February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion

[Requiem]

Let’s hope Nammy trends a bit better for PDX

[snow_wizard]

The NWS forecast is pretty hard core.  Predicting back to back nights with snow and temps low to mid 20s.  Pretty real sheit!

[SouthHillFrosty]

BUTTON UP YOUR PANTS, , HIDE THE DOG, RUN AWAY FROM YOUR WIFE, CALL YOUR MOM, WE GOT A WINTER STORM COMING BOI'S

[Andrew M]

New update from Fox 12 for Portland

 

 

[Timmy Supercell]

15 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That Monday storm finally gets Timmy Supercell

Models also show some on Sat, but Monday is probably my first real storm.

[Kolk1604]

12 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Dry east wind.  It will cost me some snow, but it will be colder here.

Dude I hate that. Looking at radar it's snowing, but you look outside and it's not. The air is either too dry or that pesky east wind. 

[paulb/eugene]

The gfs parallel trending S too on 18z.  EUG ice 1.25”

[snow_wizard]

We could easily see 15 to 1 ratios with this event.  That could result is some really amazing totals.  If this pans out one might be tempted to think the weather has remembered how to snow here gain.

[paulb/eugene]

[Kolk1604]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

We could easily see 15 to 1 ratios with this event.  That could result is some really amazing totals.  If this pans out one might be tempted to think the weather has remembered how to snow here gain.

Well here's the end of Sunday. Would that put Tacoma at 30 inches? 

[Deweydog]

Salem once again...

F*ck you, Salem!

[SouthHillFrosty]

If Portland get's 30 inches, they can never complain about snow again.

[snow_wizard]

Talk about a lot of pepto maps!  Really pretty.

[TacomaWaWx]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

If Portland get's 30 inches, they can never complain about snow again.

They’re still playing with fire there for sure...not a certainty either way. 

[Shawn344]

24 minutes ago, iFred said:

Ugh, I see this either being epic for us Everett area folks or being a let down. On one hand, as we have seen with a variety of storms, the low trends a touch north, the moisture makes it up the I5 corridor, and we over preform, excluding any CZ action. In addition, we hold onto the cold longer and have a shot of something through Monday.

On the other hand, this system remains suppressed, moisture gets eaten up by outflow. Then with no serious outflow support, we warm up with the rest of the Sound but without much snow as we remained shadowed or too far North for the CZ. I guess karma for 2019 and my "worst weather forum admin weenie takes since Kevin Martin" takes.

Weenie reacts only.

Yeah, I’m expecting to get shafted here in Marysville as always lol. Always too south for the northern events, always too north for the south events

[paulb/eugene]

I just got off a FaceTime call with the Pope. Told him about all the suffering Oregonians have endured.   

[TacomaWaWx]

Just now, paulb/eugene said:

I just got off a FaceTime call with the Pope. Told him about all the suffering Oregonians have endured.   

Definitely feel bad for TWL and dolt watching on the sidelines on this one. Atleast there not being tortured with the ups and downs of being so close to the line like PDX. 

[Front Ranger]

17 minutes ago, Alex_Snakes said:

I have been lurking on this forum since 2008, and I have never seen any maps like the ones we are seeing. 

The only time I can think of that was close, within 4 days, was January 2012. Pretty sure some runs leading up to it painted 30"+ totals for some lowland locations.

[SeanNyberg]

These maps feel like they’re 15 days out, I keep checking and they’re within 5 days. lol. 
It’s insane. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

This will be a watch and see weekend for sure

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

We could easily see 15 to 1 ratios with this event.  That could result is some really amazing totals.  If this pans out one might be tempted to think the weather has remembered how to snow here gain.

Oh, SW. February 2019 wasn't that long ago...

EDIT: Although maybe you meant 2019 and 2021 together would prove that.

[snow drift]

Current dewpoint 5F at Spokane Valley

[RentonHill]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

This will be a watch and see weekend for sure

huh, didnt occur to me to watch stuff happen to see what was happening

[paulb/eugene]

Canadian 18z holding steady if not bit N

[TacomaWaWx]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

This will be a watch and see weekend for sure

I remember how in February 2019 almost every time the nws under forecasted for my location. I’m really excited for Thursday’s storm...not too far off now! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Pretty sure there were some 3K NAM maps in February 2017 that showed 18-24" totals across most of NW Oregon and SW Washington. 

[BLI snowman]

10 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

If Portland get's 30 inches, they can never complain about snow again.

We won't, so we will 

[jakerepp]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

This will be a watch and see weekend for sure

I think the Euro could finalize this thing tonight...maybe.

[Deweydog]

When does the Euro roll out?  I’d like to get a few things done while on this GFS sugar high.

[Perturbed Member]

The kiss of death. 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Portland OR
251 PM PST Tue Feb 9 2021


ORZ006-WAZ039-101400-
/O.NEW.KPQR.WS.A.0002.210211T2000Z-210212T2000Z/
Greater Portland Metro Area-Greater Vancouver Area-
Including the cities of Hillsboro, Portland, Wilsonville,
Oregon City, Gresham, Troutdale, Vancouver, Battle Ground,
Ridgefield, Washougal, Yacolt, and Amboy
251 PM PST Tue Feb 9 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 6
  inches possible. Occasional light freezing rain or sleet is
  possible, mainly to the west and south of Portland Thursday
  afternoon into early evening. Winds could gust as high as 45
  mph, with strongest winds east of Interstate 205 towards the
  Columbia Gorge.

* WHERE...In Washington, Greater Vancouver Area. In Oregon,
  Greater Portland Metro Area.

* WHEN...From Thursday afternoon through Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...Plan on snow-covered roads.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation will decrease later Thursday
  night. Cold temperatures in the 20s with breezy east winds will
  create low wind chills across the region.

[Dave]

7 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Definitely feel bad for TWL and dolt watching on the sidelines on this one. Atleast there not being tortured with the ups and downs of being so close to the line like PDX. 

I'm used to it. I just hope that the paulb ice maps he's been posting bust.

[Kolk1604]

1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

I remember how in February 2019 almost every time the nws under forecasted for my location. I’m really excited for Thursday’s storm...not too far off now! 

I remember olympia got buried. I ended up with 5 inches and an ice storm the next day.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Remnants of the snowman my Nephew built last Wednesday.

[Andrew M]

Winter Storm Watch just issued for Portland area 

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, nwsnow said:

The kiss of death. 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Portland OR
251 PM PST Tue Feb 9 2021


ORZ006-WAZ039-101400-
/O.NEW.KPQR.WS.A.0002.210211T2000Z-210212T2000Z/
Greater Portland Metro Area-Greater Vancouver Area-
Including the cities of Hillsboro, Portland, Wilsonville,
Oregon City, Gresham, Troutdale, Vancouver, Battle Ground,
Ridgefield, Washougal, Yacolt, and Amboy
251 PM PST Tue Feb 9 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 6
  inches possible. Occasional light freezing rain or sleet is
  possible, mainly to the west and south of Portland Thursday
  afternoon into early evening. Winds could gust as high as 45
  mph, with strongest winds east of Interstate 205 towards the
  Columbia Gorge.

* WHERE...In Washington, Greater Vancouver Area. In Oregon,
  Greater Portland Metro Area.

* WHEN...From Thursday afternoon through Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...Plan on snow-covered roads.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation will decrease later Thursday
  night. Cold temperatures in the 20s with breezy east winds will
  create low wind chills across the region.

Thanks a lot, assh*les...

DEFUND!

[BLI snowman]

8 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

The only time I can think of that was close, within 4 days, was January 2012. Pretty sure some runs leading up to it painted 30"+ totals for some lowland locations.

Chehalis-Centralia area did end up close to 20" with that.

[Dave]

WSW for the Southern Valley now for ice. I'm definitely getting that vodka today.

[Cloud]

Just now, Andrew M said:

Winter Storm Watch just issued for Portland area 

It’s over. This is the kiss of death! 

[paulb/eugene]

Lol up to 2 inches snow in Eugene in forecast.  Not going to happen

[Requiem]

Hope the mesoscales bounce back :)