paulb/eugene 583 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Wish we had one down here for Lane & Douglas county too. Feels like a completely different climate zone now. 000 TTAA00 KEUG 300512 EUOR-EUGENE SPRINGFIELD AND VICINITY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUGENE OR 1015 PM PST FRI NOV 29 1985 .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TEENS. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW FLURRIES. HIGHS 30 TO 35. WINDS NORTH TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS ABOUT 30. .SUNDAY...80 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. $$ HIGH TODAY..26 MORNING LOW..20 LAST PRECIPITATION FELL THURSDAY. NOVEMBER 30TH ON RECORD............... RECORD HIGH....65 IN 1939 NORMAL....49 LAST YEAR....48 RECORD LOW.....17 IN 1952 NORMAL....36 LAST YEAR....34 GREATEST RAINFALL THIS DATE 2.85 INCH IN 1975. . . . 2 Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5752 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 Just now, paulb/eugene said: 000 TTAA00 KEUG 300512 EUOR-EUGENE SPRINGFIELD AND VICINITY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUGENE OR 1015 PM PST FRI NOV 29 1985 .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TEENS. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW FLURRIES. HIGHS 30 TO 35. WINDS NORTH TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS ABOUT 30. .SUNDAY...80 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. $$ HIGH TODAY..26 MORNING LOW..20 LAST PRECIPITATION FELL THURSDAY. NOVEMBER 30TH ON RECORD............... RECORD HIGH....65 IN 1939 NORMAL....49 LAST YEAR....48 RECORD LOW.....17 IN 1952 NORMAL....36 LAST YEAR....34 GREATEST RAINFALL THIS DATE 2.85 INCH IN 1975. . . . What about forecast discussions? That's what I would love to see. Like what KEZI and KVAL focus on. Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 49 (Most recent: Apr 12, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10742 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 A little earlier when I started my truck and Pandora started playing this automatically...It’s coming folks...It’s coming!! Matt is suspiciously MIA...He’s got a microscope on every teleconnection as we speak! 1 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites
paulb/eugene 583 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 This is PDX afd from Xmas 1983. Pretty succinct I should say 000 WOUS00 KPDX 241600 WILL FOLLOW SPECMO WITH WRM FNT AND SFC LOW MVG NWD GRADU. OVRRNG MSTR COVERG STATE TDY AND PREV FCST LK GD EXCPT WILL COVER CASCDS COL GORGE AND PDX AREA WITH BLIZZARD WRNG AND ISSUE WINTER STORM WRNG REST OF STATE EXCPT S CST. SNOW N AND SNW OR SNW CHG TO FRZG RAIN SOUTH TDY. NEW LFM ALSO SUGGESTS SNOW CHG TO RAIN WRN ORE AS S WNDS TAKE OVR. NO DCR IN SFC WNDS TDY. AST 577 PDX 777 EUG 898 MFR +98 PDT 477 LMT +98 PECK OR..WARNINGS...WS ZNS..01..02..03..04..05..08..09..10..11..12 HI WND ZN..07..N PTN 06..EXTRM NRN PTN 01 GLW CLATSOP SPIT TO PT ST GEORGE BLZD ZN..06..07..N PTN 04 1 Link to post Share on other sites
BLI snowman 6876 Posted February 5 Author Report Share Posted February 5 18 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Seven years ago right now it was sunny outside. Seahawks superbowl parade Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 412 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 13 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Wish we had one down here for Lane & Douglas county too. Feels like a completely different climate zone now. Medford occasionally mentions you?? Although they have a stiff one for N. California most of the time from what I've seen. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 994 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 The operational is actually a bit of a warm member in mid span. 6 Link to post Share on other sites
Meteorologist wxmet 2015 Posted February 5 Meteorologist Report Share Posted February 5 18z ECMWF is running. We will be able to see how it handles the Arctic front next week. 5 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Snowdrift 413 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 20 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: You're gonna have to "take care of that problem". Don't buy any booze from a disembodied bartender. Link to post Share on other sites
paulb/eugene 583 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 I’m getting a feeling it may be a redux of Dec 1996 coming up 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 412 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 Climatology is definitely steering the models next week. They don't want us that cold unless it's dry. I was telling my brother earlier that a surface low is going to pop up in the models within hour 168 I think. Link to post Share on other sites
Kolk1604 880 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 17 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: @Kolk1604 We are going to need the ensembles asap when they are done pls Temps are out yet. Not bad or next week and it will change. No surprise it's less though the 18z op would cripple the region. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Meteorologist wxmet 2015 Posted February 6 Meteorologist Report Share Posted February 6 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7269 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 16 minutes ago, Acer said: The operational is actually a bit of a warm member in mid span. Wow, nice improvement for keeping the cold going longer. Good to see. Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
Meteorologist wxmet 2015 Posted February 6 Meteorologist Report Share Posted February 6 18z ECMWF looks more or less the same as 12z thru 90hr. Too bad we don’t get a full run of the model with 18z. 2 1 Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 412 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: Wow, nice improvement for keeping the cold going longer. Good to see. Regionwide "Valentine's Day" Snowstorm.......BOOK IT!!! CAPS LOCK STYLE!!!!! Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7269 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 18z Euro looks pretty similar to 12z. No sign of trying to hold the energy back/pinch it off in AK like previous runs. 5 1 Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7269 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 In fact, a pretty good run to run delta for lower heights over BC and higher heights over AK. 3 Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 412 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 History has shown that if "waiting for 00z runs" becomes a daily occurence, the outcome is usually good.....usually. 2 Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1480 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: In fact, a pretty good run to run delta for lower heights over BC and higher heights over AK. Are you maple valley weather on twitter? Link to post Share on other sites
paulb/eugene 583 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: In fact, a pretty good run to run delta for lower heights over BC and higher heights over AK. That should significantly slow down arrival of arctic air in Oregon but could reap benefits later if trough can dig south a bit more. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 12208 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 Good grief! the 18z GFS shows 9 consecutive highs of 35 or below for SEA. Undoubtedly snow plays into that. 3 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 52 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
Christensen87 294 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Good grief! the 18z GFS shows 9 consecutive highs of 35 or below for SEA. Undoubtedly snow plays into that. Cold east winds. Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 12208 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Good grief! The 18z GFS shows 9 consecutive highs of 35 or below for SEA. Undoubtedly snow plays into that. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 52 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 412 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, Christensen87 said: Cold east winds. North winds :). 1 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 12208 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 6 minutes ago, paulb/eugene said: That should significantly slow down arrival of arctic air in Oregon but could reap benefits later if trough can dig south a bit more. Amazing the 18z shows it digging better than the 12z. This could be huge if we hit the just right balance. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 52 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7269 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 8 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Are you maple valley weather on twitter? Yessir. 1 1 Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
iFred 5226 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 8 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Yessir. One of the better local accounts. Nice to see someone get excited about snow like how some get excited about wind or other get anti-excited about anything not climo on WAWX Twitter. 3 Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 12074 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 22 minutes ago, wxmet said: 18z ECMWF looks more or less the same as 12z thru 90hr. Too bad we don’t get a full run of the model with 18z. 18z actually an improvement over 12z. Lol. Squeezes even more of the TPV out of Alaska/Yukon. Amazing how different it looks versus 00z last night. 2 Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 12074 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 24 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: In fact, a pretty good run to run delta for lower heights over BC and higher heights over AK. I think that’s the 06z run. Edit: Nevermind, just misread the header. Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 412 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, Phil said: 18z actually an improvement over 12z. Lol. Squeezes even more of the TPV out of Alaska/Yukon. Amazing how different it looks versus 00z last night. I am nervous about the 00z tonight. If it is anything close to 18z then the confidence is going way up for me. Link to post Share on other sites
iFred 5226 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 It was above freezing and snowless today. Has anyone looked at the CFS for May? Snow and cold has killed millions and anyone cheering for it is a bad person. Your life is but a blink of the eye in the cosmic scheme of things and in the end the EPS will paint the earth blood red as the all surface life burns off as destined by our main sequence star. Snow love is dumb and futile. Has anyone started planting spring flowers yet? 1 1 5 Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10742 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 I screwed up big time...I told my wife. However we might be okay since she is NOT onboard...Her exact words were “you have said this 3 times now over the last few weeks, I am not falling for this again, it’s not happening” 2 4 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 12074 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 3 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: I am nervous about the 00z tonight. If it is anything close to 18z then the confidence is going way up for me. I think the inflection point is sometime this weekend. Probably either 12z Sunday morning or 00z in the evening, IMO. Make it thru Sunday evening and I think confidence increases quadratically. 1 1 Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
Meteorologist wxmet 2015 Posted February 6 Meteorologist Report Share Posted February 6 Just now, Phil said: I think the inflection point is sometime this weekend. Either 12z Saturday morning or 00z in the evening. I agree. If we can hold through the weekend then we’re set. Link to post Share on other sites
rsktkr 161 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 Don't worry fellas.....I got this. As long as I post this image every day until the event we will get our old-school arctic blast!! You can count on me. 4 2 Link to post Share on other sites
Bueryan 54 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 It makes it more fun when you read people excitedly posting, who just last night, let us all know that they were "done", and "taking a break", or "walking away for a while"... sure you are 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 12074 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: I screwed up big time...I told my wife. However we might be okay since she is NOT onboard...Her exact words were “you have said this 3 times now over the last few weeks, I am not falling for this again, it’s not happening” Noooooooo. You have to take it back. Call it a false alarm. 1 Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 12074 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 2 minutes ago, wxmet said: I agree. If we can hold through the weekend then we’re set. Caught me before the edit. I meant to write Sunday. 1 Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10742 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 Yet another SuperBowl Sunday with imminent snow/cold being a real possibility! 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Andrew M 201 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 Too many busted snow maps the last two years have me very nervous, fingers crossed the models hold steady on this bad boy. Someone go blow up the Rockies just in case 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 12074 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, Andrew M said: Someone go blow up the Rockies just in case Flatiron might take issue with that. 1 2 Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
paulb/eugene 583 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 Sorry I’ve been holding back Aeroflot flight data from being incorporated into your Американское Модель. Your 00z run will have some surprises I’m afraid 2 3 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Jginmartini 3951 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Yet another SuperBowl Sunday with imminent snow/cold being a real possibility! I was just thinking that! Nachos....then snow and cold. I would call that a good week Link to post Share on other sites
Jginmartini 3951 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 Just now, paulb/eugene said: Sorry I’ve been holding back Aeroflot flight data from being incorporated into your Американское Модель. Your 00z run will have some surprises I’m afraid I see the plane took you to the other side of the world !!! Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 4199 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 6 minutes ago, Phil said: I think the inflection point is sometime this weekend. Either 12z Sunday morning or 00z in the evening. Yeah... it becomes pretty obvious by that point. The next focus will become undercutting and overrunning systems sneaking through the ridge. That seems like its a pretty fragile situation too! **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 412 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 Nobody likes a quitter. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 412 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Yeah... it becomes pretty obvious by that point. The next focus will become undercutting and overrunning systems sneaking through the ridge. That seems like its a pretty fragile situation too! An undercutting low about Coos Bay that sits and stalls for 48 hours sounds good to me. I am sure you want that same low at the OR/WA border. Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5752 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 Anybody got a good putter? 2 Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 49 (Most recent: Apr 12, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
Prairiedog 598 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 Bought several of these from a retired met. Let me know if you're interested. I can work out doable low interest financing with you as well. For a little more I can get you a two-seater for your significant other so she knows for sure what you're doing at midnight, 1am, 2am, 3am, 4am and all through the day. Reassure her that your mortgage will be paid each month. There is a new model coming out that will include your own secret connection directly to the NWS and top of the line North Korea weather services. 2 6 Link to post Share on other sites
Recommended Posts
Posted by Bryant,
12 reactions
Go to this post