Jump to content

February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion


BLI snowman

Recommended Posts

Well still going to fun to track the progression of this arctic air in the Central part of the country. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ok, maybe it trends back, who knows. But back to ordinary kinda crummy life lol 

  • Popcorn 1

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Definitely a little too close for comfort. I would much rather sacrifice the foot+ of snow in favor of 2-6 inches and maintaining the colder air.

Good thing we still have a few days to iron out the details. There will probably be more waffling.

Yea, hopefully it waffles back south slightly. I am super nervous for the model runs tonight now.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Timmy said:

You say every possible outcome repeatedly, so I guess you covered your bases either way!

Just assessing what the models are showing. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Requiem said:

Ok, maybe it trends back, who knows. But back to ordinary kinda crummy life lol 

I would imagine we will see the trend swing back on the euro, too much ensemble support for much colder air on the other runs. But this is definitely a possibility

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said:

Who was it that said by 12z Sunday we should have a better handle on things?

Don't think we are any closer to knowing the outcome of this week than 24 hours ago.

It is a 48 hour kind of thing. I wouldn’t trust the model any further out than this. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Timmy said:

Are you though? because that’s not how you come off.

Actually I am trolling you 100% of the time. 

  • Troll 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I have been biting my tongue about the up coming pattern, but over the last 5 years when the models spit out these extreme events, which have been many, they usually move north within the 3 day mark prior to the event along with moderating temps south of WA. This has been a very consistent pattern for many events now. I am sorry, but just something I hate to see, but been really true for awhile now. :(

 

  • Sad 2
  • Rain 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well s**t. Why the eastern forum refers to Euro as Dr. No. Unfortunately it’s usually right. 😐

I suspect the Euro is closer to reality but is too warm. Could be it’s cutting off/back building the trough too much over the Pacific. It’s certainly done that before.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well. Time to move to Uranium City. 

 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, SalemDuck said:

The euro misses Portland by 25-50 miles. These are slight tweaks we’re talking about. 

Guess Phil says to watch for the 0z tonight. We’ll find out if the north trend continues this dramatically or it stops. If it stops PDX is still in a very good spot. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm expecting the ICON and GEM to cave by tonight. We know it is pretty unlikely that we can get enough of an arctic push to suppress the pacific that much. The GFS outcome currently is probably the best semi realistic thing for PDX but I think this is gonna end up being an OLM and north event. Once that north trend happens, it doesn't reverse much. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Guess Phil says to watch for the 0z tonight. We’ll find out if the north trend continues this dramatically or it stops. If it stops PDX is still in a very good spot. 

Don’t take everything I say as gospel. 😂

I think there’ll be better agreement soon. I’m just not sure which camp is correct lol.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

×
×
  • Create New...