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February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion


BLI snowman

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Honestly just catch up to the EURO, but I don’t like the realization that we’ll likely be getting an ice storm in PDX..

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

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Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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I think the worst part is that it seems unlikely with the low level flow that PDX will just get cold rain— sleet or ice looks likely which sucks 

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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4 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Oh boy... That doesn't look good for NW OR/extreme SW WA.

nam-218-all-nw-instant_ptype-3077200.png

ZR extends pretty far up in to SW WA. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Ice storm time ig

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Going to be interesting to see if the GFS caves. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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36 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

We do get some strait enhancement here. I live pretty close to Duncan. (Duncan is on the east side of the island)  But not as much as places further north where they have the benefits of upsloping on the Island mountain ranges. 

I'm sorry. I meant East.  Strait-effect snow on the west side of the island would be....something 

 

Thanks for the response.

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1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said:

Kuchera comparison between 12z and 18z NAM is even more insane.

I try not to dig on the NAM too much because it needs a friend in this world, but can we really take it seriously when it makes such a huge leap in one run?

2021-02-09 12_33_41-Window.png

YES!

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1 minute ago, antipex said:

Don't see any south wind here...

nam-nest-oregon-wnd10m_stream_mph-3088000.thumb.png.97a557855044e058d45217e81d9b10d1.png

 

That's operating under the assumption it won't continue to hedge 50 miles north of that position, which is the most likely scenario right now. Like I said, it's treading on the precipice of a complete non event. At face value the 18z NAM would be a bit icy and slightly snowy.

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2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Somebody has a case of the January 2020’s...

So much promise for a week. Then a big juicy nothing burger and fries the next two months. 

18.5" fell from 01/09-16.

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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I'm sure the Puget Sound will be fine. Wish I could go up there but life ain't perfect

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said:

Snow subsides by Friday morning for Puget Sound at which point, depending on which ratio you use, 5-10+ inches has fallen from Everett southward and the next storm is about to move in.

nam-218-all-nw-instant_ptype-3152800.png

nam-218-all-washington-total_snow_kuchera-3152800.png

@TT-SEA Becomes the big winner. It always works out for him lol

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