North_County Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 21 minutes ago, Snowdrift said: My grandparents experienced the blizzard of 1950 up there. They were impressed, and they both grew up in North Dakota. I've always been curious exactly what that storm would have felt like. The farm my grandfather grew up on is just down the road from me, and he would have been about 14 in 1950. Everytime I drive by, I realize how totally exposed he would have been to the outflow. Right on the border with a direct line to the mouth of the Fraser Canyon, without a tree or hill in sight. I'm guessing that house got absolutely pummeled. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, MossMan said: Hope the NAM does not start a new trend... A trend hasn't even come close to being established anyways. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Winter of 2016-2017 was the wettest ever recorded in the Sierra and almost broke me. Jan - Feb 2017 we had 190" of snow at lake level along with around 20" of rain. 38" total precip in that 60 day span. It would snow 24-48" then rain 3-6", flash freeze.. Rinse and repeat for 2 months. Probably the closest setup to 1862 we will see. We had two different thunderstorm outbreaks in Feb with 8' of snow on the ground. My streets would turn into canals cause the water had nowhere to go. Then it would all freeze. Some peoples cars were frozen in place up to the door handles. Second picture is me on the roof shoveling it off after the fire department drove around on the loud speaker warning of imminent roof collapses. I had the Honda snow blower on the side yard with the old craftsman in the front yard. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 A massive 18z coming up!!!! 1 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: A massive 18z coming up!!!! It just checked in to the Promises Treatment Center in Maibu. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: A massive 18z coming up!!!! Biggest since you got the chains for the mower. 1 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, Phil said: Had that much in 2010 and 2016..the former dropped 9.1” here in just 2 hours. Was like a summer downpour but snow. It was heavy enough that the snow hitting the ground produced some weird audio effects, like leaves in a forest rustling in the wind or a distant waterfall. Was really something. I know that sound you are speaking of and it is hard to describe. We receive post frontal convective bands that stream up the Sierra after a strong cold front has gone through that will drop 5-8" an hour snowfall rates and it makes a different noise than 1-3" snowfall rates for sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 22 minutes ago, Snowdrift said: I experienced one at Ft Sill in December 1996. Their weather is so changeable. It felt like the temperature dropped 30 degrees in a few minutes. I was in Oregon in December 2008, but the arctic front they had come through NE Oklahoma in Dec 08' was absolutely insane. Bartlesville had a 74/14 day and a 14/8 day the following day. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 13 minutes ago, Snowdrift said: A sheet of snow...polar + tropical at the same time I’ll never forget 2010. Snow *depth* reached 52”. Was literally up to my neck. That branch in picture #3 is normally high enough that you could hang from it without your feet touching the ground. Like 7.5 feet up. 3 1 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 GFS druncle better/worse regionally ML: better +250 worse -220 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 When in 1886 did the San Francisco snowfall occur? Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Khoine Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 I was thirteen living in Maryland when 1979 snow storm. The deepest snow drifts I have ever experienced. I was one years old when my family experienced the 1966 DC blizzard. My parents said they had five foot snow drifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 5, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: When in 1886 did the San Francisco snowfall occur? That was actually in February 1887. It was cold here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Weather so much better here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Biggest since you got the chains for the mower. Hopefully the snow will be so deep that it will overpower my plow and I will have to borrow the neighbors tractor! This was 2019 before I had the plow attachment, borrowed the neighbors tractor to plow, here I am driving it on the main road back to their place. Good times! 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Four years ago, we had an epic snowstorm in the south sound 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 25 minutes ago, MossMan said: Hope the NAM does not start a new trend... As I say...the NAM almost has to trend warmer, because it has a terrible cold bias as it gets later in the run. As the time frame narrows it trends warmer almost always. 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, paulb/eugene said: Weather so much better here Hope you are collecting weather data for the models while you are up there! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: That was actually in February 1887. It was cold here. That month was a beast in Seattle. A one foot snowstorm followed by serious cold. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 31 minutes ago, MossMan said: Hope the NAM does not start a new trend... Someone needs to take a hammer to the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 hours ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: Yeah, moisture didn't start showing up until a few days before the event and intially it was headed to Southern Oregon but eventually trended north at the last minute. 3 consecutive days of snow for PDX. Thu, Fri and Sat if I remember correctly. Yep, I remember we were on the northern edge of most of those systems. The last second north trend on the models worked out nicely for us. One of the coldest snow events in recent memory. I think the starting temp was in the teens for the first system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 18 looks a bit colder and further west so far 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, hawkstwelve said: Total snow through Monday AM... A hair more for Snohomish County northward vs. 12z. Weird, Randy in the blue again. 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: That was actually in February 1887. It was cold here. Mean of 500mb anomalies for all San Francisco snowfalls. No major surprises, I suppose. 3 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 5, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: That month was a beast in Seattle. A one foot snowstorm followed by serious cold. Indeed. Portland had a 16/10 day on 2/3 with a snowstorm. Interestingly that had been an extremely boring, mild, and snowless winter up through late January. So even in the cold 19th century that progression was very possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 My coldest was 12/8 2013. Had two mornings of single digits. High of 22 one of those days. Haven't been close since. I think 17 was my coldest since. Can't remember the year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 18z GFS will be colder than 12z from the looks of it. Yet again, more of TPV is squeezed out of the Yukon very early in run. Apparent by 36hrs in. 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Looking like success on the 18z! Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 18Z is going to be very cold... you can tell solely by what happens on day 4 near Alaska. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Quite a bit of strait effect snow here in Vic on this run. What do the total snow maps look like through 108? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 18z is between 12 and 6z runs, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 As of 96 hours, about 10-20meter lower 500 heights pdx but still 60 meters higher than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Definitely nice to see this runs looking good too. Just need to keep the good runs going the next couple days to keep building confidence. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 28 minutes ago, Phil said: When in 1886 did the San Francisco snowfall occur? Looks like Feb 5th and 3.7" (1887) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 10 minutes ago, Phil said: Mean of 500mb anomalies for all San Francisco snowfalls. No major surprises, I suppose. Holyshit, that's insane 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Total snow per 18Z GFS through 132 hours. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Tonights runs are not gonna be good if the pattern from the last 5 days of changing outcomes continues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Nice Fraser outflow and then a northerly gradient to bring the low level cold air south. Nice! 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 5, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 498 thickness into NE WA. Nice. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 I know this question has been asked before, but is there any documentation on the differences between 6z/18z and the 0z/12z? My wild assumption is that all runs are the same and the differences between the scheduled runs just come from the starting inputs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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