Jump to content

February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion


BLI snowman

Recommended Posts

Its been a pretty interesting model ride... but we might just end with up a couple days in the low 40s out of this deal.    Still to early to give up on February and I am pretty sure March will be interesting as well.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Its been a pretty interesting model ride... and we might just end up a couple days in the low 40s out of this deal.    Still to early to give up on February and I am pretty sure March will be interesting as well.

Cold pattern on low-freq might peak in the spring/summer. 😈

  • Excited 1
  • lol 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its been a pretty interesting model ride... and we might just end up a couple days in the low 40s out of this deal.    Still to early to give up on February and I am pretty sure March will be interesting as well.

Sunshine is in the cards. Good enough.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Actually the ECMWF shows Wednesday being even cooler despite sunshine... highs may not even reach 40 that day with a brisk east wind.

 

  • Windy 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, GeorgeWx said:

850th.conus.png

we will need a pattern reset to get any arctic air here but by then it will be March.

The east coast mets probably already got headlines like, "Massive Polar Vortex slams the entire US!!" since the west coast doesn't exist

  • Like 1
  • lol 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

26 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its been a pretty interesting model ride... but we might just end with up a couple days in the low 40s out of this deal.    Still to early to give up on February and I am pretty sure March will be interesting as well.

I don't know about you, but I prefer cold patterns in February over March.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

48 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its been a pretty interesting model ride... but we might just end with up a couple days in the low 40s out of this deal.    Still to early to give up on February and I am pretty sure March will be interesting as well.

March will be relatively snowy, as I have maintained since some time in December. Mark my words. :huh:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

trend-gfs-2021020406-f009.500h_anom_npac.gif.2de8826e0e4f3b47405d64ac00750068.gif

06z rolling out... These are substantial differences for a *nine hour* forecast...

Models are a hot mess right now. The lack of airline data due to covid has been astoundingly impactful already, but now we are experiencing even more instability from the ongoing SSWE. I wouldn't put much cadence into any forecast beyond four days out, if that. Welcome to 2003.

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
  • scream 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

trend-gfs-2021020406-f009.500h_anom_npac.gif.2de8826e0e4f3b47405d64ac00750068.gif

06z rolling out... These are substantial differences for a *nine hour* forecast...

Models are a hot mess right now. The lack of airline data due to covid has been astoundingly impactful already, but now we are experiencing even more instability from the ongoing SSWE. I wouldn't put much cadence into any forecast beyond four days out, if that. Welcome to 2003.

At 54 hours it looks the 18z all over again.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Anybody else listening to some nice chill, synthwave tunes while the night shift GFS rolls out?

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Freeze #31 snuck in before midnight and #32 currently.

  • Snow 3

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

floop-gfs-2021020406.500h_anom_na.gif.14c82b13b7ef7261fdff8dd02afe4eef.gif

The medium range is just an all-out bananas, ludicrous, zany, insane solution that mutes the entirety of the eastern Pacific while sending a -NAO block into Alaska. Very cold and dry for the PNW.

  • Like 2
  • Excited 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

×
×
  • Create New...