SouthHillFrosty Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 If it gets that that cold, I'll actually have to turn on thermostat above 63 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 No snow equals a shhitty cool snap. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Something interesting there is how few ensemble members show any precip making it to Seattle at the end of the week. Very good agreement on that offshore energy remaining pretty far suppressed, as you would expect with the PV so close. Yeah I'm still expecting some kind of pull back on bringing the PV so close but it is pretty interesting that all the models again went colder. I'm still thinking those lows come up further north than modeled and the precip shield will extend further north too. Obviously this far out it is probably futile trying to guess where that energy goes but hopefully we get our first real event since 1/10/17 in the PDX metro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 00z WRF 10 PM Thursday. Ummm 75kts around 2000' aloft. Damaging east wind storm. Then 4 AM Friday might be worse. 55kts just off the surface and 70kts aloft. Wow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 We could potentially be heading towards dangerous nighttime lows next week. And because of the warm winter we've had so far, I'd imagine not many people are doing enough to protect their homes from the subfreezing cold. So remember to drain and protect the pipes. Could be quite costly if one of those things burst. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 8 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: No snow equals a shhitty cool snap. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 00z ECMWF Day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Holy crap that was a cold GEM run! Even the GFS spit out a day with a 30 degree high and 8 consecutive highs below 40. If the GEM were to verify temperature wise I wouldn't even be upset if we got little or no snow. It would be flat out historic. That having been said I really want snow though! Going to be an interesting 10 days coming up. 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, nwsnow said: Yeah I'm still expecting some kind of pull back on bringing the PV so close but it is pretty interesting that all the models again went colder. I'm still thinking those lows come up further north than modeled and the precip shield will extend further north too. Obviously this far out it is probably futile trying to guess where that energy goes but hopefully we get our first real event since 1/10/17 in the PDX metro. How about Jim Cantore standing on 82nd and Foster, snowing heavy, he hears a clap of thunder, and freaks out on the air? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Am I seeing things, or is the bitter air much closer already.. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 43 minutes ago, wxmet said: My guess is the ECMWF gets even colder in its 00z run It's King EURO time! Time to close out the night in style! Give us the coldest and snowiest run to date so we can all sleep well tonight! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, DJ Droppin said: Am I seeing things, or is the bitter air much closer already.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: Nope, if there is none to very minimal snow cover here it will be a worthless wasted airmass. Even a great overrunning event at the end will not change my mind. Cold temp stats are nothing but a way to be able to live in the past and use Feb 2021 as an ANALog. We need to live in the now!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Pretty stunning ensemble mean tonight. Much colder than previous runs. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said: Nope, if there is none to very minimal snow cover here it will be a worthless wasted airmass. Even a great overrunning event at the end will not change my mind. Cold temp stats are nothing but a way to be able to live in the past and use Feb 2021 as an ANALog. We need to live in the now!! How the F*** is it possible that you got more surly and Tim became modestly "tolerable"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Day 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Euro still not showing much CZ snow tomorrow night into Monday morning unfortunately. Shows a little along the Snohomish/Skagit County line though. Randy! 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, JBolin said: How the F*** is it possible that you got more surly and Tim became modestly "tolerable"? How do you all of a sudden seem like you are new here? You are not understanding the process of which I am going through, Tim does, hopefully he doesn't ruin it for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Euro still not showing much of any CZ snow tomorrow night into Monday morning unfortunately. And Monday is right about the believableish range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Day 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, hawkstwelve said: It would be nice if the WB maps would update. Good grief. Glad this will be the last month I'm paying for this site. Might look elsewhere next season. weathermodels loading the Euro output pretty slow as well but that always seems to be the case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 The western extent of the TPV looks a bit weaker (thank God) compared to 12z at 72hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: How do you all of a sudden seem like you are new here? You are not understanding the process of which I am going through, Tim does, hopefully he doesn't ruin it for me. Well if the "process" you're going through is mediocrity I have no sympathy for you, if it's something "else" then you have my sincere apology. Side note, I'm not new here, been a member/lurker for over a decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Is the southeast ridge stronger with higher heights further north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 12 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: How do you all of a sudden seem like you are new here? You are not understanding the process of which I am going through, Tim does, hopefully he doesn't ruin it for me. The process you are going through of incessant negativity and reverse psychology get old pretty quickly in a situation like this when people are starting to feel reasonably excited. 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, JBolin said: Well if the "process" you're going through is mediocrity I have no sympathy for you, if it's something "else" then you have my sincere apology. Side note, I'm not new here, been a member/lurker for over a decade. It is the latter, I accept your apology !! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 By 84hr the trough is digging a bit further west than 12z even though the core of the TPV is further east.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Day 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, bainbridgekid said: The process you are going through of incessant negativity and reverse psychology get old pretty quickly in a situation like this.l when people are starting to feel pretty excited. The sickening optimism is the exact same thing, noone knows what will happen until it does. So what if some of us are skeptical (I am not the only one) but yet hopeful, we all can say what we want without harming others, you know what I want to happen. Doesn't mean it will happen, sorry my rabbits foot bothers you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 PV lobe over east central BC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Yeah I think this run will be colder. 12z vs 00z. PV is moving further west. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 TPV expanding much further west at 96hr compared to 12z with snow/mix precip impacting the northern and central south. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Significantly greater height falls over WA, BC 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, nwsnow said: Yeah I think this run will be colder. 12z vs 00z. PV is moving further west. I'm speechless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Going to be a slightly interesting week! Also the wind finally arrived here! 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Day 4.5 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Here comes the first low out of the SW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Going rogue again... 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Friday system is further north on this run. Would be interesting if we could get a partial or complete phase with the TPV shortwave dropping down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by Bryant,
11 reactions
Go to this post