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Extreme cold could harm my bushes and trees, which it did a couple years ago when Cedar Rapids hit -30º.  The rhododendron failed to bloom that spring and the serviceberry trees failed to produce berries.  I don't want that to happen again.  However, as a weather geek extreme cold is interesting.

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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The -50F has been confirmed. It was at a lodge on Snowbank Lake- an entry point to the great Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness.

Lincoln got down to -31 this morning, the second coldest ever recorded there! -30 degrees was common in South Central Nebraska. My weather station had -25 for the min this morning. 

We didn't get the extreme cold lows, but Cedar Rapids officially spent 108 consecutive hours below zero, ending midday today.  That's the most since 1996.

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LES really coming down nicely over here. Probably got 6-8" of system snow yesterday/last night, so I think we can fairly easily close in on 1 foot in the next day or 2.

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3 minutes ago, Jarod said:

LES really coming down nicely over here. Probably got 6-8" of system snow yesterday/last night, so I think we can fairly easily close in on 1 foot in the next day or 2.

Are you near GRR??

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18 minutes ago, Tom said:

Pound Town!  @Stacshis near there also so he must be getting hit pretty hard also.

Pic doesn’t do it justice.  Off and on heavy squalls.  Banding setting up right over my neighborhood, then fluctuating 5 miles north/south.   Really adding up.  18.4 degrees.  Haven’t measured.  But our stone wall that’s about 3ft high is drifted over.  I think we hit 12” by Sunday.  Probably 8-10” depth.  

2DE6DFE9-13F3-475F-B183-AEBE3D34F845.jpeg

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Models are still trying to figure out what will happen with the heart of the PV cold, if/when it will drop down through our region.  The 12z GFS once again drops the motherlode down through the midwest.  It has -36ºC at 850 mb, and record-tying cold at the surface, over Iowa Saturday morning.  That's still a week out, though.

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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2 hours ago, tStacsh said:

Pic doesn’t do it justice.  Off and on heavy squalls.  Banding setting up right over my neighborhood, then fluctuating 5 miles north/south.   Really adding up.  18.4 degrees.  Haven’t measured.  But our stone wall that’s about 3ft high is drifted over.  I think we hit 12” by Sunday.  Probably 8-10” depth.  

2DE6DFE9-13F3-475F-B183-AEBE3D34F845.jpeg

What is your location???

Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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Arctic cold is arriving as the CF has rolled on through. Teens outta do it for high temps and lows in the S.D's. Even colder air possible by late next week.

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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Don't think if seen 474 thickness levels that far S in mid FEB. Only 1996 and that was Feb 2nd 3rd. The stratosphere is literally about 1/2 to 2/3rds  closer than in the summer. Unreal when you think about. prateptype_cat.conus.png

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Currently 5°F with full sun. Sun doesn't matter with a wind chill of -16°F though, now does it?

After today, it stays below 0 till at least Wednesday.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Yeah, but it looks more expansive and last longer.... Ouch.

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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This is from TOP AFD this afternoon. I agree it has been some time since we last had a long lasting cold snap with highs generally in the teens for days. Possibly back to the early 1980s though I guess I could be forgetting something since then.

"...Beyond Sunday, little change in the pattern is expected with continued bitter cold and periods of snow chances. Wind chill values are expected to range from -10 to -20 each morning next week. This magnitude and duration of bitter cold has not been seen in eastern KS for quite some time. Now is the time to take those precautions to ensure your home/vehicle has been properly winterized along with extra blankets/coats in your vehicle."

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  • 20-21 snowfalls >=3": (Jan 1 - 4.5"); Season total (12.4")
  • 20-21 monthly: Oct (0.6"); Nov (Trace); Dec (Trace); Jan (7.6"); Feb (4.2"); Mar (Trace) as of 3/17
  • 20-21 temps: Oct(-3.2); Nov (+4.8); Dec (+4.5); Jan (+5.1); Feb (-11.3); Mar (+7.5) as of 3/17
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DMX actually mentions the word "historic" in length of brutal cold-

Higher confidence that the Arctic high center will drop south over
Iowa on Tuesday and Tuesday night. Temperatures may crash Tuesday
night if prime radiational cooling conditions do develop considering
the deep snow pack. This is the time period where going overnight
low temperatures may be too "warm" and may need to be lowered if
trends persist. Another system looks favored to move across Iowa
again late Wed/Thu with more light snow chances followed by the
Arctic high forcing south into Iowa once again to end the week.
Temperatures Sunday through next week will feature high temperatures
in above/below zero north and low teens south with overnight lows
well below zero. While any individual night may not have record
cold, the length of these temperatures at forecast levels may
approach historic levels. Stay tuned and bundle up!
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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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2 hours ago, mlgamer said:

This is from TOP AFD this afternoon. I agree it has been some time since we last had  a long lasting cold snap with highs generally in the teens for days. Possibly back to the early 1980s though I guess I could be forgetting something since then.

 

Around here December of 1983 is historic. I don’t think this cold will match that, but the length is comparable. 

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DMX talking Polar Vortex!

The forecast the next 7 days is dealing with the prolong Arctic cold
and the numerous snow chances. The polar vortex is essentially
dropping straight south from the Arctic north and will hang out over
Canada into the Northern Plains with several waves dropping the cold
air into Iowa. Begin to have wind chills drop at or below wind chill
criteria (-20) over far northern Iowa tonight with little
improvement during the day Saturday before falling further and
approaching warning criteria (-30) Saturday night. Will issue a Wind
Chill Advisory for that area tonight through Sunday morning. The
plan is to expand the areal coverage of the advisory for Sat night
with later forecasts and potential upgrade a portion to warning.
Additional wind chill headlines possible into next week. The deep
snow pack should slow frost depth penetration but water pipes
under snow free surfaces could freeze or break. Ice depths on
rivers and streams will increase and may increase the ice jam risk
in March.
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KFAR is likely going to drop below zero at the next update. It won't rise back above zero for 7-8 days afterwards.

The EXTREME cold is gone on the models, but it's been replaced by more sustained cold.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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I went below 0 a few hours ago. My nws point forecast doesn't get back to 0 until next Friday.

It doesn't look like any extreme over night lows thanks to the wind. But I would take a calm -40 over a windy -20f.  In fact the coldest feeling stretch of weather I can recall was actually mid December 2013 where the wind howled for days but the temp never dropped below -20.

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48 minutes ago, Beltrami Island said:

I went below 0 a few hours ago. My nws point forecast doesn't get back to 0 until next Friday.

It doesn't look like any extreme over night lows thanks to the wind. But I would take a calm -40 over a windy -20f.  In fact the coldest feeling stretch of weather I can recall was actually mid December 2013 where the wind howled for days but the temp never dropped below -20.

Temps will probably get colder than forecasted where you are because of snowpack, same for most of Western MN. 

We traded extreme once-in-five-years cold, for sustained moderately below normal temps with NW flow and a tight pressure gradient. That's gonna literally blow. I'm surprised FGF turned the warning into an advisory as North as they did.

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Tonight's 00z Euro is much less cold through the run.  This run never does bring the PV down into the US.  Past runs suggested we could go double-digits below zero every morning next week.  The new run has us well below zero Sunday morning, but then actually above zero for much of the rest of the run.  The high temp gets back into the teens, or even 20º, later in the week.

Meanwhile, the GFS is brutally cold following the Thursday wave.

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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The trade-off for "lack of cold" (it's still well into the negatives here next weekend) on Euro is the fact that I get in on a clipper train. 

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Full sun. -13°F, wind chill -38°F.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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44 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said:

Full sun. -13°F, wind chill -38°F.

Yes, Full sun! Makes such a difference and what makes Feb arctic air so much more tolerable than Nov-Mid January when it doesn't get fully light til 9am and by 3pm the shadows are already long. Sun today was fully up by 8am and stays light til 4:30pm before the shadows get long.

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1 minute ago, Beltrami Island said:

Yes, Full sun! Makes such a difference and what makes Feb arctic air so much more tolerable than Nov-Mid January when it doesn't get fully light til 9am and by 3pm the shadows are already long. Sun today was fully up by 8am and stays light til 4:30pm before the shadows get long.

The wind kinda cancels out any potential benefit the sun would have lol. It's like being in the shade on a summer day with a DP of 75.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Euro looks toasty. Has us getting up to 14 Thursday lol. Back to single digits after though. 

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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At 14:15, it is -14°F with a -40°F wind chill. 

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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4 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said:

At 14:15, it is -14°F with a -40°F wind chill. 

Oof. That would be a slam dunk WCW for Lincoln. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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Been a while since we've seen a Barney rampage on Euro, yet here we are.

Euro 2.png

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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The temp is -15°F, but the wind has died down a bit. The wind chill is now a warm -31°F.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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GFS with 3rd run in a row of having -28F at DSM next Sunday Morning. Not likely with current placement of temp sensor (at airport) as even in the Great Cold of early FEB 96' it got to -26F while -47 in NE IOWA and -60F in Minny and I believe -fifty something in WI (All - ALL TIME records for states)

DSM coldest low ever was -30F on JAN 5th 1884, measured in a river valley at Fort Des Moines. And people wonder why so many cold records are held from the 1800's?  Check sensor placement- it's not apples to apples.-- or even measured the same way. Rant over..

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Not a single positive temp in my grid.

Quote
Overnight
Mostly clear, with a low around -21. Wind chill values as low as -40. North northwest wind around 10 mph.
Sunday
Mostly sunny and cold, with a high near -8. Wind chill values as low as -40. Northwest wind 8 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around -19. Wind chill values as low as -35. West northwest wind around 9 mph.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near -3. Wind chill values as low as -35. West wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around -15. West wind 10 to 13 mph.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near -1. West wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around -14. West northwest wind around 10 mph.
Wednesday
Partly sunny, with a high near -3. West northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around -18. Northwest wind around 11 mph.
Thursday
Partly sunny and cold, with a high near -5. Northwest wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around -19. Northwest wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Friday
Partly sunny and cold, with a high near -7. Northwest wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around -20. Northwest wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near -1. Northwest wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

 

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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22 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said:

Not a single positive temp in my grid.

 

Well, you planned on living up near Fargo for a winter season and now your getting a taste of what you came for.  While your lacking in the snow dept, your certainly getting a taste of the "Nanook From the North"!  How's the experience been so far?  I stepped outside not long ago and got a taste of my 1st sub-zero reading of -1F.  

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The low was -20*F here. Could have gotten much lower if it weren't for the wind. It was -28*F where @Beltrami Islandlives. -30 in Park Rapids which is a normal cold spot.

Atm, it's -11*F owing to greater than expected sunlight. 

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Euro looking quite balmy on Sun/Mon. Haha. At least compared to the GFS which has a high of -6 on Sunday. Trade off is that Euro has more snow around that time frame. Still model madness for next weekend. 

1612699200-m3T6S3Ipq5I.png

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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