A small notch north.  

[Chewbacca Defense]

4 minutes ago, Alex_Snakes said:

It took me a second to figure out the scenario that would have played out to create this.  That is awesome!!

[Esquimalt]

1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said:

A small notch north.  

Yeah looked bigger at first. I’m thinking our big chance here is on Friday night Saturday morning 

[bainbridgekid]

They always go North . . .

This thing could still easily end up so far North that Bellingham is the big winner. 60 hours is a long time.

 

[Jesse]

Should have stuck with throwing in the towel down here on Sunday. Instead let the models d*ck us around and provide more false hope for another 48 hours. That was fun!!

[MossMan]

Two days ago Matt is going to be right! Canadians win! 

[Jesse]

Just now, MossMan said:

Two days ago Matt is going to be right! Canadians win! 

Matt was far from the only poster seeing the writing on the wall with the trends on Sunday.

[Jbolin]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Two days ago Matt is going to be right! Canadians win! 

This snowstorm is gonna be so awesome, seven days ago.

[jakerepp]

Just now, MossMan said:

Two days ago Matt is going to be right! Canadians win! 

I'm hoping it's just the GFS coming around to what literally every other model is seeing and they all just remain the course....

[Jbolin]

Just now, jakerepp said:

I'm hoping it's just the GFS coming around to what literally every other model is seeing and they all just remain the course....

Can't ignore that massive shift north about 400 miles

[ShawniganLake]

5 minutes ago, Esquimalt said:

Yeah looked bigger at first. I’m thinking our big chance here is on Friday night Saturday morning 

Light snow with the first one. Big time over running event to follow

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

This has a Vancouver island landfall all over it. Just looks fake watching the low suddenly steer SE.

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 minute ago, JBolin said:

Can't ignore that massive shift north about 400 miles

Yea u can... u can ignore the gfs entirely

[Esquimalt]

Just now, ShawniganLake said:

Light snow with the first one. Big time over running event to follow

Have you seen the RGEM this morning. Develops a surface low off the top of Vancouver island, showing 10-15 cm over the south island on Thursday evening. Looks like the snow doesn’t stop before the new system comes in

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Temp 26˚F, DP 12˚F.

[Esquimalt]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

This has a Vancouver island landfall all over it. Just looks fake watching the low suddenly steer SE.

Just yesteday you were saying a Salem landfall lol. I think a southern Washington landfall is the most realistsc

[Timmy]

You know when snow starts getting measured in cm, it’s game over for us.

[bainbridgekid]

[jakerepp]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

This has a Vancouver island landfall all over it. Just looks fake watching the low suddenly steer SE.

The second low?

[TT-SEA]

GFS might still be showing snow for the Seattle area on Saturday but the 850mb temps look ugly by that morning.

[wxmet]

Finally the GFS is joining the party

[awright-31]

1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said:

Good grief. I know this is just the GFS, but I’m telling you all, Olympia is about to get absolutely buried. 

[ShawniganLake]

8 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Two days ago Matt is going to be right! Canadians win! 

You’ll do okay

[wxmet]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

GFS might still be showing snow for the Seattle area on Saturday but the 850mb temps look ugly by that morning.

An anomaly map is not the same as the actual readings which maintain themselves below freezing at 850mb.

[Jbolin]

4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Yea u can... u can ignore the gfs entirely

Oook

[snow_wizard]

Incredible 6z ECMWF.  6.7 inches of snow for SEA and the second low hasn't arrived yet.  Better yet it' slightly more suppressed at the end of the run vs the 0z!

[smerfylicious]

I feel kinda bad, as this shifts north the more I score but the worse it gets for Oregonbros. I'm torn, can't we all just win together? Why weather gotta be like this? It's tearing us apart!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

You’ll do okay

Honestly, now. I see all the whining about a northward trend then see a GFS map with Olympia getting 2 feet of snow and YVR getting 6". Yes, Canada is really cleaning up. Absolute disaster for anyone else. /sarc

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, wxmet said:

An anomaly map is not the same as the actual readings which maintain themselves below freezing at 850mb.

Good point... its just hard to imagine a huge snowstorm with those 850mb temps.  I am sure it can happen but it seems so strange.     

Remember when we were discussing 12 degrees in Santa Barbara?   We can't even get the arctic air to cross the Canadian border now.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I'm going to laugh when this celebration turns into a wake as this thing continues trending north and warmer. 

At least we have a nice cold morning right now. I will enjoy the present, and we can always use more rain. 

[bainbridgekid]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I'm going to laugh when this celebration turns into a wake as this thing continues trending north and warmer. 

At least we have a nice cold morning right now. I will enjoy the present, and we can always use more rain. 

I've always felt more concerned about that then about it all staying too far South.