February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion

[TT-SEA]

I also got the error. 

PDX went from 6 inches on the 12Z run through Saturday... to 25 inches on the 00Z run!

[wxmet]

@iFred Someone is probably trying to crash the forum again. MySQL errors.

[Blizzard777]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

The forums are getting overloaded lol

Lol, thought it was my wifi! 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, Esquimalt said:

The second low is too south in this run

You wouldn’t want our tumbleweeds to get moldy, would you?

[TT-SEA]

Just now, nwsnow said:

Can we just lock this in and be done with the whole north vs south thing?

What about Tiger????

[Jesse]

6 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

I’d actually be happy with this run...Much better snow chances down in northern OR if this verifies turning this into a more regional event instead of a WA based event. More fun when more people score. Still looking good south of Seattle this week. 

Yeah, that's why I can't understand people getting so hung up on the initial system going as far north as possible and essentially shunting arctic air out of most of the region before the next one can even arrive. Seems like it would be a case of winning the battle but losing the war. 

[wxmet]

Over 2 feet in both PDX and KSEA with the Kuchera. Let's lock this in.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Just now, hawkstwelve said:

Kuchera goes ape sh*t.

LET'S GO!!!

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Good GOD

Never-mind...Get your plow! 

[BLI snowman]

11 minutes ago, James Jones said:

Thanks. And yeah, I would imagine there are a lot more examples before the airport era when we got cold past early February with much more regularity.

Definitely, even after inversion season ends we can still score some pretty beastly low level airmasses if the ingredients are there. The sun angle doesn't affect that nearly as much as some think it does. 1993 is another example, PDX had a 36/31 with some ZR on March 1, with a lot more ice out near Troutdale. That cold pool was insane, The Dalles had a 24/13 on the 26th of February with minimal upper level support.

[Phil]

2 minutes ago, Cloud said:

@iFredSomeone may be trying to crash the forums again. Just got an SQL error. 

Y’all are overloading the forum that’s what’s going on. Can’t even keep up with this thread anymore.

[Kolk1604]

1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said:

Kuchera goes ape sh*t.

Same with temps 

[Meatyorologist]

 

If I listed the things I'd do for this to pan out, the FBI would be at my doorstep in ten minutes.

[Kolk1604]

Just now, Phil said:

Y’all are overloading the forum that’s what’s going on. Can’t even keep up with this thread anymore.

HYPE!!!

[Phil]

1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said:

Kuchera goes ape sh*t. Over 2 feet for both Portland and Seattle.

Wtf

[Cloud]

Over 2' of snow for Seattle and Portland!

[Perturbed Member]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

What about Tiger????

We can all chip in to give him transportation and lodging somewhere in PDX or SEA for the duration of the event. Might be easier than waiting for 1-2FT of snow from EUG to BLI.

[TacomaWaWx]

1 minute ago, Jesse said:

Yeah, that's why I can't understand people getting so hung up on the initial system going as far north as possible and essentially shunting arctic air out of most of the region before the next one can even arrive. Seems like it would be a case of winning the battle but losing the war. 

Would be a longer lasting cold most likely if this models trends this way. Pretty epic gfs run. 

[MV_snow]

Love that everyone gets in on the action. Hope the Saturday system doesn’t become too suppressed like the Thursday system.

[wxmet]

The GFS run broke the forum 

[OysterPrintout]

Fred is it a ddos or just forum members haha

[Kolk1604]

What comes after a winter storm waring? Might need it for this 

[Jesse]

2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Definitely, we can still score some pretty beastly low level airmasses if the ingredients are there. The sun angle doesn't affect that nearly as much as some think it does. 1993 is another example, PDX had a 36/31 with some ZR on March 1, with a lot more ice out near Troutdale. That cold pool was insane, The Dalles had a 24/13 on the 26th of February with minimal upper level support.

Even the early March 2019 period put up some insane numbers, especially east of the Cascades in the basin. Really showed me how overstated the sun angle schtick can be when we are dealing with actual cold airmasses.

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Y’all are overloading the forum that’s what’s going on. Can’t even keep up with this thread anymore.

Nonsense! Unless @iFred bought new servers it should be able to handle it. Back in 2019 we had thousands of people on at once and it was fine. The old forums format.

[Bryant]

Enjoy the snow everyone. Still no love for Whatcom County 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

Same with temps 

No way is Tacoma gonna be 14˚F and Abbotsford 22˚F.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, Bryant said:

Enjoy the snow everyone. Still no love for Whatcom County 

Embrace the dry. It is our destiny.

[Kolk1604]

1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

No way is Tacoma gonna be 14˚F and Abbotsford 22˚F.

It's gotta be snow cover. 

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

No way is Tacoma gonna be 14˚F and Abbotsford 22˚F.

Without snow cover, along with the sound being under east winds, it is certainly possible. But you are likely right that the difference wouldn't be nearly this extreme, if there were a deficit at all.

[Cloud]

This run is hilarious. 

[bainbridgekid]

This is . . . Acceptable.

 

[plainguy]

No thank you GFS.

2" freezing rain!! I can hear the spruce limbs popping now

[wxmet]

Even more snow coming in on Monday lol

[OysterPrintout]

what do we want? the GFS when do we want it NOW

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

It's gotta be snow cover. 

That's colder than Yakima, and it's not forecast to be a clear, still night.

[TacomaWaWx]

Interested to see how the euro handles this tonight. 

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said:

This is . . . Acceptable.

 

I'm pretty sure the forum would collectively collapse into a black hole if this were to happen...

[Cloud]

3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

No way is Tacoma gonna be 14˚F and Abbotsford 22˚F.

You can clearly see why, Abbotsford has less than 3" of snow cover.

[Perturbed Member]

RGEM is hot trash for PDX. Inch or two of snow and an inch of freezing rain.

 

[Jesse]

Just now, TacomaWaWx said:

Interested to see how the euro handles this tonight. 

Plz go north so people in Snohomish county don't have to wait an extra 24 hours for snow!!1!!