February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion

[TacomaWaWx]

Gfs and euro look good for Southern BC and Western WA...but not great for a regional event  

[Perturbed Member]

1 minute ago, Requiem said:

Nice can’t wait to move to Boulder someday 

As I mentioned earlier, we were just one trend away from losing all those pretty 20-30 inch snow maps. The cold pool east can't do us much good if the low is going well north of us and giving us a SW wind. 

I'm sure there will be more model changes to come but yeah not looking good for us since I think the euro has the best handle on this.

[snow drift]

A definite step back from yesterday's 12z run, and the 00z trend continues. I was hoping for a suppressed jet. D**n Pacific Ocean!

[Blizzard777]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Arctic front snow during the day on Wednesday...

 

That’s garbage day here! Garbage day has set a trend this season for being the most active weather day here so I don’t doubt this at all!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I still say either the sweet spot will be Portland or way north around the border. No way puget sound gets nailed like that again just 2 year later almost the the same day!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Here is February 1884. These are the all-time PDX records for February 11-13th (Downtown/Airport)

https://climate.usu.edu/mapServer/reports/e15daily.php?stn=USW00024274&year=1884&month=2&unit=EN&network=direct:ghcn&sidebar=0

[TT-SEA]

Just tons of moisture... straight up insanity for WA from Thursday into Friday and more is still coming.

 

[Omegaraptor]

47°F in Tigard/Beaverton at hour 132

If this run verifies, I’m moving to Montana.

[Timmy]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I still say either the sweet spot will be Portland or way north around the border. No way puget sound gets nailed like that again just 2 year later almost the the same day!

I would honestly like either of those to happen. I

[TacomaWaWx]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I still say either the sweet spot will be Portland or way north around the border. No way puget sound gets nailed like that again just 2 year later almost the the same day!

Lol what is there some rule saying it won’t happen? It’s happened before it can happen again. 

[FroYoBro]

Wait, why doesn’t the Euro look like the GEM? 

[Perturbed Member]

Next system is way north too

[umadbro]

Starting to look like a big juicy nothing burger

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Great. By Tuesday that will all be up in Southern BC. 

Gotta hope things switch back towards the GEM, but it's probably out to lunch. 

[Perturbed Member]

What cold air?

[Requiem]

Even most of my offshore flow is gone  gloomy Sunday isn’t it 

[snow drift]

There's still time to move back to the colder solutions. Let's hope they prevail. I never bet against the Pacific.

 

[Cloud]

With a shift like this and still days away, we have to hope it doesn’t sling straight into BC. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Warm air surging north. Good thing I never was fully on board. This is the most likely solution. 

[Esquimalt]

Just now, hawkstwelve said:

By Friday evening...

Oh yeah thats more like it :))))

[TacomaWaWx]

These are the January 2011 fears we were talking about yesterday. It’s just one run...hopefully the next run brings things back south a bit. 

[Timmy]

Downright brutal. I hope models can someday get a better grip on weather or stop allowing us to see each run.  What a waste of time.

[jakerepp]

Wow, caught up finally. Asleep from 11:15 to 8:30, like I’m a 16 year old on winter break!

I see the bullseye has moved dramatically north...hopefully it doesn’t go too far north!

Things are getting serious. Weather app shows a high of 28 and low of 17 for Thursday.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Euro looks significantly warmer

[Perturbed Member]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Great. By Tuesday that will all be up in Southern BC. 

Gotta hope things switch back towards the GEM, but it's probably out to lunch. 

Devastating trends

[Phil]

23 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like Uranium City, Saskatchewen hit -56 this morning, which would set an all-time February low and tie their all-time record low from January 1974. 

Impossible..the climate is wArMiNg

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Remember yesterday when people made fun of me for saying Eugene would be in the 50s?

[Timmy Supercell]

2 minutes ago, umadbro said:

Starting to look like a big juicy nothing burger

I'd like that with sharp cheddar and ketchup please 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said:

By Friday evening...

30 for me!

[Requiem]

Just now, Timmy said:

Downright brutal. I hope models can someday get a better grip on weather or stop allowing us to see each run.  What a waste of time.

Really though, maybe I should find a better hobby then getting invested in these things.

[Deweydog]

For what it’s worth, that’s definitely a more “classic” progression with retrograding Arctic energy unsupported by a strong Pacific block.  Almost immediately becomes cyclogenic.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Timmy said:

Downright brutal. I hope models can someday get a better grip on weather or stop allowing us to see each run.  What a waste of time.

We all know once the shift happens we almost never get it back, but who knows. Maybe the GEM will be right. lol

[Timmy Supercell]

We still got time. I'm not pulling out the pitchforks yet 

[TacomaWaWx]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Remember yesterday when people made fun of me for saying Eugene would be in the 50s?

It’s only one run. It’s obviously not set in stone yet. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Warm air surging north. Good thing I never was fully on board. This is the most likely solution. 

February 19 says things can change.

[Blizzard777]

5 minutes ago, Snowdrift said:

A trend north is disconcerting. I'm hoping for the colder solutions.

Don’t get me wrong...I wants it’s all! But, if we only get the initial Arctic Blast with 2-3 hour burst of snow and strong winds I’m good so agree with you on the colder solution.  Once the cold air is in place bring on that overrunning event battle between cold and moist warm!  Loving our position currently 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[umadbro]

Just now, Snowdrift said:

There's still time to move back to the colder solutions. Let's hope they prevail. I never bet against the Pacific.

 

True. But we've seen this happen a few times the last few years. Probably be a decent event north of Kelso. But realistically north of Seattle. The models performance this year has been abysmal.

[SalemDuck]

Euro digs the trough straight westward and doesn’t allow it to dig southwest and it gets cutoff ending the fun somewhat early but not before burying Washington 

[Timmy]

96 redux?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Who wants to catch up after the Super Bowl to watch the 00z runs put the final nail in the coffin?