February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion

[wxmet]

It literally snows for 4 days straight on the UKMET.

[BLI snowman]

6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This was my favorite frame of the GFS run. 

 

Portland and Seattle are going to get more snow than you.

[RentonHill]

1 minute ago, North_County said:

Just heard the first window-rattling gust of the evening.

Phone app says it's still 28° right now with only 13mph sustained, but was outside in the wind a little bit ago getting the generator prepped and It. Was. Cold.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

13 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

 

Looks more like the NUKEMET by 108! Over a foot in Portland and Seattle.

It would appear the models haven't nailed down the details yet.

[MossMan]

29! 
DP 28. 

[Kolk1604]

MOGREPS is the ensemble model of the UKMET. Can't find it though. 

[Deweydog]

11 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Not sure I've EVER seen a run show over 20" for both PDX and SEA inside 5 days . . .

 

Late December 2016 had a few, but they were in the 6-8 day range, I believe.

[MWG]

4 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Just out of curiosity I went on Wunderground 10-day for my place, shows rain/snow mix for several days and all showers Thursday. The coldest high is 41 Sunday. 

The next 2 weeks is just 50 degrees . Though today high was supposed to be 50 it barely made it to 40 because clouds never cleared up.

[bainbridgekid]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Late December 2016 had a few, but they were in the 6-8 day range, I believe.

I think January 2011 might have as well. Don't think they got within 5 days though.

[RentonHill]

when people say the EURO is going to cave to the UKMET

z

[Phil]

33 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Someone better snag the GEM from a couple days ago.

Already did. Even made gifs of it.

[Timmy Supercell]

1 minute ago, MWG said:

The next 2 weeks is just 50 degrees . Though today high was supposed to be 50 it barely made it to 40 because clouds never cleared up.

I had 52 today with sun and a thin evening cloud layer.

The avg high for Feb 8th is 43. So far I've started this month warm.

Let's hope February is not going to repeat 2000-2009, I'm pretty sure it was the least snowiest month in that decade and it likely rained more than snowed over here.

[Phil]

31 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Anna’s Hummingbirds are year-round residents on the West Coast. Their range has expanded hundreds of miles northwards in response to feeding.

Lucky. We only see them 4-5 months out of the year. Ruby throated hummingbirds.

[The Swamp]

Not a single flake has fallen but look at the fun we’ve had. 

[VancouverIslandSouth]

6 minutes ago, North_County said:

Just heard the first window-rattling gust of the evening.

Phone app says it's still 28° right now with only 13mph sustained, but was outside in the wind a little bit ago getting the generator prepped and It. Was. Cold.

Still just a light NE breeze here, currently 35F with a 28F dewpoint. It's nice having an event where the cold builds into the valley from the start, rather than one where cold air is left chasing the dropping dewpoints/roaring outflow. The lack of serious downsloping has to be helping cool the valley down. It gives me some hope that we'll still do alright for snow up here later in the week.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

Light snow in Poulsbo.  Light CZ activity.

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 minute ago, ..... said:

Not a single flake has fallen but look at the fun we’ve had. 

If we get a foot of snow, I'll buy you a drink at bumpy's downtown

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, ..... said:

Not a single flake has fallen but look at the fun we’ve had. 

I had flakes this morning! 

[Phil]

18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Really love the cold maritime troughing showing up in the long range. Right on cue for early spring snow showers. 

You and your maritime fetish.

[Christensen87]

Tonight’s the night. Euro, what’s it gonna be? SNOW? or no snow. THAT is the question. Sorry, I’ve had a bit of whiskey. 

[Kolk1604]

1 minute ago, Christensen87 said:

Tonight’s the night. Euro, what’s it gonna be? SNOW? or no snow. THAT is the question. Sorry, I’ve had a bit of whiskey. 

It will cave to the UKMET

Buy what you need now

[jakerepp]

2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

It will cave to the UKMET

Buy what you need now

Okay fine, I’ll throw some more at Dogecoin.

[paulb/eugene]

Anyone with ukmet freezing pcpn map?

[Perturbed Member]

This gives us a better big picture of what the UKMET does

First low comes in at the mouth of the Columbia, further north than really any other model now. 

 

The 2nd low now shows up and starts to move SE, looks pretty juicy. This track maybe looks closest to the ECMWF. It doesn't fly off in a hurry to the far south like the GFS. It ends up again at the mouth of the Columbia. Tons of precip.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Getting some radar returns to the NW of here, sure hope it isn't just a bunch of hummingbirds moving south.

[North_County]

1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said:

My wifes bday is feb 16th. always a balancing act. always fail in some way. but i think thats just marriage? anyways. weather

My wife's birthday is December 27th. She never forgets to tell me how much she hates joint Christmas/Birthday gifts. (Not that I would ever do such a thing)

[Gradient Keeper]

16 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

I had a blond moment. I thought the British had a model based off the GFS or something lol

 

I could only find this GIF of Benny Hill if you know who he is.

[bainbridgekid]

4 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said:

Light snow in Poulsbo.  Light CZ activity.

Here too. First flakes since December 21st.

[plainguy]

I would like a repeat of my first memory of snow.... 3rd week of January 1969. Astoria

[jdbsea]

It’s only a period of time until the UKMET image starts getting around to the public. By tomorrow morning this city will be in a panic!

[The Swamp]

6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

If we get a foot of snow, I'll buy you a drink at bumpy's downtown

Every drink is a double at Bumpys.

[MWG]

7 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

I had 52 today with sun and a thin evening cloud layer.

The avg high for Feb 8th is 43. So far I've started this month warm.

Let's hope February is not going to repeat 2000-2009, I'm pretty sure it was the least snowiest month in that decade and it likely rained more than snowed over here.

Yeah, it was 60 degrees Feb 1st here. It looks like it's going to rain starting Wednesday but yeah it will be in the low 50's during the day. Would like to see some snow event before the month ends! 

[SouthHillFrosty]

4 minutes ago, ..... said:

Every drink is a double at Bumpys.

Every drink is a double no matter where you go

[wxmet]

RM was too lazy to make a PNW focused map but you get the idea

[Kolk1604]

00z UKMET 

[bainbridgekid]

Somewhat confusing but interesting graphic from the Portland NWS.

 

[RentonHill]

15 minutes

[awright-31]

1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said:

Somewhat confusing but interesting graphic from the Portland NWS.

 

What an incredibly confusing graphic 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

20 minutes ago, Phil said:

Lucky. We only see them 4-5 months out of the year. Ruby throated hummingbirds.

We also have rufous hummingbirds (migratory) and in the mountains calliope hummingbirds (also migratory).

[Requiem]

Every model is good for PDX-north, hope the EURO is too :)