CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 GFS pushing it even further back. -17 Mon morning and then -27! Tues morning. Definitely going to get bitter cold but -20s numbers are getting less beliveable as we can't even get them within day 5. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 well news said last night's low was -27 again. sitting at -19atm let's go for 30 tonight!!! 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 5 hours ago, Grizzcoat said: Another shot late next week? GFS now showing sub zero lows for many next Thursday/Fri- the 18-19th. Just like the graphic shows. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 After a "mild" morning, KLNK is at -1 before midnight. It's going be a long streak of consecutive sub zero lows. Not sure what the record is. 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 59 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: GFS pushing it even further back. -17 Mon morning and then -27! Tues morning. Definitely going to get bitter cold but -20s numbers are getting less beliveable as we can't even get them within day 5. Yep always 5 days away... now has lows “only” in the negative single digits this weekend. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Yep always 5 days away... now has lows “only” in the negative single digits this weekend. Even if we don't get -20s, the duration of the cold snap will be historic if nothing else. Not complaining, it'd be cool to experience, but frostbite pontential within 10 minutes is a little scary. 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 hours ago, Madtown said: well news said last night's low was -27 again. sitting at -19atm let's go for 30 tonight!!! Febrrrrruary....fresh snow cover, light winds and Arctic HP working its magic... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Euro still oof-worthy despite the "warmth. 36 next saturday? Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 In the following graphic you can see the extreme cold in N.MN. If you look to the NW you will see Baudette,MN (KBDE). The missing dewpoint is not an error. It's because it's an ASOS site (likely more accurate than an AWOS site) and dewpoints at ASOS sites -40 and greater are NILL. That's because the technology in the sensor in obtaining a wet bulb (and hence dewpoint) past -40F is nearly impossible when one understands the actual physics going on. Ever whip a sling psychromter around dampened at the end to obtain the true wet bulb at -10F? It's basically impossible. Even modern technology struggles at this and a reason to question temps/dew points at or below -40F. This is a reason why many low temps (though I mildly disagree) get thrown out when coming from AWOS sites--- and why human mercury/alchol therms are the best in extreme temps. Automation - while great- loses info at the extremes. Put a human observer ( properly trained ) at KBDE and the dewpoint would likely be -42 to -44F. Just an FYI. How do you think they got DEw points like they did before automation - it was manual. Wet wick whipped on the bottom of thermometer. I'am old school- I get it, but these old school techniques and even thought are getting lost in automation which hasn't a clue when it thinks it does. 6 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Historic cold in KC. I stole this from Lezaks blog this morning. 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 -30 last night on the weather station guessing the official will be a few degrees colder as has been the case through this whole thing. Balmy -27.9 currently. Its a dry cold though so doesn't feel as cold 2 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 12z GFS. Lincoln struggles to make it to -10 on Monday 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 8 minutes ago, Madtown said: Ouch! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 One thing I've noticed is the 12z GFS Mon morning -17 in Lincoln is with cloudy skies. Not windy, but a 5-10 mph breeze as well. So I guess it's relying purely on cold air advection which is very impressive. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Euro colder again. But above freezing by the 20th? 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beltrami Island Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 18 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: Euro colder again. But above freezing by the 20th? Most arctic air cold spells here in northern minnesota end with the coldest temps in the calm of the high pressure center the morning before it moves south and east. The result is a return flow from the south over the next 36-48 hours that can warm temps 30-40-50 degrees in some cases. The classic example is Feb 1996 when Tower MN set the state record low of -60. Within a few days it was in the +40s for a temperature difference around 100 degrees. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 6 hours ago, Madtown said: Cotton is relatively new COOP site. It's very low, in a spruce bog. Most think it would have been colder than Tower in Feb 1996 when it got to -60F. Winter Campers measured -70F in spruce bog on FEB 3rd 1996. No joke. 2 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 NAM keeps us above zero now on Saturday night/Sunday morning and -11 on Sunday night/Monday morning. Quite the change from what looked like a sure bet for at least -20 across the area. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 My area could fall to -5 to -10 at the hard of this "Arctic Air" mass by Monday nite. I dont think it will get as frigid as it did back in the Winter of 2013-14, when my temp here in Macomb dipped to a smashing -18F, but still frigid enough. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 DMX has my county staying below zero from Saturday 5 pm through Tuesday noon. If pans out it will no doubt be the longest period below zero of my life. My home has dropped below zero 7 of the past 8 nights. 11 below being the lowest. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beltrami Island Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 -36f this morning, coldest yet this arctic outbreak. It was eerily calm out and actually pretty comfortable to be outside for brief times. If you have ever had a bad chest cold and start coughing just from taking a deep breath. That is what breathing in deep at -30 or colder feels like when you first step outside. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 6 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 Some long standing records are going to be broke over the next several days. .Climate... Issued at 430 AM CST FRI FEB 12 2021 We will be watching for the potential for record low temperatures each morning February 14 through February 16. The records for Kansas City (since 1888) for that stretch are: (2/14) -4 (1936) (2/15) -6 (1936) (2/16) -8 (1979) Each day is forecast to either drop below those minimums or come very close. Aside from record lows, we will also come close to breaking record low max temperature records for all the above dates. At St Joseph (since 1908) the respective records for February 13-16 are: (2/14) -10 (1936) (2/15) -9 (1936) (2/16) -13 (1979) Again, each day is expected to meet or drop below these record lows. Aside from record lows, we will also come close to breaking record low max temperature records for all the above dates. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 Waterloo set a record cold high today of -3. The old record was -2 way back in 1905. Amazing 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 ^ DSM just missed -2F was high - record is -4F 1905. But still D**n cold being measured at an airport compared to a river valley. Forecast high was 1F at late as noon. 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 -7/-22 today at KFAR. Tomorrow will be the coldest day of the season. 4 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 hour ago, Clinton said: Some long standing records are going to be broke over the next several days. .Climate... Issued at 430 AM CST FRI FEB 12 2021 We will be watching for the potential for record low temperatures each morning February 14 through February 16. The records for Kansas City (since 1888) for that stretch are: (2/14) -4 (1936) (2/15) -6 (1936) (2/16) -8 (1979) Each day is forecast to either drop below those minimums or come very close. Aside from record lows, we will also come close to breaking record low max temperature records for all the above dates. At St Joseph (since 1908) the respective records for February 13-16 are: (2/14) -10 (1936) (2/15) -9 (1936) (2/16) -13 (1979) Again, each day is expected to meet or drop below these record lows. Aside from record lows, we will also come close to breaking record low max temperature records for all the above dates. Making winter great again. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 -15 atm.....got to -1 today. Almost an inch of snow fog too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 27F and sunny this pm for a few hours. Toasty Mitt madness.. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 Looks like a better morning for excellent radiaitional cooling across the Northland. ( God's Country ) I'd expect similar temps - if not colder - than what MADTOWN posted 2 days ago. This I know- somewhere in N.MN (more likely-- esp Arrowheard) , or even Wisky is going to post a sub -50F temp in this stretch. The 10% chance is -55F. I see no chance at any all time records because of the relative lack of snow depth compared to avgs. add another foot and some fresh fallen, then you talking. Take a visit once to the Arrowhead of N.MN- it's alot like Oregon's W Coast- just different in Midwest stats. Hell of a place to grow up. 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 DMX nice write up with some humor: So how is everyone`s February going other than cold, snow, snow, cold, snow, cold, cold, cold, snow? Not much good news on the cold as Arctic high pressure centered over Manitoba (yeah, it is not even here yet), will settle south into the Dakotas late today/tonight, then into northwest Iowa and Minnesota by Sunday night then linger through Tuesday. What this means is even colder Arctic air will be plunging south into Iowa and with a long wave trough carved out across the Central and Northern Plains. With the lack of warm advection, any warming will be reliant on a slowly modifying Arctic air mass that will be extremely tedious. Yes, just referenced slow twice in the same sentence. It is not many times that the temperature at 10 kft is around 20 degrees warmer than at the surface, amazing! Several record low max high temperatures are likely to be broken through Monday and may touch a few record lows but the amount of clouds and wind will prevent that tonight though as high pressure nears Sunday night, there is some chance that clear skies reach northwest Iowa with light winds and prime radiational cooling conditions which could send temperatures plunging towards -30 there. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beltrami Island Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 Good prediction grizzcoat. At least one prelim -50. Would not be surprised to see a few more from this am. It's funny how ifalls has the reputation of icebox of the nation but there are actually much better locations for radiational cooling than where the airport is. Ifalls airport is a big flat area that's relatively open without much tall trees to block wind and allow the cold air to sink down. As opposed to the infamous Embarras area that sits in a low swamp surrounded by heavily forrester higher terrain that allows the dense cold air to sink into it. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 Full sun, -17°F. Light North wind will keep both wind chills and temps down. 1 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 ***PRELIMINARY*** We may have set a new daily state record low temp for Feb 13 of -50 °F this morning at our COOP station, 25E Ely. We have several other stations in northern MN with low temps colder than -40! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 -6 and snow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, Madtown said: -6 and snow Heck of a view you have there 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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